There's some talk about Ladd catching Yana's kicks. I don't recall Ladd actually catching any kicks before. Maybe prior to her UFC career that I'm forgetting? In any case, Ladd keeps her hands pasted to her head and when she's in boxing mode, she's REALLY concentrated on boxing. Unless she's drastically changed up her guard placement and gotten better at thinking TDs while striking, I really doubt we see Bangkok ready Ladd catching kicks and sweeping gals. Nobody should be tempted to take a -160 favorite on the premise that the fighter does something very out of character just to exploit the opponent's weakness. Not saying it's impossible, just that you can't bank on it without seeing evidence of it.
I remember rewatching every single Ladd takedown when capping the GDR fight and my takeaway was that she mainly uses bodylock takedowns. Here's what I wrote on a different board:
"She's hit a level chance double leg on Lansberg, but against Eubanks she shot from far out and airplaned the shot. Mainly prefers the bodylock takedown, which GDR has defended well in her past 4 fights. The biggest issue is that she hasn't shown an ability to close distance to grapple, relying on her slow motion forward pressure to cause girls to clinch with her. While this works against poor strikers, it's going to be difficult to handle against GDR who has the range, knows how to use it, and the footwork to preserve it."
So her path to getting it to the ground mostly runs through one of Yana's strengths, which is the clinch. Yana is a big strong 135er, and not an overweight 125'er like Eubanks. Her long legs make it harder for Ladd to hoist her up and put down. So Ladd will need to time a good TD at her hips/legs for a good chance at getting the fight to the mat. That's possible but we've only seen it once many fights ago. The last shot she took was a very weak looking shot in Rd3 against Eubanks that would've taken nodoby down. I ended up with about 1u on Yana at +160 but I'm considering now after writing all this out. Ladd has to prove that she can take the fight where she wants consistently in order for her to be a favorite against more well rounded girls. Until then I'll take the dog odds.
