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UFC on ESPN 6 Reyes vs Weidman

I think Bochniak will dominate Woodson. Woodson looks pretty bad on tape if I'm being honest. Looks like bum version of Michael chiesa without the ground game. I wonder why he got that contract anyway because he sucks and that flying knee was flukish.

Woodson was easily losing that DWTNC fight, got his back taken in R1 and R2 by 5-2 random scrub. Then the guy made a rookie error on the ground and Woodson got up (otherwise he would have not) I don't see what some of you guys are seeing I think this will be easy fight for Bochniak. Woodson's TDD is pathetic and Kyle can wrestle plus he has very solid chin.
 
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I parlayed most of my bets with hardy. Im on winn x 2, boston salmon x1.75, barber x 1.85, and pearce x1.95 for now.
 
Gotta agree Sosoli looks like one of the worst. 5u fade on Ben he is giving up alot of height/reach and I'd say power and speed as well.
Not going too crazy though probably more like a 50/50 fight here. Either man might throw an illegal shot or eye poke and get DQed..... On a serious note I'm looking forward to that Hardy KO line
 
Fight distance props are out
 
burge13 said:
5 Units bet on a -300 where the fight is a 50/50? That doesn't make much sense
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Got it at -260 the 50/50 thing was a joke just didn't want to type lol after everything, trying to add a little levity to the cash grind.
It is a HW bout though so who knows. Really though gotta cap Hardy at 75-80% he should have nearly every advantage here.
Red_2 said:
Don't question the Sherdog meta.
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My sarcasm probably didn't translation well to text. I gotta give Hardy a 75-80% he should have a massive size and athletic advantage at the very least.
 
Sono07 said:
Got it at -260 the 50/50 thing was a joke just didn't want to type lol after everything, trying to add a little levity to the cash grind.
It is a HW bout though so who knows. Really though gotta cap Hardy at 75-80% he should have nearly every advantage here.

My sarcasm probably didn't translation well to text. I gotta give Hardy a 75-80% he should have a massive size and athletic advantage at the very least.
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After watching tape I'm concerned about laying money on Hardy. Sosoli has a head like a rock. Like many Polynesian fighters the man can take a punch. I can see Hardy not pacing himself & gassing hard in the middle of round 2. Sosoli can punch fairly hard as well. And a gassed Hardy with his hands down & mouth agape will be an easy target for Ben. Hardy quit vs Crowder IMO because he was exhausted. Perhaps I will wait for Hardy to get to -250 then hedge with a bet after round 1 on Sosoli. I'm telling ya. Hardy might get Homer Simpsoned.
 
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Omni1 said:
After watching tape I'm concerned about laying money on Hardy. Sosoli has a head like a rock. Like many Polynesian fighters the man can take a punch. I can see Hardy not pacing himself & gassing hard in the middle of round 2. Sosoli can punch fairly hard as well. And a gassed Hardy with his hands down & mouth agape will be an easy target for Ben. Hardy quit vs Crowder IMO because he was exhausted. Perhaps I will wait for Hardy to get to -250 then hedge with a bet after round 1 on Sosoli. I'm telling ya. Hardy might get Homer Simpsoned.
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My thoughts too. I already know I'm going to be tempted by the Over.
 
There's far better spots on the card than Hardy or Sosoli. Looks like a total pass fight, odds are about right with Hardy likely to nuke him but equally far too many unknowns to risk it.
 
Jordan3399 said:
There's far better spots on the card than Hardy or Sosoli. Looks like a total pass fight, odds are about right with Hardy likely to nuke him but equally far too many unknowns to risk it.
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I feel like Hardy-Sosoli is exactly the kind of pass-fight that I specialize in betting on.
 
Maybe I'm hoping your right about the Homer Simpson approach at least. Both men don't have the best striking defense but I like Hardy better from range and he should tower over Ben here.
Hoping for a big athletic advantage too, you're right he gassed against Crowder but he has crushed 2 other cans since. Seems like he has gained a little more experience but it's hard to say with his short fights.
I think his training/fitness level and coach ability carried from his NFL days will serve him well here.
The UFC seems to love promoting star athletes as well, cant help but think Ben is only on the main card because they think it favors Greg.
I agree with a Ben stoppage hedge if/when the Hardy line balloons like Joanna's foot last night.
 
Soccer Steve said:
I feel like Hardy-Sosoli is exactly the kind of pass-fight that I specialize in betting on.
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Haha, I can imagine a lot of people are going to hit Hardy but I find that current line completely unappealing. I think Hardy can definitely KO him hard (think Sosoli has a boxing KO loss if anyones seen it) but I couldn't risk anything on a guy like that especially at weak odds.

Seems like the sort of fight where you either hit Hardy R1 KO or wait and hit Sosoli live if survives the inevitable early beating.
 
I think Hardy will mow him down, the size difference is pretty big
 
Anyone find any good ufc on espn 6 podcast material?
 
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