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UFC on ESPN 6 Reyes vs Weidman

Think reddit figured out how to fix the co main
 

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I think the pearce lauzon fight is pretty easy to bet. ML pearce and hedge with Lauzon round 1. I dont know why but lauzon has got like a 3 minute gastank.
 
I think my main issue with Sosoli as compared to Crowder is that Sosoli doesn't have the wrestling to keep Hardy honest that Crowder does. I can only see the Homer Simpson route to victory for him really.
 
I think the pearce lauzon fight is pretty easy to bet. ML pearce and hedge with Lauzon round 1. I dont know why but lauzon has got like a 3 minute gastank.

Need to rewatch but didn't Pearce take damage early during his contender series fight. Lauzon is well past his prime but if he gets him hurt I like his chances of finishing.
 
Honestly would be going big on Rosa if he'd fought recently. Manny's style relies so much on him being a giant for BW, and even then it's impractical. Dude just lost to a flyweight.

Stephens-Rodriguez is funny. First fight showed both that Yair's quick as fuck, but also that he's not got any effective boxing defense. So IMO chaos. Maybe ITD this time around.
 
The Hardy gassing vs Crowder is such a bs narrative, Hardy was not looking good at all, but he was never in any danger really and he stuffed crowders takedown attempts pretty easily, the reason he kneed him in the face wasn't because he wanted a way out but because he is a retard with anger issues. There is always a risk he will dq himself again, but other than that he should smash Sosoli pretty easily.
 
The Hardy gassing vs Crowder is such a bs narrative, Hardy was not looking good at all, but he was never in any danger really and he stuffed crowders takedown attempts pretty easily, the reason he kneed him in the face wasn't because he wanted a way out but because he is a retard with anger issues. There is always a risk he will dq himself again, but other than that he should smash Sosoli pretty easily.
Yeah. I had Crowder in that fight for like 0.5u and felt like I got lucky/Hardy was going to win that without the DQ
 
Sosoli probably isn't going to wrestle so I wouldn't spend pages arguing that point. His performance against Espino shows what he thinks of training wrestling. If anything it'll be Hardy taking him down.
 
I think people forget how good striker Bermudez is. His ground game is obviously very good but I liked his boxing against Kenny.

Siver took Rosa down 3 times. Rosa been taken down in all of his UFC fights except the last one where Burgos didn't even try to take him down.
 
I think people forget how good striker Bermudez is. His ground game is obviously very good but I liked his boxing against Kenny.

Siver took Rosa down 3 times. Rosa been taken down in all of his UFC fights except the last one where Burgos didn't even try to take him down.

I think the Bermudez line is easily the best line on the card.
 
I've got Salmon -130, Pearce -120, Stewart +100, Weidman +135 and McGee +195. Feeling pretty good about all those plays but McGee. I've got my eye on a few other plays pending line movement.
 
Not particularly a fan of this card as im not a fan of betting on nobodies, has beens, and people who rode the short bus to school ( Kevin holland) but there is a reason my extended family tries to put me in gambling Anonymous on a quarterly basis, lets get it

Weidman vs Reyes

Weidman loses his size and reach advantage by going up in weight but will his durability increase as much as it will have to?
Reyes can crack and im not down on him because his fight with Volkan was close.
Weidman needs a Sub here likely in the 1st/ 2nd , i dont see another ptv here
Like Reyes under -150 if he gets there

Stephens at even money i still like, i dont get the yair love, his best victory is Caceres, he is defensively void, and i dont see this playing well for Yair
Build the Wall

GREG HARDY MAX BET

Value on Holland + Court magee at current price but i will never trust either with a dime
 
Guys remember its 5 rounds , Reyes has cardio issues. Chris without this weight cut should perform better
 
bochniak is the type of guy you wanna bet. who's that woodson dude?

hoping for a better price for MY BOY. i can see him making it through a tough first couple rds to finally sub reyes, but it def isn't the most likely outcome. they both have mediocre cardio but i think reyes' is worse. win or lose, weidman shouldn't be fighting at lhw

i also think 3 rounds favor yair in comparisson to 5. i bet jeremy for the first one but i'm not feeling this fight now. moreover, i think i would most likely play yair by dec if the price is good
 
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