UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev

[Stat_Collector]

https://www.bestfightodds.com/

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/ufc-3642

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/ufc-3600

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev | MMA Event | Tapology

UFC Fight Night takes place Saturday, March 1, 2025 with 12 fights at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. View fight card, video, results, predictions, and news.

www.tapology.com

 

[Stat_Collector]

first glance

Nasrat , Almeida, maybe Asu if his wrestling holds up for 5 rounds.

 

[Trupsi]

Ribovics sould win, but not interested at that price.

Might play Gomis.

Am I crazy to consider Brundage ? He sucks, but so does Marquez.
Asu got my attention also, need to do some taping on those 2 fights.

 

[sonhow]

Ribovics sould win, but not interested at that price.

Might play Gomis.

Am I crazy to consider Brundage ? He sucks, but so does Marquez.
Asu got my attention also, need to do some taping on those 2 fights.

Marquez only wins in 7-8 years:

Ridicilous comeback against Maki Pitolo

and

Sam Alvey

Lol

 

[sonhow]

Sam Patterson is so one dimensional Barlow should send him onto next moon. That being said not willing to pay the price on guy who went life and death against Niko Veretennikov tho that might have been just the stylisic matchup.

 

[mkess101]

Sam Patterson is so one dimensional Barlow should send him onto next moon. That being said not willing to pay the price on guy who went life and death against Niko Veretennikov tho that might have been just the stylisic matchup.

Under 1.5 imo. Patterson will desperately try to close distance to get ahold of Barlow and if he somehow does...the sub is in play. More likely, Barlow lands big as Patterson crashes in and it's an early KO.

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

Brundage and Almabayev both too long IMO

 

[Thesnake101]

Brundage as a dog is crazy considering Marquez's durability is dogshit now. Interested in some DGTD lines here, especially after last card lol.

Might consider Montana here, would need to see how Luana's wrestling defense has been.

 

[Guld]

This card isn't available yet on my bet site (Betway).

With that being said, I don't have a strong lead on any of those fights, so I'll just stick to livebetting.

 

[Thesnake101]

Aldrich also seems like a steal at those odds. No wins since 2021 for Lee, 5-fight skid and will be at a disadvantage on the feet vs someone with solid TDD. Judges hate her too, 4 of her UFC losses were splits.

 

[jnes]

Brundage sucks but I like him here vs Marquez who also sucks

 

[burge13]

Why is someone on a 5 fight skid even in the UFC let alone when she's 2-8 in her last 10.

UFC has slipped so unbelievably far

 

[Stat_Collector]

Aldrich also seems like a steal at those odds. No wins since 2021 for Lee, 5-fight skid and will be at a disadvantage on the feet vs someone with solid TDD. Judges hate her too, 4 of her UFC losses were splits.

4 of 5 are top 15

Dela rosa was a bad match up because of wrestling and it was razor close.

Her going to split with Barber should indicate that if you put her in a striker vs striker match, she can nearly go 50/50 with a top contender.

And JJ just lost to Hardy who isn't even ever going to be a top 15 contender. I think it's a trap because Dela rosa lost to JJ via Ud, but this is because JJ has solid tdd from her doing judo, but if this turns to a striker vs striker matchup why can't Lee arguably beat her standing on points?

 

[Thesnake101]

Her going to split with Barber should indicate that if you put her in a striker vs striker match, she can nearly go 50/50 with a top contender

It went to a split because Lee went out of her way to wrestle as much as she could, not because she was hanging with Maycee on the feet. She went 5/5 takedowns there and got 5 mins of control time, but she still got outlanded in significant strikes and wound up on the losing end.

If you think JJ won't be able to stop the takedowns consistently, then Andrea is a good bet, but imo JJ outpoints her. I just think Lee is washed, and while she remains game, she's not going to be pushing herself to put a stamp on any of the rounds which could once again come to haunt her.

I also think Alonzo Menifield taught us that the difference between a performance in 2023 and 2025 can very much be night and day once you're in your late thirties. Hard to look at a girl that's 2-8 in her last 10 and think she's not free money against anyone decent.

 

[Thesnake101]

Nasrat at +200 seems tempting. He's got the output to match Ribovics, is durable and could potentially sneak in a takedown attempt or two if he so chooses to keep Esteban guessing.

Ribo is a good prospect, but it's not like he blew right past all of his opponents so far. McKinney is the only dude he ran over and that was a glass cannon who I'm sure Nasrat would do the same to, rest of his fights have been pretty competitive. Split with Zellhuber and then two 29-28s, one a loss and the other a win. Odds should be far closer I think.

 

[Stat_Collector]

It went to a split because Lee went out of her way to wrestle as much as she could, not because she was hanging with Maycee on the feet. She went 5/5 takedowns there and got 5 mins of control time, but she still got outlanded in significant strikes and wound up on the losing end.

If you think JJ won't be able to stop the takedowns consistently, then Andrea is a good bet, but imo JJ outpoints her. I just think Lee is washed, and while she remains game, she's not going to be pushing herself to put a stamp on any of the rounds which could once again come to haunt her.

I also think Alonzo Menifield taught us that the difference between a performance in 2023 and 2025 can very much be night and day once you're in your late thirties. Hard to look at a girl that's 2-8 in her last 10 and think she's not free money against anyone decent.

I gotta disagree on this one. The significant striking stats were not that wide , 39/48

Barber had a bloody nose and took damage on the feet, her heavier shots in round 2 may have won her the round, but i had it scored for Lee rnds 1 and 3. that many takedowns and ctrl should have been considered.

All her accolades before the ufc were kickboxing titles in the amateur and golden gloves boxing.

On the feet she has a 2 inch reach advantage and she uses a wider variety of kicks, she throws more karate kicks, high kicks, and low leg kicks. And her one-two is decent. I'm not disagreeing with you she can be very passive, but JJ suffers from that as well, she was out landed by Hardy who Andrea beat already. The other common opponent is Delarosa and JJ actually got outlanded by a very thin margin, it could have gone either way.

this should be a 50/50 fight, i dont think you can really trust JJ at these odds. When we know Lee gave a close fights to decent girls and scored a knockdown on Viviane Araujo.

 

[Hellowhosthat]

Aldrich also seems like a steal at those odds. No wins since 2021 for Lee, 5-fight skid and will be at a disadvantage on the feet vs someone with solid TDD. Judges hate her too, 4 of her UFC losses were splits.

Idk if she'll be at that much of a disadvantage on the feet against JJ tbh. Haven't taped it yet though.

 

[mkess101]

Brundage/Marquez is the co main???

WTF haha. If you toss the Malkoun DQ win aside for Cody (Cody was getting mauled), these two are a combined 1-7 with one NC over their last 9 fights.

They aren't losing close split decisions either, they're getting their asses kicked. What is actually going on here???

 

[sonhow]

Brundage/Marquez is the co main???

WTF haha. If you toss the Malkoun DQ win aside for Cody (Cody was getting mauled), these two are a combined 1-7 with one NC over their last 9 fights.

They aren't losing close split decisions either, they're getting their asses kicked. What is actually going on here???

Cody been losing a lot of fights but at least he is fighting.

Marques comes back, gets knocked out, sits and recovers for year, comes back, gets knocked out, sits...rinse and repeat.

Brundage looked kinda okay vs Bo. The only reason I can explain odds is that Brundage is bit of a loser and quits while Marques usually needs a beating to get him out of there. But the drawback is that hes probably shot physically due to said beatings while Cody might have something left.

 

[Hellowhosthat]

Taking Almabayev. I think the small cage favours him, he's a very credible takedown threat and I think Manel is very low output against takedown threats despite having a decent sprawl. Asu also a good striker himself and those spins are eye catching and can get him points at range. I don't really see cardio being an issue for him either.