Let's try to break down this whole card in one go, shall we?
2c:
Saldana/Souza: Close fight. I think Saldana kicks the shit out of him early, with Souza potentially turning it on late. He can't bust a grape though so if I was hitting Souza it would be by dec. He constantly runs and looks to blitz and counter. If he does that here the fight could be like Sladans fight on contender where he still had energy for the finish in the third. To gass him you need to pressure and grapple actively. Saldana would be my pick but not sure about value at pick-em.
Dvorak/Nicolau: Tough fight to call, don't see much value. Dvorak has a very high IQ, he fights every fight differently. He turned on the aggression against the short notice opponent because he needed to make a statement. It's the same reason I think he will fight more reserved here, Nicolau has great boxing and power. I think a lot of the grappling and striking will cancel out, Nicolau backs up a lot already and I don't trust his chin. It's pretty much a pick 'em now so pass.
Fiorot/Maia: I think Fiorot has the style to stick and move on Maia for three rounds and even get easy takedowns. She was just falling over against Eye and gave up like 2/3 to Chook of all people. Fiorot got a bit tired in her last fight from kicking the shit out of Silva. Her output was great in that fight plus Silva was kicking her legs and body. Maia has pretty decent boxing and head movement but doesn't mix it up often enough and is pretty slow. Odds are shite but the overs are ok and Fiorot dec is decent considering she is now fighting the most durable fighter she has ever faced.
Khizriev/Denis: Denis is big, tough and hits hard enough for me to pass on these crazy odds on Khizriev. Denis does have a glaring hole when it comes to his takedown defense but he seems to have improved his getup game recently. Khizriev is a guy you don't want to be under, his gnp is savage and he hunts for the rear-naked pretty aggressively. This could go anywhere from a round 1 finish for Khizriev to a late finish to a dominant dec and maybe even a KO upset for Denis. Easy pass, let's see how the Wolf looks, he is pretty undersized for this weight class.
Danaa/Gutierrez: I like Danaa to crowd Guti and counter his kicks. He is an expert counter striker who was timing all of Guidos and Davis's strikes. When this guy counters it is with bombs, not jabs. You could see the fear in Guidos and Davis's eyes when they realized their timing was figured out so quickly. When Kevin N. tried pressuring he got countered beautifully on the back foot. Guti does throw a lot of hip faints and fakes but so does Danaa. Gutierrez constantly moving back, barely boxing, and not putting a stamp on rounds is going to cost him here. Against a really low level of competition that can't figure out the calf kick game Gutierrez looks like a beast, and even then his fights end up close. Danaa has improved a lot since going to Jacksons' after the Aletang fight, I think he will have the pressure and more eye-catching shots. Guti DEC easy hedge.
McMann/Rosa: Big step-up for Rosa. I watched all of her careers to try to get an idea on her bottom game and there really isn't much. She had some nice scrambles and get-ups against a young Pacheco but eventually got guillotined. Proccopio attempted the most takedowns on her so far but Proccopios entries and athletism are below average, plus she was up a class. McMann is getting a takedown early if she wants it, she's a beast. McMann puts all of her opponents in dangerous spots in round one. She subbed Davis which is very impressive, was pounding on Viera from the mount and from the crucifix on Renau. She was looking for a kimura on Lina and had Penas back. That's a very tough level of competition, and also if you want to beat McMann you need to make her quit. Hurt her, or put her in a rough position on the ground after gassing her out. I have now seen Rosa not finish any of the bottom-of-the-barrel opponents she has faced in the UFC, even though she is dominant in most. If you don't look to scramble up against Sarah and make her work you end up like Lina. Tough fight because I am getting tempted in losing money on McMann again, but there is a lot of questions about Rosa still and she is improving. Rosa could be a solid live bet unless she shows nothing off her back in the first.
Magny/Griffin: Don't have the greatest read on this fight, I hate taping Max fights. Worst case I see a typical 29-28 for Magny after Max maybe cracks him or calf kicks him a few times in the first. He will slow down like usual, his 3 fight win streak is overblown. He lost one round to Brahimaj on one judges scorecard, he was 1-1 with a retiring Condit and it wasn't looking the best before he cracked him late and got a takedown. The Rocco fight is worrying for Magny because I thought he lost that one and so did like 80% of the media members, but the important thing is that judges gave him a 30-27 lol. He just has that style where he looks like he is in a dominant position and he is for sure always throwing more. Magny DEC for the sake of it.
Diak/Slava: Got on Diaks early line, don't feel amazing about it but surely there is some value there. I faded Slava against Bush, and it didn't seem to be a bad play considering Bush had him wobbled a few times and ended up on his back. But if anything that fight raised my opinion on Slava. That is like the 4th I have seen him in trouble but he always recovers or gets out of bad positions and then turns it on the opponent. Diak doesn't fall apart like Bush but he does have flakey tendencies and hates pressure. He has horrendous optics when hit but he can take a lot of punishment. His gass-tank is not the best either. I think he needs the perfect fight here like when he turned his losing streak around. Get the calf kick going, stay on the outside and get takedowns if pressured. He can also crack + Slava has been wobbled a lot so an early finish would do him greatly as well. Why I think it needs to be a perfect game plan is because Diaks is not dangerous on the ground, he just grinds, and whenever Slava gets up he is going to pressure and unload combinations to the body and head to steal rounds. I will keep some of the play since I beat the line movement by a solid amount, but I also think we could be live for Slavas first DEC win.
Olenik/Latifi: I rushed to tape this fight due to the crazy line movement on Latifi. All I got from taping is that it's a clear pass to me. Low lvl HW shitshow. Latifi is a good dog but unplayable at this line. No output does nothing with the top time and bad cardio. Oleniks cardio is even worse and he will probably struggle to take Latifi down but at least he pressures and throws a lot of volume into the clinch. That alone could gass out Latifi more than anything. I thought about Latifi by DEC but don't want to be on the other side of a random Latifi meme bomb. Olenik had a very close fight with Spivak who is overall a much better MMA fighter. Latifi has the better wrestling but I trust Spivaks jits a lot more to survive the tough spots. In fact Olenik only lost that fight because he pulled guard in two different instances. I don't trust either guy easy pass.
Askarov/Kai: Kai KO or bust for me here. He is a decent scrambler and fights the hands well but gives his back to stand and I can see Askarov just sitting there for the majority of the fight and winning a dec. Askarov has been dropped twice by Moreno and seems to slow down a bit in the third if pushed. He was also eating some overhands from Benevidez who just wings them, Kai at least has a better trajectory behind his overhand right and he for sure has more reach. Kai has had close striking battles in the past so I don't see much of a chance to win a dec here with grappling involved.
Brown/Barbarena: Shitshow fight. Thought I would like nothing here but after tape, I will look to potentially live bet Barb. Brown is actually a lot more shot here which is saying something. He has about a round of cardio, after that, he is getting outwrestled by Condit. Barbarena doesn't seem to have the durability or the aggression that he used to, but he still has that one final push in the third round. I am waiting to live bet this due to it being in the Browns home town, he can come out looking for a finish with the crowd behind him or to actively wrestle and then we get an improved line.
Wood/Grasso: Got the 1.53 line on Grasso, no idea if I will keep it. It screams a close fight to me despite people thinking Wood is completely done. She can catch a kick and dump Grasso on the ground, or they could just box for all 3 with judges giving the round to whoever they feel like. I actually like a Grasso sub stab here. She doesn't have one yet but she was super close on Esparza with an armbar. She also got Barbers back after attempting the same armbar and sweeping. I can see the same scenario as the Maia fight, get a takedown and then get subbed.
Blaydes/Daukaus: I feel like this could be the fight we go back to Blaydes suplexing fools. Taping Lewis/Daukas, I remember feeling like Duakaus was fucked if he ended up on the bottom. There is no ground footage since 2015, but even his Zhu loss makes it seem like he doesn't have the best cardio or durability. 30 pounds is a lot, I am not sure how Daukaus is going to handle being under that for 5 rounds. I don't think he has the cardio to get up consistently without getting tiered like Volkov. He is obviously live for a finish early, that hand speed is insane even though Blaydes has an iron chin. I am thinking about hammering the finish line, I will need to tape some more to see if there is any chance in hell Blaydes can just coast for 5 rounds.