UFC Fight Night 137

Through some favorable judging though. I thought Kajan won, Alves was 50/50 and Taisumov looked bad, Green just didn't do enough
True. I was on Alves and Green, latter essentially came down to that knockdown in the second IMO. Yan also didn't really look -1000 good, even if it was a clear win.
 
Alex Chambers vs. Livia Renata Souza
Chambers sucks, Livia will win
Pick:Livia (DONT PLAY THE DOG, WASTE OF MONEY... BETTER DONATE A DOG SHELTER IN YOUR CITY)

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Luigi Vendramini
Elizeu faced much better competition and is the better fighter
Pick:Elizeu

Thales Leites vs. Hector Lombard
Fuckin tricky fight, I would pick Lombard if his volume would be better. Lombard is a counter puncher and if Leites comes with a similiar gameplan like for Alvey than he might win a dec here but both of them are risky to play...
Pick: I have Leites on one parlay but thats it...

Marya Bueno Silva vs. Gillian Robertson
I didnt analyse this fight but I see overyone is on Gilian Robertson acording to http://betmma.tips/

Sergio Moraes vs. Ben Saunders
I think Sergio will win this, my only concern is if Ben keeps him at range with kicks but judges should play in favor for Sergio
Pick:Sergio

Augusto Sakai vs. Chase Sherman
Augusto should win this,he has nice lowkicks and is a big HW himself, good chin too.
Cant trust Sherman in this fight at all, I think he gets kod
Pick: Augusto Sakai

Luis Henrique vs. Ryan Spann
This will be a tough weigh cut for Luis Henrique who is coming after 2 loses in a row. I think Ryan will box his way to victiory via KO.
Pick:Ryan Spann

Evan Dunham vs. Francisco Trinaldo
Dunham is done, Francisco has more fire left and should win this fight
Pick:Francisco Trinaldo

Christos Giagos vs. Charles Oliveira
Oliviera Should win this fight but I dont trust this guy.
Pick PASS

Randa Markos vs. Marina Rodriguez
Markos never lost 2 in a row but maybe its time ? Marine reminds me of a mix from JJ and Anderson Silva (LOL) very agressive.
Pick: Marina Roudrigez

Renan Barao vs. Andre Ewell
Thats the last chance for Barao to gain a victory, he has all the tools to win this fight
Pick: Barao

Sam Alvey vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
This fight screams pass, Alvey has so fuckin low volume... Antonio is old and coming from a usada suspension.
I favour Alvey to win this but BIG pass for me,at this odds not worth the risk
Pick: PASS

Alex Oliveira vs. Carlo Pedersoli
Carlo is coming on short notice and facing the biggest fight in his carreer... Carlo got droped in r1 by bum Brad Scott
Alex should win this fight but Carlo has dangerous kicks
Pick:Alex but Carlo has a little chance to win this so... dog or pass

Thiago Santos vs. Eryk Anders
Everyone here is on Santos, Im betting Eryk Anders because Thiago is sooo fuckin agressive that Eryk might cath him with a left at some moment. Santos has a glass chin and Eryk hits hard.
Pick:Anders
 
Oh I also think they will win fairly easy, but that does not mean they are locks. Could see Pedersoli catching Cowboy with the amount of headkicks he spams. Don't know much about Vandramini, but can't help to think about Hernandez/Dariush, younger fighter coming in on short notice with nothing to lose and get no respect from bettors or his opponent. Although Hernandez had wins over much more accomplished fighters than Vandramini
There are no locks in mma (in any sport to be fair). What I meant is that they are huge favorites and they will most likely win. Hernandez ko'ing darisuh was a big surprise, it is more of an exception than a rule.

Should've watched some tape tho, i'll give you that. Thing is i'm gambling 5 bucks in that parlay lol so i didn't really pay much attention to it. I'll watch some tape before fight night to bet a little more on some props
 
There are no locks in mma (in any sport to be fair). What I meant is that they are huge favorites and they will most likely win. Hernandez ko'ing darisuh was a big surprise, it is more of an exception than a rule.

Should've watched some tape tho, i'll give you that. Thing is i'm gambling 5 bucks in that parlay lol so i didn't really pay much attention to it. I'll watch some tape before fight night to bet a little more on some props
It wasnt a suprise for me, Dariush is very much overrated and sucks a bigger suprise was Holm knocking out Ronda cold
 
It wasnt a suprise for me, Dariush is very much overrated and sucks a bigger suprise was Holm knocking out Ronda cold
I think dariush is fringe top 15 lw. I didn't know who was hernandez at the time. I agree with holm being a bigger surprise tho. We all knew holly was the better striker but i still expected ronda to power through her and pull an armbar. Holm and her nervous af manerisms didn't help either. That was a huge upset.
 
Not gonna even do tape and just parlay 10 brazilians with the best odds lol. Make that shenanigans work for you.
 
Full props came thru after shitty ML's and general props all week.

Souza sub -125, chambers sub game is weak, seems prettty likely Souza goes for a sub instead of a tko.

Leites KO +785 holy shit. what the fuck are they thinking?

Robertson sub was +210, got it +190

Moraes KO +350

Barao Sub +250
 
Props out: Barao sub +250, Saunders TKO/KO +510, Robertson sub +190, Leites TKO/KO +785, Souza sub -135.
 
Alex Chambers vs. Livia Renata Souza

Randa Markos vs. Marina Rodriguez
Markos never lost 2 in a row but maybe its time ? Marine reminds me of a mix from JJ and Anderson Silva (LOL) very agressive.
Pick: Marina Roudrigez

Da fuq? Easy to look like a monster when you just have to grab the plum and feed teenagers and soccer moms knees and elbows. Marina is going to get wrestlefucked. If she's lucky she will get a good look at those tits tho

images
 
Also pulled the trigger on Barao -130 and Barao rd 1 +425. If he is smart he can ground Ewell pretty effortlessly and that should be a wrap. Ewell is also open af on the feet, so a KO or club and sub isn't out of the question. If not I think he has enough in the tank to take the decision, huge step down in comp.
 
Da fuq? Easy to look like a monster when you just have to grab the plum and feed teenagers and soccer moms knees and elbows. Marina is going to get wrestlefucked. If she's lucky she will get a good look at those tits tho

images
Da fuq? Easy to look like a monster when you just have to grab the plum and feed teenagers and soccer moms knees and elbows. Marina is going to get wrestlefucked. If she's lucky she will get a good look at those tits tho

images
<FookIsThatGuy>
 
over unders out. like 12/14 fights favorited for the under to hit.

edit: they're out on betdsi not dimes.
 
Totals out: I like Barao/Ewell Under 2½ +100 & -105, Thales/Lombard Under 2½ +100, Robertson/Bueno Under 2½ -120 & -125. Sakai/Sherman Over 1½ -125. Also C. Oliveira/Giagos Under 1½ -165.
 
Yesterday morning I woke up to find a dog; I proceed to smash... that dog being Randa Markos

I don't know if this fight is one of the ones readily availible you guys saw already (I don't have fight pass if it's on there) but here's Marina Rodriguez vs Amanda Torres:



Noting from that & elsewhere:
- Her opponent above is 8-5 with a loss to Priscila Cachoeira (the crackhead recently murdered by Valentina Shevchenko)
- I don't think Rodriguez would recognise an underhook if she watched 48 hours straight of Dominic Cruz fight commentary. Randa should be able to drop for TDs or get bodylocks all day
- Also will be easy to head & arm throw ;)
- She doesn't seem to hard get down shooting from space for a TD either
- On the mat her game is questionable. Once on the mat it's Randa's fight to lose (admittedly she does dumb stuff sometimes eg the Casey fight)
- Rodriguez was very nearly was subbed at the end of the fight posted above (admittedly, she was probably going for broke in the last seconds trying to get a finish).
- Rodriguez's striking from distance is nothing to wet yer panties about
- Randa isn't going to quit just because she got punched in the face like some random bum on DWTNCS
- This is basically an IQ test for Randa, wrestle and she should win (and her base is wrestling). Randa may not be very reliable or consistent, and sometimes does dumb things, but wait, she actually is completely consistent because...
- Randa lost her last fight so according to Newton's 4th Universal law (the Markos Constant) she will win her next one.

Rodriguez has a style that will appeal to fans and is also a rare Brazilian fighter who actually looks female (...can we still say that?) so doubtless the UFC will like to promote her, but I think they gave her a bad matchup here for her debut.

I maxed Randa's line when it hit evens on BetOnline ($500 for $500)
I also maxed Livia Souza the same place when peaked at 1.20 ($1250 to win $250 lol)
& parlayed them for smaller amounts on some books where Randa never quite made evens by herself.
 
Yesterday morning I woke up to find a dog; I proceed to smash... that dog being Randa Markos

I don't know if this fight is one of the ones readily availible you guys saw already (I don't have fight pass if it's on there) but here's Marina Rodriguez vs Amanda Torres:



Noting from that & elsewhere:
- Her opponent above is 8-5 with a loss to Priscila Cachoeira (the crackhead recently murdered by Valentina Shevchenko)
- I don't think Rodriguez would recognise an underhook if she watched 48 hours straight of Dominic Cruz fight commentary. Randa should be able to drop for TDs or get bodylocks all day
- Also will be easy to head & arm throw ;)
- She doesn't seem to hard get down shooting from space for a TD either
- On the mat her game is questionable. Once on the mat it's Randa's fight to lose (admittedly she does dumb stuff sometimes eg the Casey fight)
- Rodriguez was very nearly was subbed at the end of the fight posted above (admittedly, she was probably going for broke in the last seconds trying to get a finish).
- Rodriguez's striking from distance is nothing to wet yer panties about
- Randa isn't going to quit just because she got punched in the face like some random bum on DWTNCS
- This is basically an IQ test for Randa, wrestle and she should win (and her base is wrestling). Randa may not be very reliable or consistent, and sometimes does dumb things, but wait, she actually is completely consistent because...
- Randa lost her last fight so according to Newton's 4th Universal law (the Markos Constant) she will win her next one.

Rodriguez has a style that will appeal to fans and is also a rare Brazilian fighter who actually looks female (...can we still say that?) so doubtless the UFC will like to promote her, but I think they gave her a bad matchup here for her debut.

I maxed Randa's line when it hit evens on BetOnline ($500 for $500)
I also maxed Livia Souza the same place when peaked at 1.20 ($1250 to win $250 lol)
& parlayed them for smaller amounts on some books where Randa never quite made evens by herself.

I hit Rodriguez for 1u early at +105, but I just watched that video video you posted and your argument swayed me. Switching to Randa big at -105.
 
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