UFC Fight Night 137

I'm acting butthurt lol..I thought we were done and moving on? Oh, you wanted to make a point and defend yourself? Wierd how that works isn't it? Ok, now I'm done. Let's move on ok :)

Okay. Deal!
 
Sherman is coming from a ko loss is playing in favor for Augusto

Sherman's last fight was a decision loss to Willis in April. He was ko'ed by Abdurakhimov in November of 2017.
 
Sherman's last fight was a decision loss to Willis in April. He was ko'ed by Abdurakhimov in November of 2017.
my bad, I forgot about this fight because I came back right from party and fall sleep on couch during this fight.
 
Is anyone else basically fading Luis Henrizue Barbosa De Oliveira? He's attempting to drop from the 250's to 205, has been off for a year, two fight losing streak where he was stopped by a guy who couldn't stop damaged goods Struve or Arlvoski and both his wins before that losing streak were against non-UFC level talent on the wrong side of 30.

I think Oliveira's stand up is dreadful, if he can't get you to the mat he's a sitting duck for any competent striker. Spann has been finished very early in fights twice in the first round with elbows before. Kind of fluky. He's also shown the ability to rally after being hurt early to win by stoppage against Alex Nicholson, who is a legitimate finisher.

I think I'll be playing Spann ITD. His hands are extremely underrated but he has one shot power in the right hand, the same punch that always gets home against Oliveira. Tybura rattled him with a right, the mild punching Bhullar dumped him with a right hand in the 2nd as well.
 
Eryk Anders training too hard! and will win Thiago Santos by 100 percent!
 
Man, can't believe Livia Renata Souza is a -1000 to -1400 fave. Is this really that much of a lamb to the slaughter kind of bout? I know Souza is pretty hot shit and has been turning peoples lights out recently. Seems like the Ronda Rousey effect almost with that juice.
 
Man, can't believe Livia Renata Souza is a -1000 to -1400 fave. Is this really that much of a lamb to the slaughter kind of bout? I know Souza is pretty hot shit and has been turning peoples lights out recently. Seems like the Ronda Rousey effect almost with that juice.

Have you watched Chambers' fights? Souza is my second most confident pick of the year next to Shev/Cachoeira.
 
I like Chambers. Very nice lady, hard worker, determined, and also going to lose this fight. The odds are crazy but theres no value in a losing bet is there?
 
Is anyone else basically fading Luis Henrizue Barbosa De Oliveira? He's attempting to drop from the 250's to 205, has been off for a year, two fight losing streak where he was stopped by a guy who couldn't stop damaged goods Struve or Arlvoski and both his wins before that losing streak were against non-UFC level talent on the wrong side of 30.

I think Oliveira's stand up is dreadful, if he can't get you to the mat he's a sitting duck for any competent striker. Spann has been finished very early in fights twice in the first round with elbows before. Kind of fluky. He's also shown the ability to rally after being hurt early to win by stoppage against Alex Nicholson, who is a legitimate finisher.

I think I'll be playing Spann ITD. His hands are extremely underrated but he has one shot power in the right hand, the same punch that always gets home against Oliveira. Tybura rattled him with a right, the mild punching Bhullar dumped him with a right hand in the 2nd as well.
Let's call this dude Luis Henrique like it says on BestFightOdds. There are already two other Oliveira's on the card!
 
Have you watched Chambers' fights? Souza is my second most confident pick of the year next to Shev/Cachoeira.

No, I actually saw that she's been subbed like 3/4 times and watched a bunch of tape on Souza, including her turning at multiple ladies lights with single strikes. You almost never see a 105/115lb women with that kind of power in their hands. At that point I figured that Souza ITD is probably a great bet if you can get it at like -175 or better.
 
Parlay with zaleski, cowboy and renata is a lock right?

Should i wait for the props?
 
No, I actually saw that she's been subbed like 3/4 times and watched a bunch of tape on Souza, including her turning at multiple ladies lights with single strikes. You almost never see a 105/115lb women with that kind of power in their hands. At that point I figured that Souza ITD is probably a great bet if you can get it at like -175 or better.

That Hamasaki KO is her only KO via hands, and that was the atomweight champ moving up. Her only other KO is a body kick and GnP over Bennett. I don't think a KO is very likely with how tough Chambers is, but I do think she finds the sub with relative ease
 
Parlay with zaleski, cowboy and renata is a lock right?

Should i wait for the props?
I wouldn't call them locks, but I rarely use that word. Both Zaleski and Cowboy can be sloppy and reckless at times, and both have been dropped multiple times in the UFC. Do you know much about their opponents? Or are you just parlaying them because they're -400-600 favorites and they "should win"? Renata I think is pretty safe though, played her at -600, she's way better than her opponent and not the same anyhting can happen-factor in female strawweights. But with welterweights a lot of unexpected shit can happen, Cowboy lost to Yancy as a -400 something favorite
 
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That Hamasaki KO is her only KO via hands, and that was the atomweight champ moving up. Her only other KO is a body kick and GnP over Bennett. I don't think a KO is very likely with how tough Chambers is, but I do think she finds the sub with relative ease

Didn't she rattle Kankaanpaa with a big right hand early in their bout? I saw her wing that big right out multiple times in that bout but it only really connected once.

She has that kind of power that can shock opponents and easily let her sink in a submission, IMHO. When she stopped Bennet with a body strike I took notice, Bennet looked a few weight divisions bigger than Souza and still got folded like a lawn chair in no time. I know Invicta has mentioned she was unsure if she was going to move to 105 or stay at 115, but she seems perfectly lethal at 115 to me.
 
I wonder how Anders looks at 205, there was a comparison Santos to AJ but the difference between this two is that AJ chin even at 77kg hold his own and didnt get kod. Santos chin at 205 might be better but being kod by Branch is a concern.
I think that the Mousasi KO is worse. Im the biggest Moose fan but he never KOed people like this in his zillion years career.
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Staying away from that one. I think Santos wins because I dont rank Anders at all but I dont like to bet on some chinny guy against an opponent with some power.
 
Ok.. been away for 10 days and now I just get to see this card.

Big on Barao. I dont care if he is not the same anymore.. I got him around -112 or something like that and against a regional level guy? In Brazil? Those are great odds. I will not even be mad if I lost that one.

Small on Dunham. I get Trinaldo should be favored but Dunham is really scrappy. Also Francisco is like 40 years old. +214 for ML looks great for Evan IMO.

Dont trust Anders skills and Thiago chin. Pass. Should be fun tho.

I was on Lombard but I rewatched his last fight, very low volume and basicaly a counter puncher. If Leites survives r1 than he might win a dec or even finish Lombard in r3. Im waiting for the over1.5r prop
Do you trust Leites gas tank? We know Lombard gasses but Leites is not a cardio machine by any means.

That fight is tricky. In their best days I would say that Lombard wins easy... but now both are passed their prime and the question is who is worse.
 
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