ufc fight night 127

Jimi tore his MCL in the first round of the first fight. It's silly to not take that into account if you wanna say ^^^

It was actually injured prior to the fight, but your point still stands: https://www.mmafighting.com/2015/4/...e-ligaments-in-his-knee-before-ufc-krakow-win

"I almost didn't make it to the fight," Manuwa said. "I only got cleared, like, literally last week to fight. I had a bad knee injury. I tore my meniscus, and MCL and ACL as well. They told me I shouldn't fight, and I said no, I've got to fight. I can't pull out of the fight. So you know, it was a big decision for me and the team, but we had to go through with it."
 
It was actually injured prior to the fight, but your point still stands: https://www.mmafighting.com/2015/4/...e-ligaments-in-his-knee-before-ufc-krakow-win

"I almost didn't make it to the fight," Manuwa said. "I only got cleared, like, literally last week to fight. I had a bad knee injury. I tore my meniscus, and MCL and ACL as well. They told me I shouldn't fight, and I said no, I've got to fight. I can't pull out of the fight. So you know, it was a big decision for me and the team, but we had to go through with it."
Wow really? I could swear I heard him say he tore it during the fight. Or maybe I heard that on heavy hands. Good catch
 
I meant everything overall :) for example..first everybody was oh oh Marshman is dog +300 and after that everyone was like oh oh Brad is +300 so wtf ? . I like to bet on winners, thats what matters. You can throw out your dog money if your dog loses.

That's great, if you KNOW who's going to win. The best some of us lowly cappers can do is assign what we think are close probabilities to outcomes and then place bets based on where betting lines are in relation to them.

**Shrug**
 
Jimi tore his MCL in the first round of the first fight. It's silly to not take that into account if you wanna say ^^^

Yeah, and he said it didn't really affect him all that much during the fight. He didn't know it was torn until after iirc?

IDK, his strategy from the start seemed to be to hold Jan against the cage. He did it pretty much from the opening bell.
 
It was actually injured prior to the fight, but your point still stands: https://www.mmafighting.com/2015/4/...e-ligaments-in-his-knee-before-ufc-krakow-win

"I almost didn't make it to the fight," Manuwa said. "I only got cleared, like, literally last week to fight. I had a bad knee injury. I tore my meniscus, and MCL and ACL as well. They told me I shouldn't fight, and I said no, I've got to fight. I can't pull out of the fight. So you know, it was a big decision for me and the team, but we had to go through with it."

I'm on Jans for this fight but if I was backing Jimi, I would be annoyed/frustrated that even though he got knocked last fight and has a tough and durable opponent in Jans this weekend, he keeps talking about a fight with Daniel Cormier. I know he hates DC but he shouldn't be looking past opponents after a knockout loss. It's not a huge variable in capping this weekend's fight but it's like he is obsessed with DC.

https://www.mmamania.com/2018/3/14/...getting-hands-ufc-champion-daniel-cormier-mma
 
Last edited:
Holy shit I was about to add 2u. Then I looked and...nope.

Blachowitz NSC +250 is bananas though. I'm on that for 2u. I get that Jimi is a pretty big hitter for the weight class, but he's not Rumble. He's hit plenty of guys that haven't crumbled, JAN INCLUDED IN THAT!! And Jimi has 3 KO losses in his last 6 fights. Jan never legit KO'd or TKO'd, and almost no chance of a sub by Jimi. I seriously don't get this line. I think it's equally as likely that Jan finishes than that Jimi does, so +250 is monster value.

I'm not saying Jimi doesn't have enough power to stop Jan, but this line...head scratcher.

I also like the +3.5 at -110
 
I also hit Werdum -5½ points at -120. Every decision Fabricio has won in the UFC has covered that point spread, even the three rounders. And he only lost one close and controversial decision to Overeem. The prop also covers Werdum getting it done ITD.
 
Also added Blachowicz +3½ points at -110. Like that point spread too in addition to Not Manuwa ITD and Blachowicz scorecards= no action as Jan was only stopped once long ago by injury.
 
Here are my bets!!! does any one know of a site that has prop bets as in 5 fights end in a decision or 2 fights end in a ko like that because my site hasnt posted them yet and im not sure if they will? each bet is for 50$ Ive won money last 2 events lets keep the streak going!!!!!!
Nariami+131
Godbeer+245
Ray wins by Decision+155
Ankalev wins in rd 2+400
Dawoudo wins by decision+170
Roberts wins by decision+208
Phillips wins inside+160
Edwards wins by decision+105
Duqensoy wins inside+200
Manuwa wins by decision+251
Volkov+147
 
I have 0.75u on Enkamp at 2.9 and I might add more. I think he looked promising (confident, smart and multidimensional) against Taleb considering, that he did not have a full camp. He’s been training in Thailand and that seems smart too, as Taleb’s legkicks gave him some trouble and Roberts is a good kicker. I hope that Enkamp can frustrate Roberts a bit and steal a dec by either takedowns or sniping from range, but I would not be surprised by finish either. Roberts chin could be failing him after taking a ton of damage against Perry. Taleb blasted him with partially blocked high kick which hit the side of his face rather than chin. I’m not sure what to think about that. Roberts was acting, like he wasn’t out, but him insisting on returning so fast to the cage reminds me of Homasi’s delusional return.

I watched video on both, doesn't Roberts being a southpaw concern you? I can see him landing the left body kick (Enkamp having a long torso) and inside kick consistently along with the straight left. Enkamp's striking defense didn't look too impressive and Robert's is definitely the stronger/powerful and more fluid striker.

That fight with Mike Perry, he hit Perry with headkicks and straight lefts which would have knocked most fighters out but Perry walked through them like a zombie, it was unreal and he showed a pretty decent chin too, Perry hit him with some bombs and had him rocked a few times but he still fought throw it. Enkamp is like a kid who hasn't developed any man strength and doesn't really show any power. The headkick from Taleb Nordine even though it didn't land completely flush on the temple, if you have ever been kicked in the head even partially, they stun you.

Roberts showed improved TDD against Bobby Nash who was a collegiate wrestler and Enkamp shoots from way too far out to be able to land takedowns consistently.

The one thing that you mentioned that concerned me was the knockout from Nordine Taleb which was only 3 months ago but I guess why Roberts took the fight is because he is fighting in front of his hometown on Saturday. I just don't see all the potential people see in Enkamp, he is like a really poor man's version of Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson without any power. Deciding whether I want to lay the -170 juice on Roberts. Maybe I'm missing something?
 
Ware dec +430 is a great line. Probably my favorite of the card

Byrd sub +360
Byrd rd 3 +1000

Nice too

Also hitting godbeer. That line is a bit off against a guy coming off a two year plus layoff
 
I watched video on both, doesn't Roberts being a southpaw concern you? I can see him landing the left body kick (Enkamp having a long torso) and inside kick consistently along with the straight left. Enkamp's striking defense didn't look too impressive and Robert's is definitely the stronger/powerful and more fluid striker.

That fight with Mike Perry, he hit Perry with headkicks and straight lefts which would have knocked most fighters out but Perry walked through them like a zombie, it was unreal and he showed a pretty decent chin too, Perry hit him with some bombs and had him rocked a few times but he still fought throw it. Enkamp is like a kid who hasn't developed any man strength and doesn't really show any power. The headkick from Taleb Nordine even though it didn't land completely flush on the temple, if you have ever been kicked in the head even partially, they stun you.

Roberts showed improved TDD against Bobby Nash who was a collegiate wrestler and Enkamp shoots from way too far out to be able to land takedowns consistently.

The one thing that you mentioned that concerned me was the knockout from Nordine Taleb which was only 3 months ago but I guess why Roberts took the fight is because he is fighting in front of his hometown on Saturday. I just don't see all the potential people see in Enkamp, he is like a really poor man's version of Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson without any power. Deciding whether I want to lay the -170 juice on Roberts. Maybe I'm missing something?
Thanks, good points. My techical analysis is very crude, but I try to throw my opinions around to get feedback. I often bet more momentum and open potential than the known technical aspects. I love gambling on this kind of asymmetric fights with one dude possibly on decline and the other possibly developing fast.

Before his UFC debut Enkamp had been training for example with Machida, but now he’s been at Phuket Top Team. It’s been almost a year. Fight with Taleb was a good measuring stick for him to figure out his weaknesses at this level of competition. Taleb hit him with low kicks pretty easy, so I’d be surprised if he has not worked on that. He also said, that he’s been building more muscle mass. I hope that translates to ko power too, but should help wrestling at least. Enkamp has not fought a leftie before in mma, but he’s probably faced plenty of them in karate. That should help a bit.

I actually wondered, if cheek counts as getting hit on temple and if that affects ones equilibrium. But Taleb did hit him also really hard on the jaw, so he did got fucked both ways and seemed disoriented for a while if I remember correctly. I think smart fighters take often six months off after loss like that. Sure I think he want to fight at home, but it does not make it smart. Then again, maybe Roberts knows better, and it was not that bad ko.

I thought Nash took some hard shots early, was pretty nervous and tence, maybe wasted energy and got winded pretty soon. Maybe Enkamp can mix things better and fight smarter. He was shooting desperately late in Taleb fight, but I think he was just out of gas for taking a last minute booking. I thought taking much stronger Taleb down against the cage in the first round was pretty impressive.
 
Last edited:
Over/unders finally posted. Not a whole I like. Anyone have any thoughts?
 
Thanks, good points. My techical analysis is very crude, but I try to throw my opinions around to get feedback. I often bet more momentum and open potential than the known technical aspects. I love gambling on this kind of asymmetric fights with one dude possibly on decline and the other possibly developing fast.

Before his UFC debut Enkamp had been training for example with Machida, but now he’s been at Phuket Top Team. It’s been almost a year. Fight with Taleb was a good measuring stick for him to figure out his weaknesses at this level of competition. Taleb hit him with low kicks pretty easy, so I’d be surprised if he has not worked on that. He also said, that he’s been building more muscle mass. I hope that translates to ko power too, but should help wrestling at least. Enkamp has not fought a leftie before in mma, but he’s probably faced plenty of them in karate. That should help a bit.

I actually wondered, if cheek counts as getting hit on temple and if that affects ones equilibrium. But Taleb did hit him also really hard on the jaw, so he did got fucked both ways and seemed disoriented for a while if I remember correctly. I think smart fighters take often six months off after loss like that. Sure I think he want to fight at home, but it does not make it smart. Then again, maybe Roberts knows better, and it was not that bad ko.

I thought Nash took some hard shots early, was pretty nervous and tence, maybe wasted energy and got winded pretty soon. Maybe Enkamp can mix things better and fight smarter. He was shooting desperately late in Taleb fight, but I think he was just out of gas for taking a last minute booking. I thought taking much stronger Taleb down against the cage in the first round was pretty impressive.

Fair points. It's always interesting to get others perspectives on fights. In the end, we should all be trying to assist each other on capping fights and trying to make money off the bookies.

I guess we will see tomorrow how much Enkamp has progressed. Good luck with your bets!
 
Over/unders finally posted. Not a whole I like. Anyone have any thoughts?

Byrd/Phillips o1.5 at -125 maybe, IDK.

Yeah, kind of agree. Pretty much everything properly juiced.
 
Was considering ray/Johnson goes distance @1.67 but I’m not really in love with that line.

Yeah, maybe would just play Ray dec instead. IDK. I'm so hit or miss on these Euro cards that feature a lot of European guys. I've killed it on a few, but also have gotten slaughtered on some of them. Makes me really hesitant to force any bets.
 
Over/unders finally posted. Not a whole I like. Anyone have any thoughts?

I got some pretty good prices on these:

Werdum/Volkov Over 2½ at +106
Werdum/Volkov Over 2½ at -125
Duquesnoy/Ware Over 2½ at -165
Ankalaev/Craig Under 1½ at +105
Sosnovskiy/Godbeer Under 1½ at -120
Ray/Johnson GTD -180
 
I got some pretty good prices on these:

Werdum/Volkov Over 2½ at +106
Werdum/Volkov Over 2½ at -125
Duquesnoy/Ware Over 2½ at -165
Ankalaev/Craig Under 1½ at +105
Sosnovskiy/Godbeer Under 1½ at -120
Ray/Johnson GTD -180

Out of all of them, which is your favourite line?
 
i put £800 on marshman at +125, i'm pretty pissed (had close to a freeroll).
I know you're getting hit hard with limits now. I'm curious as to where you're getting large bets like that down, especially on openers. I can only do a ML bet like that at Marathonbet, and possibly on a fresh account somewhere, and that's it.
 
Back
Top