UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2

[Guld]

 

[Guld]

I personally like Ruffy. I got him at -105 a few days ago.
I like Volk as well, but father time has gotta be creeping up on him.
I really like Benoit as well, but I hate those odds. Maybe there will be some tempting props or livebets.

 

[sonhow]

If Hooker can get up like he did vs Gamrot he has a very good chance at replicating what Dustin did to BSD. I hope Im wrong since BSD is my boi and a win eventually gets Hooker nowhere else than where hes already been but tempted to play Hooker with this line. In the end BSD has absolutely horrendus striking defense and hes always playing the game off if he can do enough before his opponent can get to him.

 

[StewDogg11]

I played Volkanovski in the first fight but am playing Lopes here. The moment was too big for him then, it won’t be now.

 

[Trupsi]

I played Volkanovski in the first fight but am playing Lopes here. The moment was too big for him then, it won’t be now.

Same. Played Volk with confidence in the 1st, but in this one it'll be dog or pass for me.

I missed Ruffy when he was the dog and took him at 1.85, I feel like Fiziev already peaked while Mauricio is still improving. Rafa has more experience and a better resume but Ruffy will have a clear size/reach advantage and will be able to dictate the pace/distance that he likes. Fiziev can shoot some TD but his ground game sucks so Ruffy should be able to get up quickly.

BSD odds are shitty, I'll see if his ITD is playable.

 

[mkess101]

Same. Played Volk with confidence in the 1st, but in this one it'll be dog or pass for me.

I missed Ruffy when he was the dog and took him at 1.85, I feel like Fiziev already peaked while Mauricio is still improving. Rafa has more experience and a better resume but Ruffy will have a clear size/reach advantage and will be able to dictate the pace/distance that he likes. Fiziev can shoot some TD but his ground game sucks so Ruffy should be able to get up quickly.

BSD odds are shitty, I'll see if his ITD is playable.

I'll be on Fisiev. Ruffy is obviously a super athletic dude with huge finishing ability but he just hasn't beaten anyone close to Rafa's level. His one step up in competition he got absolutely clowned.
Fisiev isn't some amazing grappler but he times TD's well and given how utterly lost Ruffy looked on the mat vs BSD, he at the least may be wary of being taken down. Which makes him less likely to open up his offensive striking.
And Fisiev isn't exactly some bum standing either. Outside his debut, his 3 losses are 2 really close decisions vs freaking Gaethje and a fluke knee injury vs Gamrot.
Maybe Ruffy impresses here but no way I'm not playing Fisiev at dog odds vs a guy who's never come close to beating someone of his caliber.

 

[StewDogg11]

I'll be on Fisiev. Ruffy is obviously a super athletic dude with huge finishing ability but he just hasn't beaten anyone close to Rafa's level. His one step up in competition he got absolutely clowned.
Fisiev isn't some amazing grappler but he times TD's well and given how utterly lost Ruffy looked on the mat vs BSD, he at the least may be wary of being taken down. Which makes him less likely to open up his offensive striking.
And Fisiev isn't exactly some bum standing either. Outside his debut, his 3 losses are 2 really close decisions vs freaking Gaethje and a fluke knee injury vs Gamrot.
Maybe Ruffy impresses here but no way I'm not playing Fisiev at dog odds vs a guy who's never come close to beating someone of his caliber.

Agree. He was undervalued against Bahamondes as well and styled on him pretty easily.

 

[Tebowned]

My early thoughts:
Volk -145 could be a steal in hindsight or trap. He was controlling 95% of the first fight on the road BUT got hurt bad in that 5%. Most had it 4 rounds to 1. This time he's home.
Cons: Age

BSD and DJ Shallid should roll but odds reflect it.
I liked Ruffy as a dog not so much as a fav. It should be a slow paced striking battle and he has the reach. Ruffy is a better striker than baha imo.
I like the over in the Tai fight and even Tai as a dog.
Billy by sub
Brundage upset maybe or live bet Rowston when he's losing early is the play. Rowston has horrible TDD but Brundage has horrible IQ.
Malkoun by late stoppage after Finney gasses or fight ends in the distance just in case he looks like shit after injury.
If Kaan's odds get wider, I'd take him. He's a tank.

No familiarity with RTUFC fighters but will look into it.

 

[UFCIsNOTRigged]

Billy by sub

Billy has lost every fight where he has tried to wrestle (Compton, Guskov), it fatigues him greatly, so early the sub is live but if he wrestles and can't get it he will have nothing left later in the fight.

Also, Billy has fought most of his career at 185, whereas Tafa is one fight removed from fighting at HW. Tafa is a much bigger man and trying to wrestle him will drain Billy even faster than it has previously.

I could see Billy not wrestling whatsoever.