UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2

What I got so far...

4u Merab ML (-275)

1u Parlay(-108): Merab ML (-334) + Harrison (-550) + Pyfer (-400). Glad I grabbed it when I did. Harrison is -800 right now!

2u Luque ML (+210)

2u Waldo ML (+110) I see he's up to +130 now, so maybe I squeezed the trigger too soon on this one.

As usual, I'll be livebetting like a madman the day of. Good luck, everyone!
 
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Guld said:
What I got so far...

4u Merab ML (-275)

1u Parlay(+192): Merab ML (-334) + Harrison (-550) + Pyfer (-400). Glad I grabbed it when I did. Harrison is -800 right now!

2u Luque ML (+210)

2u Waldo ML (+110) I see he's up to +130 now, so maybe I squeezed the trigger too soon on this one.

As usual, I'll be livebetting like a madman the day of. Good luck, everyone!
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Betway has that parlay on a boost at +200. Kinda makes me think one of them is losing. I'm debating Gastelum Dec +600 although something tells me Pena's gonna win.
 
Anyone play Draftkings UFC? I'm thinking of Merab and Murzakonov as my core <Fedor23>
 
Chris Wang said:
Gastelum that washed or Pyfer just that good?
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Bit of both? I mean, Pyfer isn't special but he's in his prime. Gassed hard against Hermannson after 2 rounds that he dominated and lost that fight by dropping the last 3 rounds.. So gas tank maybe an issue but this is a 3 rounder. Odds (like most fights on this card) super juiced so ML is a pass imo. I'm looking to play a different angle, likely Kelvin over 38.5 significant strikes. The fight **should** get at least into rd 3 and possibly go the distance. Kelvin still seems durable for the most part. The sig strike # is pretty low, I think Kelvin can land more than that even in a fight he should lose.

Edit: looking at it a bit more...I may play Pyfer over 44.5 significant strikes instead. If I believe we see rd 3 more often than not (I do, although a Pyfer finish is definitely on the table) then I think I wanna play the guy that's heavily favored and has a big reach edge.
 
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mkess101 said:
Bit of both? I mean, Pyfer isn't special but he's in his prime. Gassed hard against Hermannson after 2 rounds that he dominated and lost that fight by dropping the last 3 rounds.. So gas tank maybe an issue but this is a 3 rounder. Odds (like most fights on this card) super juiced so ML is a pass imo. I'm looking to play a different angle, likely Kelvin over 38.5 significant strikes. The fight **should** get at least into rd 3 and possibly go the distance. Kelvin still seems durable for the most part. The sig strike # is pretty low, I think Kelvin can land more than that even in a fight he should lose.

Edit: looking at it a bit more...I may play Pyfer over 44.5 significant strikes instead. If I believe we see rd 3 more often than not (I do, although a Pyfer finish is definitely on the table) then I think I wanna play the guy that's heavily favored and has a big reach edge.
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Pyfer will have a size advantage as well but those odds are nuts. I think he's overrated.
 
Yanal's line is the most mispriced i've seen.

he has the fighting style of a typical russian fighter you see in an ACA russian promotion.

and i'm pretty sure he has a grappling edge. Loss a 2-1 decision vs Chris Duncan with one arm. Has looked good in the fights that he won. I've seen Salkilld put on his back by very average fighters and has shown poor sweeps and reversals/getups.

If this turns into a grappling match, i'm pretty certain Yanal will out scramble him and get to top control. He's also won gold in a bjj tournament in Israel. A last note is that his family fled to Israel from Chechnya , so he's another fighter from that region, and he trained with Khabib's former coach(one of) so he's familiar with that style of russian mma.

I think these lines should be near pick'em , nothing in Salkilld's resume warrants these odds.
 
Stat_Collector said:
Yanal's line is the most mispriced i've seen.

he has the fighting style of a typical russian fighter you see in an ACA russian promotion.

and i'm pretty sure he has a grappling edge. Loss a 2-1 decision vs Chris Duncan with one arm. Has looked good in the fights that he won. I've seen Salkilld put on his back by very average fighters and has shown poor sweeps and reversals/getups.

If this turns into a grappling match, i'm pretty certain Yanal will out scramble him and get to top control. He's also won gold in a bjj tournament in Israel. A last note is that his family fled to Israel from Chechnya , so he's another fighter from that region, and he trained with Khabib's former coach(one of) so he's familiar with that style of russian mma.

I think these lines should be near pick'em , nothing in Salkilld's resume warrants these odds.
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Yanal is a big step up especially from the Indian guy who cant take a punch. Its almost immediate test to see if the kid is legit. Which is funny considering he hasnt passed any tests and is already this big of a fav. He might be that good but who knows. Have to take at least a stab at Yanal now.
 
sonhow said:
Yanal is a big step up especially from the Indian guy who cant take a punch. Its almost immediate test to see if the kid is legit. Which is funny considering he hasnt passed any tests and is already this big of a fav. He might be that good but who knows. Have to take at least a stab at Yanal now.
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I played his dec line at 900+

just because i think it's' his likely path win if he wrestles him.

It's going to be a hit or miss scenario, so i didn't go overboard in terms of betting size.
 
Hi guys,

didn't bet on this card at all.

Spent the past days at my mother-in-law, helping her with some agribusiness, so all my time was spent cutting/pruning trees, cleaning and carrying animal feed, dung and fertilizer.

I look like I were in a Lethwei fight.
My hands, arms and legs are full of cuts and bruises. Should've worn protective gear but it was bloody hot and of course I had to show her that "I'm THE MAN".... "Never wear protective gear and work clothes.... BE A MAN.
 
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