UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

mkess101 said:
I think it cashes, but price is probably about right imo. Makhwan all or nothing early then gasses badly. Usually lasts awhile even when tires but still some risk.
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I agree with lefontes.Shore hasn't finished anyone than Philips in the UFC.He fights pretty safe,I think Makwhan can last at least until late 2nd
 
Serge421 said:
What do you guys think of my bet? View attachment 974093


I'm a bit worried about Gunni in the stand up but once he takes it to the ground it will be a cakewalk for him.
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Generally you shouldn't parlay fighters above -300 with underdogs.

I would take out Gunner and Mokaev and instead look to parlay them with another favorite to get the odds down to the +100 range. Christian Leroy Duncan (-225) would get such a parlay to +100 and he is one of the better favorites on the card imo.
 
Might put a tiny bet on Filho itd when I get that prop. Mokaev probably wins, but he shouldn't be such a huge favorite over after his last fight.
 
lefontes said:
I love another Over 1.5, Mokaev X Filho.
Filho is my City, Rio de Janeiro, hes a great bjj skills, Black belt and great guard. Imo Mokaev dont finish in less 7.5 minutes. If Mokaev finishes will be after Filho gasses but my countryman have good cardio.
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This one I like, even knowing little about Filho. Mokaev is super explosive and relentless with his grappling, but Gordon survived until very late and even hit a sweep or two. A good bjj blackbelt should hang for awhile at least.
 
First they banned Kenny and now Benny. Next month it will be Lenny?

Anyway Barbarena is scrapper. He should get outgrappled but Gunni isn't nearly as reliable to fight a perfect fight as RDA was. Wouldnt play Gunni with these odds thats for sure.
 
sonhow said:
First they banned Kenny and now Benny. Next month it will be Lenny?

Anyway Barbarena is scrapper. He should get outgrappled but Gunni isn't nearly as reliable to fight a perfect fight as RDA was. Wouldnt play Gunni with these odds thats for sure.
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You can get Gunnar itd at around evens. I called RDA sub last time at juicy odds around +300 (not sure who remembers haha but someone here tailed I think). Won't get paid as well with Gunnar but the same path is there. He'll really should be able to advance and find a sub on Barb at some point. Gunnar itd -110 is way better than his ML imo.
 
mkess101 said:
You can get Gunnar itd at around evens. I called RDA sub last time at juicy odds around +300 (not sure who remembers haha but someone here tailed I think). Won't get paid as well with Gunnar but the same path is there. He'll really should be able to advance and find a sub on Barb at some point. Gunnar itd -110 is way better than his ML imo.
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I thought he’d be able to sub sato and he never got close. Makes me hesitant to play him itd
 
Captain Chesapeake said:
I thought he’d be able to sub sato and he never got close. Makes me hesitant to play him itd
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It's a fair point, but I'd still rather play itd at evens over paying -3xx juice on his ML. If we assume he wins, it's gonna be well over half the time he finds a sub imo.
 
Captain Chesapeake said:
I thought he’d be able to sub sato and he never got close. Makes me hesitant to play him itd
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sato didn't take any chances and just wanted to survive to cards, it's really hard to sub someone in those scenarios. barbarena is complete opposite constantly tries to get up which is where the opportunities come for subs
 
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