UFC 278 PBP/Discussion

Once again I got a LB strategy. I think Aldo will win R1 or finish him, and then Merab will take over.
 
Brandon Moreno has a black eye almost a full month after his last fight?

I can't imagine that came from training.
 
3 no chance parlays left
to win 195.80/Usman/Dvalshii/Aldo-UN 2.5/Rockhold-UN 2.5/Usman-OV 4.5
to win 248.95-Dvalshii/Aldo-OV 2.5/Rockhold-UN 2.5/Usman-OV4.5/Edwards
to win 327.65-Aldo/Rochkhold-OV2.5/Usman-UN 4.5
 
There's no value with where the line is now. I fucked up predicting the line movement. I am just going to ride with the GOAT

F all that. I'm putting whatever I need to on Aldo to return at least 1k. But good luck.
 
Really think Merab gets it done here with volume and relentlessness. But there will be chances for Aldo to land something big, Merab is just that aggressive.
 
<CageCoffee>Small bet on Aldo decision. My fav fighter ever so will be extra happy if he wins
 
I've lost too much money trying to predict when old guys are going to fall off. I avoid these fights now.

I don't think Aldo is washed at all, but imo this is just a bad matchup for him. Font pieced him up standing, landed a ton more sig strikes. Aldo beat Font with grappling. I don't think Aldo can take Merab down and outgrapple him. Merab isn't as slick a striker as Font, but he does throw massive volume and has gotten better with his standup.
 
Really think Merab gets it done here with volume and relentlessness. But there will be chances for Aldo to land something big, Merab is just that aggressive.

truth. but im hoping he catches a jackhammer from aldo and wakes up on pluto
 
Once again I got a LB strategy. I think Aldo will win R1 or finish him, and then Merab will take over.
Keep posting these :) I havent done any research myself, but livebet is usually king either way.
I've lost too much money trying to predict when old guys are going to fall off. I avoid these fights now.
Dog or pass when doing that imo. And preferably bigger dogs than what Aldo is atm.
 
I got decent odds on both, so either winner should be good with me.
I might livebet if something obvious happens.
 
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