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UFC 263: ISRAEL ADESANYA vs MARVIN VETTORI - Official discussion

Kazda1 said:
On another note, does anyone know if there are sportsbooks in Vegas that offer prop bets for fights other than the main event? I was pissed I missed out on the Ben Rothwell to win by submission the other weekend because the Westgate here in town didn't offer props for fights outside of the main event.
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The #1 sportsbook in Las Vegas is Circa sportsbook.

Circa has good prices, lines for almost all sports, UFC lines for fights that are 1+ month away from now, props for all fights, you can parlay props like KO + Submission, they have live betting after each round is over for the main card (not sure if they expanded live betting to the prelims yet), and the you the sportsbook and app is open 24 hours a day (unlike Westgate and some other apps that stop working at 10pm at night for whatever reason... it tells you why right before you log into the Westgate app).

While I have money on a few other books, it's only because I'm too lazy to go to each casino to get my money from them. Most of my MMA bankroll in Vegas is in Circa, because of the aforementioned information, and I think it's the best sportsbook in Vegas for MMA bettors. Westgate used to be decent, but lacked in certain areas. Westgate has gotten worse for MMA bettors since the beginning of this year and I don't use it much anymore. When Circa first came out, it seemed like a clone of Westgate, but with different colors. Now, Circa is way better than Westgate in every way.

Also, I will be in downtown Las Vegas this weekend for UFC 263 with a few friends. If you want to meet up, let me know.
 
Oblivian said:
Overreaction to what? I had that opinion of Izzy prior to the Jan fight and cashed on it. Izzy gets overvalued fairly often. Don't forget how close his fight was with Gastelum. Vettori already had a close one with him as well.
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Gastelum is a tank and was actually able to enter thr pocket. Vettori had exactly 0 striking success vs izzy for thr first two rounds. How that was a split decision is beyond me. It's definitely recency bias to think Marvin will be able to take him down a lot and it's absolutely madness to say he will get a finish when he couldn't even finish a guy with no wrestling defense who he was on top of for 20 minutes. And if you were thinking KO that's even crazier, Marvin has no KOs in the ufc and only one knockdown, against Jack who is a poor striker
 
Oblivian said:
Overreaction to what? I had that opinion of Izzy prior to the Jan fight and cashed on it. Izzy gets overvalued fairly often. Don't forget how close his fight was with Gastelum. Vettori already had a close one with him as well.
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Val Dewar said:
Gastelum is a tank and was actually able to enter thr pocket. Vettori had exactly 0 striking success vs izzy for thr first two rounds. How that was a split decision is beyond me. It's definitely recency bias to think Marvin will be able to take him down a lot and it's absolutely madness to say he will get a finish when he couldn't even finish a guy with no wrestling defense who he was on top of for 20 minutes. And if you were thinking KO that's even crazier, Marvin has no KOs in the ufc and only one knockdown, against Jack who is a poor striker
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Here's the fight if you guys want to re-watch it.

One of you is wrong. I'll let you figure out who it is.
 
The props arent yet out the bookie which i am using but i have already decided on the bets.
 
If you use BetAnySports, they recently released a weird set of props. Most of them seem normal, but a few of them are off, like: Deiveson Figueiredo wins Inside Distance +325.

This is the first time they've released these set of props since they updated their website. @mkess101
 
where are the props listed? can't find them thx EDIT: found it, thx


haven't seen much discussion on Anders/Stewart. I was on Stewart the first time around and felt blessed with the stoppage; looked like Stewart no answers for Anders and I'm not sure that's going to change this time around
 
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PuertoRican said:
If you use BetAnySports, they recently released a weird set of props. Most of them seem normal, but a few of them are off, like: Deiveson Figueiredo wins Inside Distance +325.

This is the first time they've released these set of props since they updated their website. @mkess101
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They’ve had props for a few events, they’re just hidden and they’d only have certain props

fig itd + 375 is +120 everywhere else.

like I said, the site has been a full on dumpster fire since the update. Hope they get it together because they were just as good as 5dimes if not better before the update
 
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impressivegoal said:
where are the props listed? can't find them thx


haven't seen much discussion on Anders/Stewart. I was on Stewart the first time around and felt blessed with the stoppage; looked like Stewart no answers for Anders and I'm not sure that's going to change this time around
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in this fight, you always have to bet the dog. Anders was the side last time, now its Stewart, when more moeny comes in on Anders.

This is also at 205
 
I’m asking around to see if anyone knows the answer…Greatly appreciate it if anyone knows..

I was watching a YouTube stream and he had this live stat screen of significant strikes, takedowns and total strikes. Do you know where I can find that? I’ve been searching everywhere but can’t find it. I’d like to watch the fights while looking at the stat screen at the same time to get a better idea who’s up and whatnot?? I don’t know if I have to pay it to view that stat screen or is it free??
 
Anyone here uses sportsinteraction? i am still surprised that the props arent even out yet.
 
Val Dewar said:
... When was that on the brink of a stoppage? Moreno was never wobbled and Figgy was hurt briefly but his chin is insane so he recovered quickly. I like the o4.5 at +105
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Just taped the fight and you're right, a few iffy moments but not on the verge of stoppage. so much damage eaten by both. Moreno did a good job of averting trouble multiple times by being able to take Figgy down, i think figgy will expect/exploit that this time around.

Rewatching the fight gave me a confidence boost in the under tbh. if these guys can replicate this pace for another 25 min, i'll have to just tip my hat to them.
 
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Captain Chesapeake said:
They’ve had props for a few events, they’re just hidden and they’d only have certain props

fig itd + 375 is +120 everywhere else.

like I said, the site has been a full on dumpster fire since the update. Hope they get it together because they were just as good as 5dimes if not better before the update
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I wasn't talking about the normal props, those are usually released on Thursday or Friday and are basic. Throughout the day, I keep checking all of the old tabs and new tabs on the left side, since BAS is inconsistent. The props I saw earlier today were removed from the website for some reason, but the bets that I made earlier with favorable lines are still alive in my account.

I can't wait to get to Vegas this weekend so I can have access to a lot of props and start parlaying them again.
 
RobinHoodMoneyBags said:
I’m asking around to see if anyone knows the answer…Greatly appreciate it if anyone knows..

I was watching a YouTube stream and he had this live stat screen of significant strikes, takedowns and total strikes. Do you know where I can find that? I’ve been searching everywhere but can’t find it. I’d like to watch the fights while looking at the stat screen at the same time to get a better idea who’s up and whatnot?? I don’t know if I have to pay it to view that stat screen or is it free??
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Could be wrong, but I believe it's an option in Fight Pass where you can see the stats of live fights.
 
One tip that might be helpful:if you're on bet365 and wanna bet Adesanya ML it is 1,36, go and look at method of victory double chance-Adesanya by KO/TKO/DQ or decision is 1,50.So if you're pretty sure as I am that Izzy won't submit him you'll get enchanced price basically for his ML
 
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