Been reading these forums and a few youtube accounts religiously for awhile while forming my own opinions on fights. Im a huge boxing gambler and for a few years now Ive began betting mma big as well. Its my main source of income. Hit every fight but 2 last week and had 500 on erosa +400 , as well as 50 on erosa +900 by ko or sub. These are my picks , the more stars, the more confident the bet. The only card i lost on this year was the Eye-calvillo card. But i bet the house on vettori (i always do), so actually wasnt a bad day. So this first time posting, lets see how it goes lol good luck all.
Usman ***** (near lock bet)
Holloway ** (id lean holloway at even odds, +195 i have to bet it)
Yan *** (aldo cant out fight him. he needs a KO, its possible)
Namajunas **** (think rose wins 8 or 9 out of 10 fights vs andrade, mindset is always concern, think she has anxiety but still betting her fairly big)
Ribas who cares, ill put a small method on PVZ
Volkan ***** (cant say lock, but Im taking him -150 range HUGE) (abu dahbi heat concerns and afraid of the unkown w prochazka)
EZ dos santos ** (getting plus money now)
Danny Henry ** (amirkhani rd 1 or its henrys fight,henry size adv. should be much tighter line getting henry +180)
Bogatov * (no confidence, small bet on the dog vs 40 yr old incredible fighter, KOing ray doesnt tell me he still the santos of 5+ years ago)
Tybura * (not confident. i was fading tybura vs romanov. i may just skip fight and wait to fade tybura next time)
Paiva ***** (im still very upset on having paiva +220 vs kara france, hes a future contender. even the bontorin fight was quite unlucky
Melo * (i liked the value, but the weight miss is concerning. prob skip)
Martin Day **** (just think its Days fight, hes the better fighter. will pay the -170)
big bets are volkan, day, paiva, rose, and Usman dropping to -230 is a gift in my opinion. will bet henry bigger if he approaches 2x the money. will bet holloway more if day loses. i have the under in yan/aldo, didnt look at method of victories or the other over unders yet, these are just my winners