I'd be surprised if either title-fight went the distance, which isn't a bad thing with some of those judges. Surprised they're rotating all 3, too.
You're playing Font there? Assuncao's pretty damned legit as a striker. I was big on Font against Almeida at dog odds, but I feel like Assuncao's priced about right.
1-1 mma fighter who was in a close stand up fight w Da Silva should not be wider. This isn’t kickboxing, and based on that first Saki fight its not hard to envision Khalil finding a clean shot that ends Saki
Khalil is a developing fighter. After sheepish defeat to Pedro he sharpened up his mindset. After gassing badly in three minutes he could again come up with something new. Maybe even grappling.
He should be the narrow favorite. Costa's strength of schedule is 2-10 at UFC MW, and he had actual trouble with Hendricks. No reason he should be a gigantic favorite when he's taking a massive step-up in strength of schedule, and he really hasn't looked that insanely world-beating against the guys he's fought against.
Did you see Rountree's last fight? Dude isn't getting better.
He had two early finishes in row and went for third against wrong guy in bit of panic mode. His fight iq is not the best in the world, but both have questionable cardio and I don’t feel like betting at these odds against the chace of Rountree mixing some td’s. I think he changed his happy-lucky-go attitude after Pedro fight, so he’s capable of some developement at least.
Hendricks got stuck on the outside of the crazy size disparity for a lot of it, but Costa did get hit with a lot of telegraphed overhand lefts from Hendricks along the way. I just don't see that slower-paced pressure style working anywhere near as well against a guy like Hall who can make him pay for giving him space, I'd rather see him going Brunson-level insanely aggro if I was to play Costa.
