UFC 217 - Bisping vs GSP - NYC

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Dawg you can't just ignore the fact that every fighter who has real power has at least dropped Corey bad, including the ghost of Shogun.

No one should be surprised if Anderson gets sparked here, that's all I'm saying..
 
Dawg you can't just ignore the fact that every fighter who has real power has at least dropped Corey bad, including the ghost of Shogun.
I just think Anderson is being underestimated and the KO narrative in this fight is being exaggerated. OSP is a hitter but he's on a decline, hasn't got a KO is years and this this is a tough match up for him. Unless he lands a big shot and puts Anderson out, he's most likely losing this fight.

OSP is a quitter and a front runner. Anderson is beastin 25/8, the man has got heart and I know he'll show up and fight hard for my money.

Anderson should not be a +145 dog, he has so many advantages in this fight.
 
One of top 10 betting commandments dont bet chinny fighters against big punchers especially at lhw or hw. If you do at least keep it small.
 
Sharp bettors will just play Anderson moneyline.

Just playing a guessing game with the props. I rarely play props, moneyline underdogs is how you win in this game.


Oh I agree, and like I said on my original post and you reiterated, I believe that the lines should be reversed. OSP basically has one path to victory and that is a R1 KO. I’m basically saying that OSP has five minutes to get Corey Anderson out of there or things get very bad for him.

Again like you said, he hasn’t had one of those KOs in eight fights and that was against Patrick Cummins. Anytime you watch Patrick Cummins fight he gets fucking lit up like a goddamn Christmas tree. It’s just a matter of whether he is going to be able to withstand that initial barrage and walk through It. Cummins is always getting banged up by anyone he faces. I’m telling you, Patrick Cummins would get rocked by fucking Kyle Maynard if they ever fought. For those who don’t know Kyle Maynard is a quadruple amputee.


But my plays here are Corey 3.00 units +145 and sprinkled 0.2 and 0.3 units on his round 2/3 props at +1600 and +2300 respectively. Corey is younger man and has very stylistically favorable matchup here. I believe he can replicate the Ryan Bader game plan and just blanket OSP while beating him up with elbows and GNP on top.

Again, like we’ve talked about, Corey may have a bit of issues with his jawline, but we know for sure OSP is going to run out of gas if he doesn’t knock Corey out.

I think that this is one of the better lines of the last few months actually.
 
damn you people making me second guess my vick value lean and making me miss out before his line drops! all your faults!
 
One of top 10 betting commandments dont bet chinny fighters against big punchers especially at lhw or hw. If you do at least keep it small.

I revise this statement a bit: my thesis is don’t bet chinny fighters in heavy weight classes unless they have a + sign beside their name. What’s more, I really like betting fighters who have substantially better cardio and I like betting fighters with a wrestling background who utilize it. All that adds up to a moderate size play on Anderson for me at least
 
One of top 10 betting commandments dont bet chinny fighters against big punchers especially at lhw or hw. If you do at least keep it small.

or if you do make sure that live betting is being offered and theres a chance that youll be getting an opportunity of plus money on both sides, which wont be the case in this fight(live betting).

osp doesnt even have to ko anderson, a kd in one round could get him a 10-8 and then coreys fuked in a three round fight
 
I revise this statement a bit: my thesis is don’t bet chinny fighters in heavy weight classes unless they have a + sign beside their name. What’s more, I really like betting fighters who have substantially better cardio and I like betting fighters with a wrestling background who utilize it. All that adds up to a moderate size play on Anderson for me at least

Ok ok im gonna watch tape on this fuckin fight. I like corey as the dog but that chin makes me reluctant
 
or if you do make sure that live betting is being offered and theres a chance that youll be getting an opportunity of plus money on both sides, which wont be the case in this fight.

osp doesnt even have to ko anderson, a kd in one round could get him a 10-8 and then coreys fuked in a three round fight

Lb is no good for me in this instance as my pre bets are too big for me to be able to buy out or jump sides on lb unless i want to get banned very very quickly. So i only go small on lb these days
 
Anyone seen the vid on codys Instagram of him knocking down TJ in training?
 
I believe nothing that comes out of Alpha Male
 
Looks like TJ's stance. I believed it before this clip though. TJ got put down by Dodson, why would it be hard to believe Garbrandt rocked him in training?
 


C’mon guys! You know this footage is crystal clear. Some prosecutors could make a case out of this.


The sixth and fatal shot—frame 313—takes “TJ” in the head from the front. This is the key shot. The wrestler is going back to his left. Shot an uppercut from the front and missed with a left. Totally inconsistent with the shot from the usual camera set up the Team Alpha Male soap opera depository. Again... back and to the left… back and to the left… back and to the left… back and to the left.
 
officially up to 4u on dillashaw. 4u is super rare for me prefight.. only a couple times a year. think this line is batshit crazy, as i've said. cody coming off of the back injury, completely a mystery what he'll be able to do / how he'll be able to survive on his back (we still don't know and that's a scary thing). he's predictable and one dimensional. it's a damned good one (tdd + counterpunching).

tj is more versatile on the feet, more proven in mma in general (fought and done great against better competition) etc. line is purely backwards to me and i love it.
 
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