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UFC 210 - DC vs AJ 2 - Buffalo

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Lol at Barry not being in the #elite.
He refuses to #evolve. He had a golden opportunity when we found a 'barrygood1' profile on a sugar daddy website. All he had to do was pretend that was him. Instead he just keeps touting shit plays like Ronda Rousey in very long posts. The more I have to read, the less #elite you are
 
Kalikas isn't a mega douche bag tout though.

Gamblou is a god shut your fucking mouth

You're officially no longer #elite and have been #votedout

Kalikas is a horrible capper but seems like a cool guy. If I had a connect I would def. wanna grab a beer with him in Vegas. Are you kidding ...hanging out with the guy that sets the lines would be dope. Even just to shoot the shit about the industry.

Kalikas is a straight shooter, nothing sketchy about him AFAIK. He has a legit job setting the lines...thats it.

One thing that does seem to be a conflict of interest is that he sets the lines and also recommends plays through MMA Oddsbreakers... but whatever. I think the lines he recommends are kinda a joke anyway.
 


Ray Longo @ 1:56:00.

Lmao @ Kevin Lee, guy is such a baby.
 
Thoughts on Gillespie vs. Holbrook?

I only see Holbrook winning this by some kind of sub happening from a scramble, but Gillespie's top control should be too much for Holbrook, and his striking should be enough to take the win, should it stay on the feet. After watching tape im ready too HAMMER Gillespie when the lines gets released. Holbrook usually starts out with pushing the action, but Gillespie has a good double leg reaction, and it would be wise for him to continuesly take Holbrook down and stand up again where he can put his hands on him.

None of the Holbrooks fights should have been close, but he makes it close by letting people grapple with him, and then capitalize on the scrambles/transitions. If people stay on the feet against Holbrook, they win 9 out of 10 times.

Holbrook winning against Jake Matthews as the biggest underdog on that card, and his 12-1 record should help him out with getting an alright opening line. Im giving Gillespie about 80% to win this, with the 20% being a sub only win from Holbrook.
I believe the top betters are on Gillespie.
 
Moose interview


cliff notes-

-weidman last fight on his ufc contract
-wants the win so he wants to get title shot next or soon
-trained so hard for this fight since its all in a build up for extra cash for better contract
-really believes he is the best fighter, says chris a good guy though but has something to prove
-he wants to shut up people saying he has no wrestling, great chance for him to show them different
-chris strong fighter, suggest chris can't take him down since he;s been wrestling daily in camp
-suggest he will take chris down in this fight
-says 100% he deserves title shot but suggest its a popularity contest with gsp getting shot next
-disappointed with gsp/bisping since yoel, souza delayed to get the shot next and then himself delayed.
-says he knew nothing about wrestling or trained wrestled with king mo fight years ago, he was young and stupid and he suggest mo was caught from steroids after so not quite counts.
-says souza was very strong in 2nd fight....
-complains that hunt is making 800k, vitor and hendo make even more and he has beaten them all so is quite disappointed with ufc contract and wants the money with chris win.
 
looking at the "bets" thread I am still pretty confused by the hype behind Weidman here. Chris is a on a 2 fight skid and his last loss was a devastating knee to the brain.

Confidence and momentum matter in this game. I can gaurantee you Chris is not the same guy confidence wise as when he just defeated Belfort and was still undefeated. Also we know Weidman has dealt with other injuries over the course of his career. There are going to be some dark clouds looming in Chris' mind "oh shit what if I lose 3 in a row..."

Mousasi on the other hand is on a 4 fight win streak one of which was avenging the loss against Hall. He mopped the floor with Hall and left no doubt as to who is the better fighter.

I know Mousasi has way more fights but in regards to wear and tear I think overall Chirs' body is perhaps more shop worn. It seems wrestling is actually really hard on the body. Anyway its fine if you wann bet Weidman as he can clearly win but slow your roll a bit. I think more than 2u on either guy is madness.
 
I've read it, I'm not backing the guy and yes he would be a fraud if he was still catching L's. But he did have a decent year last year, that reddit post is quite old.

He advertises himself somewhat dishonestly, making himself seem better than he is, but all handicappers do, they're salesman as well.

But for a guy that gets so much hate I don't think all of it is justified.
It's from this year.

Come on, anyone can see he sounds like a genuinely unpleasant individual. The stuff about threatening to use a customers' personal details against them because they did something to upset him is unprofessional, callous, and probably illegal.

I particularly liked this riposte from the guy exchanging the emails with him.. "I don't see you as a good person, I see you as a whiny manchild who throws tantrums when he doesn't get his way. I see you as a bully, a liar and a thief and really want nothing to do with you."

Ouch!
 
Anyway back to the serious business..

Weidman at plus money is so tempting. Coming off two losses granted but he's got a clear path to victory here with his wrestling.
 
I really think the sassy one pulls its off but im hoping for evens. Fight is very close and going with plus money on this fight aint wrong. Both these guys are extra motivated for this one. I would recommend guys to LB this fight or wait until odds are closer before choosing a side. Peace.
 
Who ever is in trouble finding good odds I'll be releasing elite over/under props elite picks soon.
 
Yeah, I get the hate for Luca, I've read the reddit posts etc... but since he's been third party tracked he's been doing pretty well. How can you discount that? Or is this third party tracking somehow exploitable that I don't know of?
 
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/full-ufc-210-opening-betting-odds/
PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET)

Mike De La Torre +325
Myles Jury -475

Over 1.5 -150
Under 1.5 +110


Sean Strickland +165
Kamaru Usman -215

Over 2.5 -180
Under 2.5 +140


Charles Rosa +125
Shane Burgos -165

Over 2.5 -150
Under 2.5 +110


Patrick Cummins +110
Jan Blachowicz -150

Over 1.5 -185
Under 1.5 +145

——————–

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 6pm ET)

Andrew Holbrook +130
Gregor Gillespie -170

Over 2.5 -140
Under 2.5 +100


Desmond Green +115
Josh Emmett -155

Over 2.5 -190
Under 2.5 +150


Irene Aldana +160
Katlyn Chookagian -210

Over 2.5 -230
Under 2.5 +170


Jenel Lausa +220
Magomed Bibulatov -300

Over 2.5 -230
Under 2.5 +170
 
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