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UFC 210 - DC vs AJ 2 - Buffalo - II
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We're all budding experts surely..?Looks like we got ourself a jugs expert
Glad the fight's going ahead. Reaching a bit here but there's still hope of seeing our first ever submission via boob smother. Telling you it's going to happen at some point, been some weird subs in men's mma over the years (chin to the eye etc).
Come on Pearl
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I've had a few PMs asking about thoughts on fights ivy already BD. Since I wrote breakdowns over the course of three weeks and can see how they were missed, I'll try and put them all in one space in case. I'll start with Cynthia Calvillo and Pearl Gonzalez — which was on and off — and lost in a sea of craziness this morning. For space I will spoiler them.
Re: Calvillo vs. Gonzalez
Re: Calvillo vs. Gonzalez
I know that Cynthia Calvillo is a blue chip and is training with the grappling-dwarves in Sactown, but I'm telling you, DO. NOT. SLEEP. ON. PEARL HERE!
MY REASONING FOR RECOMMENDING A LOOK AT THE DOG HERE:
Making her sophomore outing, 29-year-old Latina Cynthia Calvillo (4-0) is going to be attempting to build off of what was — for all intents and purposes — a perfect performance against Amanda Bobby Cooper in her Octagon debut just last month.
Calvillo has only fought as a pro for about 8-months but she has a wealth of amateur experience dating all the way back to February 2011 and has long been lauded by the crew at TAM as a future star. In fact, Urijah Faber has boasted that when people need disciplined at the gym he forces them to spar with Calvillo as punishment.
Meanwhile, Gonzalez has competed professionally since 2012 and she too has a deep amateur history in the sport having racked up eight bouts before making the leap to full-time fighter. Riding a six-fight winning streak into her Octagon debut, Pearl has polished off five of her foes before the final bell with future UFC talent Cortney Casey being among the victims.
Though her mechanics are rough and a bit unkempt, Gonzalez is competent in the striking department. She is a former Golden Gloves champion. Pearl works behind an educated jab while often using her kicking game as a smokescreen to setup TD's. By launching a quick HHK she baits her opponent into raising their guard so that she can get in on their hips. A BJJ Purple Belt, Pearl's an astute grappler with good technique. However she has shown herself vulnerable to getting caught in submissions that she shouldn't. Still yet, she remains calm and uses proper fundamentals to extricate herself from the precarious position.
This is an excellent match put together by Sean Shelby (I assume) as both ladies are very similar in all pertinent aspects of the game. Specifically, age, height, reach, and experience among them. Truthfully, there isn't much separating these two on paper, but physically one lady might have a slight edge over the other. That lady is Calviillo. The edge? Wrestling.
That is to say, the most significant difference between these two as far as I can tell is the athleticism and explosive wrestling of Calviillo. While rudimentary in the standup, she has explosive takedowns, is terrific in scrambles and positively awesome with her back takes much like an early version of Kelvin Gastelum minus the Y chromosome.
In short, both women have basically been on regional can crushing tours. In fairness however, there isn't a lot of high-level female mixed martial artists outside of UFC to make a name off of. That said, besides a lone hiccup over the course of their respective amateur and professional careers, both have essentially shredded their opposition. What's more, they can also claim victory over a legitimate opponent prior to joining the UFC. For Gonzalez it was besting the aforementioned Courtney Casey while Calvillo put a bow on her amateur career with a win over top bantamweight prospect Aspen Ladd.
Having said that, and favoring Calviillo, I do think that the odds are off. At +225 and climbing, I believe the value is on the underdog Gonzalez here. I actually cap Calviillo around -135 with the come back on Gonzalez being +140 at worst. Narrow as they are, Pearl isn't without a path to victory. Be it via strikes, sub. or by using her physicality to pick up two of three with top control.
For those who haven't seen it already, I highly recommend watching the aforementioned Gonzalez vs. Courtney Casey fight that took place early in their respective careers. The bout was just Pearl's third pro-fight yet you could already see that she was a diamond in the rough. The fight was an awesome back-and-forth grappling contest where both gals put on a helluva show!
MY REASONING FOR RECOMMENDING A LOOK AT THE DOG HERE:
Making her sophomore outing, 29-year-old Latina Cynthia Calvillo (4-0) is going to be attempting to build off of what was — for all intents and purposes — a perfect performance against Amanda Bobby Cooper in her Octagon debut just last month.
Calvillo has only fought as a pro for about 8-months but she has a wealth of amateur experience dating all the way back to February 2011 and has long been lauded by the crew at TAM as a future star. In fact, Urijah Faber has boasted that when people need disciplined at the gym he forces them to spar with Calvillo as punishment.
Meanwhile, Gonzalez has competed professionally since 2012 and she too has a deep amateur history in the sport having racked up eight bouts before making the leap to full-time fighter. Riding a six-fight winning streak into her Octagon debut, Pearl has polished off five of her foes before the final bell with future UFC talent Cortney Casey being among the victims.
Though her mechanics are rough and a bit unkempt, Gonzalez is competent in the striking department. She is a former Golden Gloves champion. Pearl works behind an educated jab while often using her kicking game as a smokescreen to setup TD's. By launching a quick HHK she baits her opponent into raising their guard so that she can get in on their hips. A BJJ Purple Belt, Pearl's an astute grappler with good technique. However she has shown herself vulnerable to getting caught in submissions that she shouldn't. Still yet, she remains calm and uses proper fundamentals to extricate herself from the precarious position.
This is an excellent match put together by Sean Shelby (I assume) as both ladies are very similar in all pertinent aspects of the game. Specifically, age, height, reach, and experience among them. Truthfully, there isn't much separating these two on paper, but physically one lady might have a slight edge over the other. That lady is Calviillo. The edge? Wrestling.
That is to say, the most significant difference between these two as far as I can tell is the athleticism and explosive wrestling of Calviillo. While rudimentary in the standup, she has explosive takedowns, is terrific in scrambles and positively awesome with her back takes much like an early version of Kelvin Gastelum minus the Y chromosome.
In short, both women have basically been on regional can crushing tours. In fairness however, there isn't a lot of high-level female mixed martial artists outside of UFC to make a name off of. That said, besides a lone hiccup over the course of their respective amateur and professional careers, both have essentially shredded their opposition. What's more, they can also claim victory over a legitimate opponent prior to joining the UFC. For Gonzalez it was besting the aforementioned Courtney Casey while Calvillo put a bow on her amateur career with a win over top bantamweight prospect Aspen Ladd.
Having said that, and favoring Calviillo, I do think that the odds are off. At +225 and climbing, I believe the value is on the underdog Gonzalez here. I actually cap Calviillo around -135 with the come back on Gonzalez being +140 at worst. Narrow as they are, Pearl isn't without a path to victory. Be it via strikes, sub. or by using her physicality to pick up two of three with top control.
For those who haven't seen it already, I highly recommend watching the aforementioned Gonzalez vs. Courtney Casey fight that took place early in their respective careers. The bout was just Pearl's third pro-fight yet you could already see that she was a diamond in the rough. The fight was an awesome back-and-forth grappling contest where both gals put on a helluva show!
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More BD's
Desmond Green/Josh Emmett
Usman/Strickland
Desmond Green/Josh Emmett
Green has significant issues with his cardio from time to time. He has missed weight x2 and was forced to try the ole Daniel Strauss trick of cutting off his Predator style dreads just to attempt to hit the mark. I have watched all of his fights since he was fighting Henry Martinez in the NES days and then threw AXS/HDNet on to Titan FC and I can tell you a bit about him.
First thing that you need to know about Green is that he is a pillow fisted striker with above average athleticism and virtually no explosion or quick twitch muscles to accentuate his wrestling game. A decent wrestler from the University of Buffalo, Desmond is for all intents and purposes a wet blanket. However, much of this blanketing comes via the vertical stylings as he loves to initiate the clinch and wall-and-stall his way to victory lane. He rarely threatens with a submission and even more rare is his success in said effort. Specifically, in 24 fights he only has one submission and that was all the way back in 2012. Ostensibly, Green is a decision machine very reminiscent of what we see from Emmanuel Sanchez. In fact, nearly 70% of Green's wins or by the session.
Green has always done well when he could be the bigger man and at featherweight he was just this. However, that edge is gone as a '55er and at LW Josh Emmett is going to be the bigger are more powerful man in the cage. Moreover Emmett will not be concerned with Green's striking whatsoever and he will walk through whatever Desmond throws for sure.
Regarding the cardio: Green's gas tank has historically been hit or miss through the years. However, what has remained constant is his Lesnar-esque propensity to avoid a fight. Worse still, if his opponent makes it dirty, Green is known to shut down. This result in much of his conditioning issues I am. When things start to get nasty in there, Green begins shooting for panic takedowns from 10 feet across the cage with no set ups. I see this happening again with Josh because of his ability to make things dirty in there.
Basically the standup attack of Green is via Michael Bisping-esque circa 2008-2013 before he started sitting down on his punches. Much like Bisping, Desmond sort of floats around the cage throwing out a lot of feelers without ever sinking the balls of his feet into the mat and really digging in for a power shot. Instead he is just striking and moving striking and moving striking and moving as he is literally "pulling his punches" in there. Of course this prohibits him from setting his feet and throwing heat. In turn it results in the inability for Green to get the respect of his opponent standing. The problem with this is that it makes it more difficult to get the takedowns.
Desmond's best weapon is certainly his right leg kick to the body. He really throws a nice stiff kick to the midsection and it takes a lot of wind out of his opponents sails. Other than that, he doesn't have much to offer standing and Josh should be able to walk through anything he throws.
Stylistically this is a bad matchup for Green. I think Emmett shots around-240 though I think we get a decision either way about 80% of the time. TBT Emmett and Green are a lot alike. That is to say, both are prototypical wrestle-boxers with decent athleticism. Emmett is a stick and move pocket boxer more power and diversity though. It's this diversity and striking power that separate the two. This advantage coupled with his powerful boxing and stick-to-itiveness will propel Emmett to victory in my opinion.
I do recommend Josh Emmett x third round finish is an @ ~ +2000
First thing that you need to know about Green is that he is a pillow fisted striker with above average athleticism and virtually no explosion or quick twitch muscles to accentuate his wrestling game. A decent wrestler from the University of Buffalo, Desmond is for all intents and purposes a wet blanket. However, much of this blanketing comes via the vertical stylings as he loves to initiate the clinch and wall-and-stall his way to victory lane. He rarely threatens with a submission and even more rare is his success in said effort. Specifically, in 24 fights he only has one submission and that was all the way back in 2012. Ostensibly, Green is a decision machine very reminiscent of what we see from Emmanuel Sanchez. In fact, nearly 70% of Green's wins or by the session.
Green has always done well when he could be the bigger man and at featherweight he was just this. However, that edge is gone as a '55er and at LW Josh Emmett is going to be the bigger are more powerful man in the cage. Moreover Emmett will not be concerned with Green's striking whatsoever and he will walk through whatever Desmond throws for sure.
Regarding the cardio: Green's gas tank has historically been hit or miss through the years. However, what has remained constant is his Lesnar-esque propensity to avoid a fight. Worse still, if his opponent makes it dirty, Green is known to shut down. This result in much of his conditioning issues I am. When things start to get nasty in there, Green begins shooting for panic takedowns from 10 feet across the cage with no set ups. I see this happening again with Josh because of his ability to make things dirty in there.
Basically the standup attack of Green is via Michael Bisping-esque circa 2008-2013 before he started sitting down on his punches. Much like Bisping, Desmond sort of floats around the cage throwing out a lot of feelers without ever sinking the balls of his feet into the mat and really digging in for a power shot. Instead he is just striking and moving striking and moving striking and moving as he is literally "pulling his punches" in there. Of course this prohibits him from setting his feet and throwing heat. In turn it results in the inability for Green to get the respect of his opponent standing. The problem with this is that it makes it more difficult to get the takedowns.
Desmond's best weapon is certainly his right leg kick to the body. He really throws a nice stiff kick to the midsection and it takes a lot of wind out of his opponents sails. Other than that, he doesn't have much to offer standing and Josh should be able to walk through anything he throws.
Stylistically this is a bad matchup for Green. I think Emmett shots around-240 though I think we get a decision either way about 80% of the time. TBT Emmett and Green are a lot alike. That is to say, both are prototypical wrestle-boxers with decent athleticism. Emmett is a stick and move pocket boxer more power and diversity though. It's this diversity and striking power that separate the two. This advantage coupled with his powerful boxing and stick-to-itiveness will propel Emmett to victory in my opinion.
I do recommend Josh Emmett x third round finish is an @ ~ +2000
Usman/Strickland
Man, I was hoping to see something in Strickland footage to make me pull the trigger with him as a substantial dog, but going back to watch tape has made me more confident in Usman. In fact it was Strickland's last fight against the Brit Tom Breese that totally puts me off off. I'm not really sure how he won that fight TBH. I mean, it wasn't a robbery per se, but Breese did enough to win IMO. He pretty much won rounds one and two respectively with clean striking and more effective damage. Sean was just point fighting and throwing out lazy LK's while working behind a nice — but weak — jab for the first two frames. In fact, when Strickland went back to his corner after the second, they scolded him telling him that he was down two rounds to nothing. Meanwhile Firas told Tom that it was 1-1. I understand that corners often lie to their fighter to get them to push forward, but I do believe that Strickland's corner was being straight up with him.
The big take away from this fight wasn't that it was a robbery though, it was that I'm not so sure that Usman/Strickland definitely over 2.5 anymore as I previously believed it won.. After watching Strickland and Usman tape, I actually believe Kamaru has a chance of getting the knockout. In every five he's in, and specifically the fight against Breese, we have Strickland repeating the cardinal sin of pulling straight back with his head bolt straight like it's on top a flagpole. Breese routinely cracked him for making the mistake and barely missed out from landing a couple good night left hooks.
The major difference between Breese just missing the kill shot and Usman landing it is speed and reach. Specifically, Usman is much faster than the Brit and he has a very long reach which could find the chin of Strickland with regularity and eventually hand the TeamQuest product a free nap. Precisely, Usman will enjoy a significant FOUR inch reach advantage over Breese (73.5 and 77.5 inches respectively) and the Nigerian-American is much faster with his hands. Plus Breese gassed out after r1 which altered the outcome.
Lastly it is noteworthy to mention that Strickland has been the beneficiary of a couple very close split decisions that incidentally took place in England against Brits no less. The English love them some "Tarzan" I guess? Unfortunately, this fight is happening in America and if anyone is going to be "King of the Jungle" it's going to be a Nigerian named Kamaru, not an American named Sean!!! LOL
I think Strickland gets styled on here and maybe, just maybe TKO'd.
The big take away from this fight wasn't that it was a robbery though, it was that I'm not so sure that Usman/Strickland definitely over 2.5 anymore as I previously believed it won.. After watching Strickland and Usman tape, I actually believe Kamaru has a chance of getting the knockout. In every five he's in, and specifically the fight against Breese, we have Strickland repeating the cardinal sin of pulling straight back with his head bolt straight like it's on top a flagpole. Breese routinely cracked him for making the mistake and barely missed out from landing a couple good night left hooks.
The major difference between Breese just missing the kill shot and Usman landing it is speed and reach. Specifically, Usman is much faster than the Brit and he has a very long reach which could find the chin of Strickland with regularity and eventually hand the TeamQuest product a free nap. Precisely, Usman will enjoy a significant FOUR inch reach advantage over Breese (73.5 and 77.5 inches respectively) and the Nigerian-American is much faster with his hands. Plus Breese gassed out after r1 which altered the outcome.
Lastly it is noteworthy to mention that Strickland has been the beneficiary of a couple very close split decisions that incidentally took place in England against Brits no less. The English love them some "Tarzan" I guess? Unfortunately, this fight is happening in America and if anyone is going to be "King of the Jungle" it's going to be a Nigerian named Kamaru, not an American named Sean!!! LOL
I think Strickland gets styled on here and maybe, just maybe TKO'd.
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Much appreciated Good-Buddy. I do enjoy reading a good breakdown, sometimes I do read something I had not yet considered.
If you have more please post. If I win as much as I expect to, I'll shoot you $100 through bitcoin for the effort you put in, you as well Ukram, I appreciate the videos you post.
I
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took usman -3.5 +120 for a unit.. i really think he 30-27's here. normally i take -3.5 when the guy has a chance for a finish, which i don't see in this instance, but it COULD happen.. and +120 is a lot better than -135 (usman dec)
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I don't expect nothing..but I'm glad you appreciate it and I'm rounding up the other BDs now!
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PICKS
Still wavering on Ill Will and Chucky Olives though TBH
Still wavering on Ill Will and Chucky Olives though TBH
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Gotcha BOL
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100% agree and made this play fairly big awhile back (have +115 but whatever, not that much difference). The thing is, even if there's one really competitive round where maybe Usman doesn't have Strickland on his back the whole time, only one judge would need to give it to Usman for this bet to still cashm (obviously assuming Usman ragdolls Strick the other 2 rounds). And like you said it covers the Usman finish too (which is unlikely but hardly impossible).
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DC / Rumble
I'm on DC pretty big here. Rumble house blasted his way through Glover and Ryan Bader and Gustafson but I just believe that his run ends here — again. DC is a very savvy competitor who understands the fundamental nuances of all positions and his mentality is incredibly strong. Specifically he showed this off in the Jones, Rumble and Gus fights where his mettle was tested and in two out of three he came out the other side as the victor.
The fundamentals that are essential against Rumble are high hands, good head movement, and the ability to take a sledgehammer like punch to the head and have the wherewithal to not panic. DC has all of these assets and his ability to fight through adversity is one of the intangibles that he holds over AJ as well. Rumble has always been a front runner and when things get hairy he is the first to close up shop. In this way he is just like Overreem and Belfort. It isn't just a one off either, as we have seen him repeatedly choke against the likes of Kos and Belfort and DC in their first match. He was shutting down so much in the first match against DC that his corner – Henri Hooft in particular — was screaming for him to "man up" into "not give up" after the first round.
DC is a virtual fire hydrant with an anvil for a head which rests atop his shoulders; consequently allowing him to take a punch and roll with it instead of having his neck snapped back with a whiplash like motion to rattle your brain as big punches often do. What's more, DC is always on his front foot and that makes it difficult for Rumble to set up any of his HHKs and puts him in the position of offering up an almost exclusive boxing oriented attack. This also means that no breathing room and it shortens the power that he can generate into his strikes as overcommitting puts him at the risk of been taken down.
I think the DC should be a -255 favorite coming into this fight. The only concern is his injuries and age, but he has shown no evidence of slowing down when he's in there. These two men fought just thought little less than a year ago and it was a one sided beat down save for the opening minutes of the first round. I never like to put my money on a fighter who is almost forced ina position to knock out his opponent out in the opening round or else lose the fight. However that is exactly the situation that Rumble and his backers find themselves in.
The cardio belongs to DC by a country mile and if this tilt gets out of the first round it's going to just like the original. What's more, DC has noted that this camp has focused much more on speed as the one thing that surprised him in the first fight against Rumble was how quick he was. I think DC makes the necessary adjustments and big brothers Rumble once more.
I'm a bit more nervous than I was before this morning's crazy proceedings on the scales, but I am still with the champion.
The fundamentals that are essential against Rumble are high hands, good head movement, and the ability to take a sledgehammer like punch to the head and have the wherewithal to not panic. DC has all of these assets and his ability to fight through adversity is one of the intangibles that he holds over AJ as well. Rumble has always been a front runner and when things get hairy he is the first to close up shop. In this way he is just like Overreem and Belfort. It isn't just a one off either, as we have seen him repeatedly choke against the likes of Kos and Belfort and DC in their first match. He was shutting down so much in the first match against DC that his corner – Henri Hooft in particular — was screaming for him to "man up" into "not give up" after the first round.
DC is a virtual fire hydrant with an anvil for a head which rests atop his shoulders; consequently allowing him to take a punch and roll with it instead of having his neck snapped back with a whiplash like motion to rattle your brain as big punches often do. What's more, DC is always on his front foot and that makes it difficult for Rumble to set up any of his HHKs and puts him in the position of offering up an almost exclusive boxing oriented attack. This also means that no breathing room and it shortens the power that he can generate into his strikes as overcommitting puts him at the risk of been taken down.
I think the DC should be a -255 favorite coming into this fight. The only concern is his injuries and age, but he has shown no evidence of slowing down when he's in there. These two men fought just thought little less than a year ago and it was a one sided beat down save for the opening minutes of the first round. I never like to put my money on a fighter who is almost forced ina position to knock out his opponent out in the opening round or else lose the fight. However that is exactly the situation that Rumble and his backers find themselves in.
The cardio belongs to DC by a country mile and if this tilt gets out of the first round it's going to just like the original. What's more, DC has noted that this camp has focused much more on speed as the one thing that surprised him in the first fight against Rumble was how quick he was. I think DC makes the necessary adjustments and big brothers Rumble once more.
I'm a bit more nervous than I was before this morning's crazy proceedings on the scales, but I am still with the champion.
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Aldana/Chookagian
Chookagian far more technical than the brawling Smith and I think that Irene matches up much better with her than she did with Leslie I just think that Irene was unable to showcase any of her skill in her octagon debut because there was so much pressure on her. Smith is just a bad stylistic matchup for anyone who wants to engage in a firefight and meet her in a battle of attrition. People shit on Leslie Smith all the time, but she is much better than her record or fights indicate. She has actually beaten the likes of Jennifer Maia and Raquel Pennington before and most of her losses have only come to the highest level of competition. What's more, she is probably the grittiest grimiest women's mixed martial artist in the game today. I just think that Irene was here early and often and it totally threw her off of her game for the rest of the fight. Now she has a chance to atone for her lackluster octagon debut and to do it against Choo-Choo-Chookagian is a nice comeback fight for her.
Historically the type of fighter that has given Irene problems his pocket boxers and grandpa heavy rustlers like Tonya avenger. This is not the style of Kaitlyn. In fact, Kaitlyn is more of a point karate stylist though she does have a lot of power in her kicks. However, Kaitlyn is also known to take quite a bit of damage and put herself in bad predicaments. She also starts very slow. Take her bouts with Liz Carmouche and Lauren Murphy. I mean, Liz was mauling her early and she was getting teed off on early by Murphy before she was able to flip the switch and come out in the final two stanzas and do just enough to get the victory.
Irene is very much similar to how Murphy fights only that I believe she is much better. Aldana has heavy hands and works at a fast pace which I believe will help her to get into a mental flow and build her confidence back up. I think we see her work much better than we did in her freshman outing. At the end of the day, I believe that this fight is basically a coin flip, and a plus odds are there is value to be had on the Mexican.
Historically the type of fighter that has given Irene problems his pocket boxers and grandpa heavy rustlers like Tonya avenger. This is not the style of Kaitlyn. In fact, Kaitlyn is more of a point karate stylist though she does have a lot of power in her kicks. However, Kaitlyn is also known to take quite a bit of damage and put herself in bad predicaments. She also starts very slow. Take her bouts with Liz Carmouche and Lauren Murphy. I mean, Liz was mauling her early and she was getting teed off on early by Murphy before she was able to flip the switch and come out in the final two stanzas and do just enough to get the victory.
Irene is very much similar to how Murphy fights only that I believe she is much better. Aldana has heavy hands and works at a fast pace which I believe will help her to get into a mental flow and build her confidence back up. I think we see her work much better than we did in her freshman outing. At the end of the day, I believe that this fight is basically a coin flip, and a plus odds are there is value to be had on the Mexican.
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I watched this like five times and in slow motion – what a fucking life ass degenerates I have – and I just don't see what others are seeing here. I'm not being an advocate for Cormier but if you look closely you can see the shadow of his hands over top of the towel. He is barely holding on at first and then he releases after they get a hold of it — that's when you see the shadow of his hand showing that he isn't grabbing it or putting any real force on it from what I can tell. What's more, he had two full hours to lose a pound so I hardly believe that he needed to turn right around and start pressing on a towel to make the 205 pound limit. I believe he was grabbing that towel because if you notice after the initial weigh-in they drop the towel and exposed his ass LOL if I'm wrong I apologize but I believe it's getting blown out of proportion.
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DC/Rumble
For those looking to bet DC...
DC ML +120
DC Dec +620
DC ITD +160
DC KO +512
DC sub +285
There's one line here that sort of jumps out at me if I'm a DC backer (and though I'm on Rumble I might actually play this one small). Let's look at the fight:
It's extremely unlikely it goes the distance. DC just doesn't want to stand with AJ which means he's only gonna strike to set up his TD's. Assuming he has success, there's just no way Rumble's gas tank holds up for 25 minutes of DC taking him down and leaning on him. So I'm tossing out the dec line, no value imo. ITD will be how DC wins if he does, but +160, meh. ML no value imo due to what I just said about how unlikely it is that it goes to dec. So we are left with sub or KO. I am sorry, but these are off. Yes, Rumble gave up his back and got choked out the first time and for sure that COULD happen again, but it's equally as likely (or maybe even more likely) that he's gassed and gets stuck in a spot he can't get out of and DC just tees off until it's stopped. And there's always the possibility that DC is the one that lands a bomb standing and wins that way. He was a HW and while obviously he doesn't hit like Rumble (nobody does, even at HW imo) he still probably has enough pop to hurt AJ if he lands clean.
DC by KO/TKO at +512 is where the value lies if you are betting DC imo.
For those looking to bet DC...
DC ML +120
DC Dec +620
DC ITD +160
DC KO +512
DC sub +285
There's one line here that sort of jumps out at me if I'm a DC backer (and though I'm on Rumble I might actually play this one small). Let's look at the fight:
It's extremely unlikely it goes the distance. DC just doesn't want to stand with AJ which means he's only gonna strike to set up his TD's. Assuming he has success, there's just no way Rumble's gas tank holds up for 25 minutes of DC taking him down and leaning on him. So I'm tossing out the dec line, no value imo. ITD will be how DC wins if he does, but +160, meh. ML no value imo due to what I just said about how unlikely it is that it goes to dec. So we are left with sub or KO. I am sorry, but these are off. Yes, Rumble gave up his back and got choked out the first time and for sure that COULD happen again, but it's equally as likely (or maybe even more likely) that he's gassed and gets stuck in a spot he can't get out of and DC just tees off until it's stopped. And there's always the possibility that DC is the one that lands a bomb standing and wins that way. He was a HW and while obviously he doesn't hit like Rumble (nobody does, even at HW imo) he still probably has enough pop to hurt AJ if he lands clean.
DC by KO/TKO at +512 is where the value lies if you are betting DC imo.
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Bro... Myles Jury created his own form of jiu jitsu... From scratch!
I think @plekz is a blue belt in Jury Jiu Jitsu, so he can probably give you more insight on how legit it is.
- Joined
- Oct 9, 2009
- Messages
- 16,990
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My sister is a RN and was shocked that she was ever allowed to fight. She worked for ten years at a plastic surgeon office and said one good kick to the chest could cause them to literally explode lol
She did say that the main difference would be what type of implants she had. That if they are the old school saline breast implants. Saline breast implants are filled with salt water or gel implants then she is very much at risk for a rupture. However if they are form-stable implants which are often called "gummy bear breast implants" she is at far less risk for a rupture. Crazy I now know this.
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- Oct 9, 2009
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- 16,990
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- 11
Me too, looks off. Maybe I'm just reaching but D.C. seems off. And I'm betting him. Hmmm?
- Joined
- Mar 15, 2012
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Latest posts
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Can we finally agree that even PRIME Tony gets mauled by Khabib?- Latest: RichardHarrow
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NCAAF Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers 4pm ET 1-1- Latest: Kung Fu Kowboy
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