UFC 210 - DC vs AJ 2 - Buffalo - II

[raketmannen]

Also the Cormier rounds... Maybe 10 days ago I posted that I took Cormier rd 3 4 and 5 at +875 +1275 +1875 respectively. Nobody paid much attention to it... one guy even said "wait till closer to the fight those lines will get better".

Well now they are +650 +675 and +1550. I would not take any of those current lines (maybe a tiny flyer on rd 5). But I love the lines I got.

Bet365 still have them at +1200, +1600, +2200

 

[crewman]

Mark my words, Daniel Cormier is going to win this fight, it's not going to be easy but he will get his hand raised one way or another. Just like the weigh ins, the man finds a way. He's done it before, he'll do it again.

#BelieveInDC #GettingMine #GetYours #Heart #NoQuit #Grind #LetsGoChamp #NoDoubt #NotCockyJustConfident #RiseUp #AndStill #GettingItDone

I am a DC fan but even I have reservations about this fight (Hell I even bet on him in the first match!)

AJ is a beast, people didn't expect him to defeat Gus look what happened there. On paper DC is the better fighter...On paper...

People think all AJ has is his power, this is not true, he has been working his all round game profusely, he is ready for 5 full rounds. Like I said before I think people are going to be surprised to see how good AJ truly is, I can even envision him picking up a decision here (Judges love his style)

People overrate DC too much, Gus stumbled him pretty good in their fight imagine what AJ will do in that situation. DC will look square come fight time.

#HaveFaith #AJIsABeast #RumbleTime #TheyScared #Towel7

Hear the power

 

[Sham5916910]

I am a DC fan but even I have reservations about this fight (Hell I even bet on him in the first match!)

AJ is a beast, people didn't expect him to defeat Gus look what happened there. On paper DC is the better fighter...On paper...

People think all AJ has is his power, this is not true, he has been working his all round game profusely, he is ready for 5 full rounds. Like I said before I think people are going to be surprised to see how good AJ truly is, I can even envision him picking up a decision here (Judges love his style)

People overrate DC too much, Gus stumbled him pretty good in their fight imagine what AJ will do in that situation. DC will look square come fight time.

#HaveFaith #AJIsABeast #RumbleTime #TheyScared #Towel7

Hear the power

How is dc overrated? Get with it hes only ever lost to jj. Jeez

 

[BamBamBakhbakhi]

More BD's


Desmond Green/Josh Emmett

Spoiler

Green has significant issues with his cardio from time to time. He has missed weight x2 and was forced to try the ole Daniel Strauss trick of cutting off his Predator style dreads just to attempt to hit the mark. I have watched all of his fights since he was fighting Henry Martinez in the NES days and then threw AXS/HDNet on to Titan FC and I can tell you a bit about him.

First thing that you need to know about Green is that he is a pillow fisted striker with above average athleticism and virtually no explosion or quick twitch muscles to accentuate his wrestling game. A decent wrestler from the University of Buffalo, Desmond is for all intents and purposes a wet blanket. However, much of this blanketing comes via the vertical stylings as he loves to initiate the clinch and wall-and-stall his way to victory lane. He rarely threatens with a submission and even more rare is his success in said effort. Specifically, in 24 fights he only has one submission and that was all the way back in 2012. Ostensibly, Green is a decision machine very reminiscent of what we see from Emmanuel Sanchez. In fact, nearly 70% of Green's wins or by the session.

Green has always done well when he could be the bigger man and at featherweight he was just this. However, that edge is gone as a '55er and at LW Josh Emmett is going to be the bigger are more powerful man in the cage. Moreover Emmett will not be concerned with Green's striking whatsoever and he will walk through whatever Desmond throws for sure.

Regarding the cardio: Green's gas tank has historically been hit or miss through the years. However, what has remained constant is his Lesnar-esque propensity to avoid a fight. Worse still, if his opponent makes it dirty, Green is known to shut down. This result in much of his conditioning issues I am. When things start to get nasty in there, Green begins shooting for panic takedowns from 10 feet across the cage with no set ups. I see this happening again with Josh because of his ability to make things dirty in there.

Basically the standup attack of Green is via Michael Bisping-esque circa 2008-2013 before he started sitting down on his punches. Much like Bisping, Desmond sort of floats around the cage throwing out a lot of feelers without ever sinking the balls of his feet into the mat and really digging in for a power shot. Instead he is just striking and moving striking and moving striking and moving as he is literally "pulling his punches" in there. Of course this prohibits him from setting his feet and throwing heat. In turn it results in the inability for Green to get the respect of his opponent standing. The problem with this is that it makes it more difficult to get the takedowns.

Desmond's best weapon is certainly his right leg kick to the body. He really throws a nice stiff kick to the midsection and it takes a lot of wind out of his opponents sails. Other than that, he doesn't have much to offer standing and Josh should be able to walk through anything he throws.

Stylistically this is a bad matchup for Green. I think Emmett shots around-240 though I think we get a decision either way about 80% of the time. TBT Emmett and Green are a lot alike. That is to say, both are prototypical wrestle-boxers with decent athleticism. Emmett is a stick and move pocket boxer more power and diversity though. It's this diversity and striking power that separate the two. This advantage coupled with his powerful boxing and stick-to-itiveness will propel Emmett to victory in my opinion.

I do recommend Josh Emmett x third round finish is an @ ~ +2000

Usman/Strickland

Spoiler

Man, I was hoping to see something in Strickland footage to make me pull the trigger with him as a substantial dog, but going back to watch tape has made me more confident in Usman. In fact it was Strickland's last fight against the Brit Tom Breese that totally puts me off off. I'm not really sure how he won that fight TBH. I mean, it wasn't a robbery per se, but Breese did enough to win IMO. He pretty much won rounds one and two respectively with clean striking and more effective damage. Sean was just point fighting and throwing out lazy LK's while working behind a nice — but weak — jab for the first two frames. In fact, when Strickland went back to his corner after the second, they scolded him telling him that he was down two rounds to nothing. Meanwhile Firas told Tom that it was 1-1. I understand that corners often lie to their fighter to get them to push forward, but I do believe that Strickland's corner was being straight up with him.

The big take away from this fight wasn't that it was a robbery though, it was that I'm not so sure that Usman/Strickland definitely over 2.5 anymore as I previously believed it won.. After watching Strickland and Usman tape, I actually believe Kamaru has a chance of getting the knockout. In every five he's in, and specifically the fight against Breese, we have Strickland repeating the cardinal sin of pulling straight back with his head bolt straight like it's on top a flagpole. Breese routinely cracked him for making the mistake and barely missed out from landing a couple good night left hooks.

The major difference between Breese just missing the kill shot and Usman landing it is speed and reach. Specifically, Usman is much faster than the Brit and he has a very long reach which could find the chin of Strickland with regularity and eventually hand the TeamQuest product a free nap. Precisely, Usman will enjoy a significant FOUR inch reach advantage over Breese (73.5 and 77.5 inches respectively) and the Nigerian-American is much faster with his hands. Plus Breese gassed out after r1 which altered the outcome.

Lastly it is noteworthy to mention that Strickland has been the beneficiary of a couple very close split decisions that incidentally took place in England against Brits no less. The English love them some "Tarzan" I guess? Unfortunately, this fight is happening in America and if anyone is going to be "King of the Jungle" it's going to be a Nigerian named Kamaru, not an American named Sean!!! LOL

I think Strickland gets styled on here and maybe, just maybe TKO'd.

Great breakdowns!

 

[crewman]

How is dc overrated? Get with it hes only ever lost to jj. Jeez

Gus clipped him well, Anderson Silva had a bit of success in that last round, Rumble is going to finish what he started 2 years ago.

 

[mkess101]

I am a DC fan but even I have reservations about this fight (Hell I even bet on him in the first match!)

AJ is a beast, people didn't expect him to defeat Gus look what happened there. On paper DC is the better fighter...On paper...

People think all AJ has is his power, this is not true, he has been working his all round game profusely, he is ready for 5 full rounds. Like I said before I think people are going to be surprised to see how good AJ truly is, I can even envision him picking up a decision here (Judges love his style)

People overrate DC too much, Gus stumbled him pretty good in their fight imagine what AJ will do in that situation. DC will look square come fight time.

#HaveFaith #AJIsABeast #RumbleTime #TheyScared #Towel7

Hear the power

Dude AJ isn't winning a decision. DC just isn't gonna let him sit on the outside and kickbox to a win like Phil Davis did. This is 5 rounds and either Rumble lands something huge and DC ends up like Glover and Gus and Lil Nog, or DC gets to the clinch, wears AJ down, and probably fnishes him. Rumble doesn't have the cardio to go 5 rds at the grinding pace DC will set.

For the record I think Rumble wins by first round KO. But if this thing becomes a war of attrition he is fucked.

 

[crewman]

You talk like its easy for DC to get into a war of attrition with AJ, Even in the first fight DC was struggling to take AJ down. Good luck trying to close the distance with AJ. People will be shocked after this fight, DC is getting his first tko loss.

 

[mkess101]

You talk like its easy for DC to get into a war of attrition with AJ, Even in the first fight DC was struggling to take AJ down. Good luck trying to close the distance with AJ. People will be shocked after this fight, DC is getting his first tko loss.

I'll try to show patience here with you.

I said that IF it's a war of attrition, Rumble has no shot. Did you miss where I picked Rumble by KO in rd 1? My point is that if he can't finish early and DC is able to get it into a grinding type fight, Rumble is screwed. You said Rumble is prepared to go 5 rds. There's literally nothing we've seen that says he could handle the type of pressure DC will apply if this turns into that type of fight. DC won't stand on the outside and have a kickboxing match like Phil Davis did with Rumble. DC is gonna go out on his sword. He'll either get caught closing distance and KO'd, or he'll get inside, take Rumble down, and wear him out on the mat like he did the first time.

I was responding to you saying Rumble could win a dec because "the judges like his style". Which in this fight is irrelevant due to how DC will approach it.

Edit: And people will be "shocked"? You realize that Rumble is the betting favorite right? Nobody will think it "shocking" if he wins by KO. In fact, of all the props, that one is capped as the most likely outcome. So your grand proclamations are not very grand at all. I have bets on Rumble KO and Rumble rd 1. So yeah, you aren't being a trendsetter or picking some crazy upset.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Soooo many of us are on the same people/plays. Hell, even the media is pretty unanimous in their opinions and predictions. I'm still scared, but confidence increase

 

[Jamah]

Soooo many of us are on the same people/plays. Hell, even the media is pretty unanimous in their opinions and predictions. I'm still scared, but confidence increase

We won't see many upsets this event, but yeah, I'm a bit scared too.

 

[MMA Goodfella]

I know it's juicy, but I think one of the best lines of the card is EMMETT NSC -200

Man, I just have a hard time seeing either (a) this not cash and/or (b) you not getting your money back.

 

[timmyclax22]

Looked like Chris had a great camp, great and easy cut, in good spirits and now it's just up to who the better man is tonight.

Hoping for no crazy last minute cancellations and hoping for a good, fun, profitable event for everyone. Except Mousasi backers!

 

[Jamah]

Fury's Fight Picks‏@FurysFightPicks Hace 1 minuto
#UFC210 predictions Cormier Mousasi Calvillo Cote Brooks Jury Usman Burgos Cummins Gillespie Emmet Chookagian Bibulotav

 

[Joseph Budden]

Fury's Fight Picks‏@FurysFightPicks Hace 1 minuto
#UFC210 predictions Cormier Mousasi Calvillo Cote Brooks Jury Usman Burgos Cummins Gillespie Emmet Chookagian Bibulotav

We already know a fury is just gonna pick all favorites, no need to show us

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Fight of the night..? I know it's difficult with 13 fights but Brooks/Oliveira looks enticing at +700.

Let me introduce alternative theory:

I think that Cynthia and Pearl (Yes I'm on first name basis with them) is going to be a dogfight. It's on the main card. Dana absolutely loves Cynthia. And after all the craziness wouldn't be surprised to see him hook them up with 50k ea. Especially if Rumble/DC ends early from KO/SUB

just things to consider.

 

[Sham5916910]

Gus clipped him well, Anderson Silva had a bit of success in that last round, Rumble is going to finish what he started 2 years ago.

Gus nearly beat jj ffs. Silva landed a body kick thats all he did and dc clearly had no interest in that fight.

 

[Sham5916910]

Let me introduce alternative theory:

I think that Cynthia and Pearl (Yes I'm on first name basis with them) is going to be a dogfight. It's on the main card. Dana absolutely loves Cynthia. And after all the craziness wouldn't be surprised to see him hook them up with 50k ea. Especially if Rumble/DC ends early from KO/SUB

just things to consider.

I think peatls getting tied up like a pretzel

 

[Sham5916910]

Fury's Fight Picks‏@FurysFightPicks Hace 1 minuto
#UFC210 predictions Cormier Mousasi Calvillo Cote Brooks Jury Usman Burgos Cummins Gillespie Emmet Chookagian Bibulotav

Mother of god luca picked two dogs? For real?

 

[P4p Islam]

Soooo many of us are on the same people/plays. Hell, even the media is pretty unanimous in their opinions and predictions. I'm still scared, but confidence increase

The only fight I'm nervous about is the cummins fight. I fully expect cummins to win, and cummins as a dog is the #hof play, but that fight iq......

As long as cummins doesn't stay at range with his hands down like he did against glover and nog then he should be fine.

 

[MMA Goodfella]

What have you seen from pearl that makes you like her?

Besides her barely legal saline filled wonder muffins you mean?

Spoiler