UFC 207 - Nunes vs Rousey - Vegas

[mkess101]

I would be surprised if Cody can't wrestle with his history at TAM.

I also think Cruz is on the wrong side of his career. Don't get me wrong, I've bet him every fight since he's come back but I think there is always the question of how heathy he really is. I'm also not convinced he has fought someone with Cody's power.

TJ can wrestle too, better than Cody by a fairly wide margin I'd imagine.

Dom still hit strategic TD's against TJ that helped him win rounds.

Agree about Cody's power, it's the real deal. I don't think he lands the big shot, but if he does there's no doubt he can hurt Dom.

Cody KO is the easy hedge for those of us betting Dom.

 

[vkram]

Wonder what Cody NSC will be.

 

[mkess101]

And...was just informed we are leaving town Friday the 30th and not the 31st which means can't watch this card nor (obviously) live bet it.

My results will all be pre fight bets, no live. Gotta be right on things beforehand.

 

[cagebrain]

To all those expecting RR to be bet close to the fight: IIRC Ronda's opponent usually get bet close to the fight. Although those were massive favorite lines.

 

[cagebrain]

i'm on both lineker and o2.5. more on o2.5. could definitely win both. hard to lose both. i'll be shocked if TJ comes out and finishes lineker U2.5. i'll take that risk.

Really like this hedge. Tailed.

 

[mkess101]

To all those expecting RR to be bet close to the fight: IIRC Ronda's opponent usually get bet close to the fight. Although those were massive favorite lines.

Yeah I remember Corriea went from like +1400 to +1000 or something.

No idea on line movement here. I bet Nunes now because I like the line enough where it is. Without a good feel for where it will move I'd rather just take +140 than get greedy and end up with the fight being at evens or something.

 

[cagebrain]

Yeah I remember Corriea went from like +1400 to +1000 or something.

No idea on line movement here. I bet Nunes now because I like the line enough where it is. Without a good feel for where it will move I'd rather just take +140 than get greedy and end up with the fight being at evens or something.

yeah. I remember holm peaked at something like +1600 and closed around +7-800

 

[Cptn1NSAN0]

And...was just informed we are leaving town Friday the 30th and not the 31st which means can't watch this card nor (obviously) live bet it.

My results will all be pre fight bets, no live. Gotta be right on things beforehand.

Tough break. We will LB in your honor

 

[Tebowned]

Just watched Nunes and Rondas last few fights.
Take away the non fighting BS and this is a hard fight to cap.

Nunes can definitely put her out early especially if RR bull rushes. Ronda can definitely win by arm bar and I think her chances go up the longer the fight goes.

Nunes is so strong in the clinch in the first round. No one really out muscles her in the first.
Sarah Mcmann had double underhooks twice and struggled to get her down.
I do think Nunes can and will land bombs if RR bum rushes.


If Nunes doesn't put her away early I can see her getting straight dominated in the clinch and on the mat.
Outside the first round whenever she has been put on her back she's a straight fish out of water.
Schvenko took her down and held her down for quite some time this year.

Schvenko is obviously a very good striker and had the defense to last to the 3rd round.


I'm pretty torn on the fight. I like Nunes Round 1 and round 2 and maybe Ronda round 3.
I just can't bet big on this fight since Nunes is such a cardio liability even after switching to ATT.

 

[Tebowned]

And...was just informed we are leaving town Friday the 30th and not the 31st which means can't watch this card nor (obviously) live bet it.

My results will all be pre fight bets, no live. Gotta be right on things beforehand.

I'm gonna miss the main card too.
Traveling to Vegas Friday night.

 

[Officer_Brown]

nunes vs rousey over 1,5 @+155 (2.55).. love it though. thoughts?

 

[vkram]

nunes vs rousey over 1,5 @+155 (2.55).. love it though. thoughts?

Not really liking it, Ronda went over 1.5 only once and Nunes' last 7 out of 8 wins came in the first round. I guess you could say that Ronda will come out cautious but Nunes always comes out strong and will bring the fight to her, which will probably lead to a finish one way or another.

 

[Officer_Brown]

Not really liking it, Ronda went over 1.5 only once and Nunes' last 7 out of 8 wins came in the first round. I guess you could say that Ronda will come out cautious but Nunes always comes out strong and will bring the fight to her, which will probably lead to a finish one way or another.

yeah but i think in the past rondas opponent were that much less skilled back then and the skill gap was big. now everyone knows that ronda is beatable. I want to believe that they kinda neutralize each other out in the first roundat least. ronda doesnt want to get ko'd and nunes doesn't want to blow her gas tank.

 

[susanto]

Who has better chance of winning?
Garbrandt or Lineker?

 

[Timurd123]

That doesn't mean there's not a different way for him to healthily cut, and if he's open to those alternatives like he seems to be and come weigh ins he looks better than he has, than I can take what he's saying seriously

It honestly sounds like you are reaching, its basically guessing he will magically come in shape when he hasnt been in a while and is talking about retirement and how he cant cut weight like he wants to anymore

He can by all means still blast out Neil in a minute, but I wouldnt count on him coming in shape, if I was betting Hendricks I would wait to see him at the WI

 

[Timurd123]

Who has better chance of winning?
Garbrandt or Lineker?

I think Lineker knocks out TJ

 

[Timurd123]

yeah but i think in the past rondas opponent were that much less skilled back then and the skill gap was big. now everyone knows that ronda is beatable. I want to believe that they kinda neutralize each other out in the first roundat least. ronda doesnt want to get ko'd and nunes doesn't want to blow her gas tank.

I think Ronda comes out and bull rushes Nunes

She has obvious confidence issues , standing at range long enough to eat even 3-4 strikes from Nunes could be catastrophic, she and her team know that and will be looking to get this fight down in under 10 seconds imo

Im hoping you are right tho and Ronda comes in and shows a bit of striking, got a few unites on Amanda rd1

 

[Shoulder]

Tate has always been easy to hit, though. Her striking defense is bad

Which is a big difference to this striking miracle with some serious Muhammed Ali-head movement.

 

[rille31]

nunes vs rousey over 1,5 @+155 (2.55).. love it though. thoughts?

terrible price, its around 2.90 on most sites

 

[Oblivian]

I would be surprised if Cody can't wrestle with his history at TAM.

I also think Cruz is on the wrong side of his career. Don't get me wrong, I've bet him every fight since he's come back but I think there is always the question of how heathy he really is. I'm also not convinced he has fought someone with Cody's power.

I'm not going to deny that Cody has power, but I think it's important to put it into perspective. He just dusted Mizugaki, someone who Wineland did the same to and Cruz even (T)Koed him. Mizugaki clearly is showing how hittable he is and how he can be put away. Before that was Almeida who has been rocked in a lot of fights and very hittable. It took a few to put him down as they were in many exchanges that Garbrandt clipped him on. Before that, it wasn't anyone of note and it wasn't like he had all early KOs. I think his big KOs that got him the title shot were against guys willing to stand in the pocket on several occasions.

You can maybe make the argument that Cruz hasn't faced anyone with his boxing or power, but on the flip side, this is a HUGE step up in competition for Garbrandt and he hasn't faced anyone even in the ballpark of Cruz when it comes to movement and wrestling.