UFC 205 - Conor vs Alvarez - NY

[RyuDave]

Lol at the pre fight press conference.
Eddie comes across as thick as shit, I think Conor has his number Saturday night, fake ass leaving the stage then running back like a little minge to sit down again. If he isn't ko'd in the first two he may grind out a decision but I can't see it to be honest and I think Conor's cardio will be better than ever.

Wonderboy calm as fuck as per, woodley seems pretty confident as ever.

JJ and the other chick look like they mean business lol I think that should be a good fight..

 

[cagebrain]

Fight doesnt go to decision is -350, but either fighter gets a ko/tko is -175 on William Hill. Is it worth it for the outside chance of a sub?

 

[cagebrain]

Just ogt an unbreakable boner from Joanna and Karolina arguing in Polish

Joanna: Now you're talking big shit? I'll show you
Karolina: Lets go, lets go
Joanna: I dont like to talk but I'll show you instead, ill show you

Might have mixed up who said what. but that was the gist.

Source: I'm Polish

 

[Joseph Budden]

Joanna: Now you're talking big shit? I'll show you
Karolina: Lets go, lets go
Joanna: I dont like to talk but I'll show you instead, ill show you

Might have mixed up who said what. but that was the gist.

Source: I'm Polish

Whats a nice thing to say to a Polish girl? Getting ready to send KK some celebratory dick pics if she wins the belt and want to spit some game along with them

 

[SBJJ]

LOFL!!

U gotta wonder what the average time is for a dude to take that perfect pic. Getting the right angle and lighting

 

[Soccer Steve]

The Polish trash talking was bad ass.

Connor was out of breath for a while once he sat down after the silly chair threat and preceding nonsense.

 

[iGnP]

Is plekz on Eddie? Jw bc he always seems to be against Conor other than the Mendes fight

 

[Joseph Budden]

LOFL!!

U gotta wonder what the average time is for a dude to take that perfect pic. Getting the right angle and lighting

I just use photoshop to add girth and touch it up to make it look pretty

 

[jack5603]

Just watched tape on Miller vs Alves. I'm curious to see how Alves makes 155, as he struggled to make 170 multiple times. Alves is just as technicle as Miller, but I think Miller has better movement. We've seen Alves struggle against someone with good movement, recently in the Jordan Mein fight and a bit in the Condit fight(granted both men are much bigger.). Alves is still a huge threat, but I like Miller to stay a step ahead and probably win a decision. Also Alves hasn't fought since july 2015, and shortly before that was out for 2 years due to injuries. He gets clipped in the nose it's probably broken again, and we know Miller is as game as they come.

 

[Sham5916910]

Just watched tape on Miller vs Alves. I'm curious to see how Alves makes 155, as he struggled to make 170 multiple times. Alves is just as technicle as Miller, but I think Miller has better movement. We've seen Alves struggle against someone with good movement, recently in the Jordan Mein fight and a bit in the Condit fight(granted both men are much bigger.). Alves is still a huge threat, but I like Miller to stay a step ahead and probably win a decision. Also Alves hasn't fought since july 2015, and shortly before that was out for 2 years due to injuries. He gets clipped in the nose it's probably broken again, and we know Miller is as game as they come.

Off gear is why he can make 155

 

[Sham5916910]

Lol at the pre fight press conference.
Eddie comes across as thick as shit, I think Conor has his number Saturday night, fake ass leaving the stage then running back like a little minge to sit down again. If he isn't ko'd in the first two he may grind out a decision but I can't see it to be honest and I think Conor's cardio will be better than ever.

Wonderboy calm as fuck as per, woodley seems pretty confident as ever.

JJ and the other chick look like they mean business lol I think that should be a good fight..

Agree with your conor alvarez assessment. If it goes to r3 conor could be in bother but i think he blasts him in r1 or r2

 

[RyuDave]

Agree with your conor alvarez assessment. If it goes to r3 conor could be in bother but i think he blasts him in r1 or r2

Yeah I think he'll catch him, eddie knows he needs the takedown so he will need to press forward but I don't think he will be able to receive to many shots with every takedown attempt.. We know Conor can be taken down so it's defo going to be interesting

 

[Sham5916910]

Yeah I think he'll catch him, eddie knows he needs the takedown so he will need to press forward but I don't think he will be able to receive to many shots with every takedown attempt.. We know Conor can be taken down so it's defo going to be interesting

I just think hes far too hittable and he leaves his chin sky high in exchanges. Hes tough but conor is most accurate and hardest hitter hes faced.

 

[Creech]

Just watched tape on Miller vs Alves. I'm curious to see how Alves makes 155, as he struggled to make 170 multiple times. Alves is just as technicle as Miller, but I think Miller has better movement. We've seen Alves struggle against someone with good movement, recently in the Jordan Mein fight and a bit in the Condit fight(granted both men are much bigger.). Alves is still a huge threat, but I like Miller to stay a step ahead and probably win a decision. Also Alves hasn't fought since july 2015, and shortly before that was out for 2 years due to injuries. He gets clipped in the nose it's probably broken again, and we know Miller is as game as they come.

Good analysis, I am on Miller 5u for much the same reasons. The Lyme disease thing that somebody mentioned earlier in this thread is a bit worrying but I'm sticking with him.

Agree with your conor alvarez assessment. If it goes to r3 conor could be in bother but i think he blasts him in r1 or r2

I see this as the most likely outcome too. I've opted for McGregor by decision for reasons that are more superstitous than rational (I bet McGregor by dec in the 2nd Diaz fight) but still see McGregor by dec as a potential outcome. McGregor has invested a shit-ton of money into improving his cardio and I feel like under the "blah blah KO round one" trash talk he's been spouting there have been suggestions that he has been preparing for a five round war. Can he evade Alvarez's takedowns and stick him and move enough to win 3 out of 5 rounds? I think it's possible, and at +800 it's worth a small play IMO.

 

[lawmills2006]

Boetsch Decision +600, hitting that for 0.2u

 

[mkess101]

Some random props gonna take tiny stabs on:

Romero rd 1 +675. This one is sort of a hunch. Going with my gut that Weidman comes out a bit tight, doesn't let his hands go, and gets starched. Romero obviously has enough power.

Miller sub +555. Alves cutting to 155, could tire and get sloppy. People have forgotten how slick Miller can be with his subs.

Wonderboy rd 1 +475. If Woodley comes out aggressive looking for that big overhand right he could easily get countered and put away quickly. Wonderboy's power and accuracy don't necessarly HAVE to wait until Woodley tires. It's just as likely to happen early in the fight.

Cerrone sub +465. Kelvin's a good grappler, but watch his fight with Magny (discussed plenty in here) and it's not hard at all to see Cowboy tapping him. Cowboy is better than Magny on the mat (and specifically is MUCH better finishing via sub). Kelvin may decide to try to avoid the ground completely, but (also discussed here) Cerrone's reactionary TD's have improved drastically. So he could get the fight to the mat by his choosing too at some point.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Need to stop placing bets after I smoke weed. Just realized I hit Miller dec twice. Only time I ever make such mistakes is when I get high and place bets forgetting what I already have money. Smh.

 

[piglord]

I just think hes far too hittable and he leaves his chin sky high in exchanges. Hes tough but conor is most accurate and hardest hitter hes faced.

i'm not sure if conor hits as hard above featherweight. i think if nate can weather the storm twice eddie can as well. if conor doesn't get eddie outta there early i can't see him stuffing takedowns consistently. wouldn't be surprised to see eddie get a finish in the later rounds.

this is the worst fight on the entire card to gamble on imo, but obviously i'll still have to throw down on eddie - hopefully freerolling and not chasing!

 

[mkess101]

Need to stop placing bets after I smoke weed. Just realized I hit Miller dec twice. Only time I ever make such mistakes is when I get high and place bets forgetting what I already have money. Smh.

Nah you only need to worry if you're betting the exact opposite. Like, had you bet NOT Miller by dec then you know you gotta back away from 5d when you're smoking.

The way you did it just means subconsciously you're extra confident in that prop bro. I just bet Miller sub +555 but in honor of your weed induced confidence in Miller dec, I'm gonna hit that a little like you've been hitting the herb.

 

[mkess101]

i'm not sure if conor hits as hard above featherweight. i think if nate can weather the storm twice eddie can as well. if conor doesn't get eddie outta there early i can't see him stuffing takedowns consistently. wouldn't be surprised to see eddie get a finish in the later rounds.

this is the worst fight on the entire card to gamble on imo, but obviously i'll still have to throw down on eddie - hopefully freerolling and not chasing!

Big difference between Nate and Eddie: Conor was scared shitless of Nate's guard and when he dropped him (twice) he backed away to let Nate up giving him a few seconds to recover (vital in those situations). Obviously he will have no such worry with Eddie. If he clips Eddie and drops him, expect the follow up gnp immediately. It's a weapon that allowed Nate to survive that Eddie doesn't possess.