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At a more direct level they can potentially lead to inflation of certain goods as the tariffs will be essentially passed on to customers much of the time, beyond that really it depends on the wider economic impact and exactly what Trumps goals are.So actual question
Will tariffs lead to... Inflation? Deflation? I do t understand macroeconomics
If this actually goes through and manufacturing jobs are added they're gonna have to pay more than $15/hr. No one is gonna leave their job at McDonald's that pays $16/hr to go work a brutal repetitive job in a factory. Regardless of skills, there isn't exactly an extreme labor surplus. Most people can find SOME THING at least in my area.
Companies in my experience are very hesitant to pay decent mostly out of bitterness or what have you. So if these are entry jobs they'll have a hard time attracting actual people to work them. If they require actual skills there just aren't skilled manufacturing workers especially people who want to work for a real wage. No 30 yr old female is working in a factory for less than $100k.
Or the jobs will pay bad. But I dont see landlords lowering their prices. In today's America an adult cannot make $8/hr. You'll be homeless
So what will happen? Inflation? Or smth else?
I do think a significant issue here as well is how government spending is targeted, similar to say creating debt what makes inflation bad for the population is if they don't see improvements in income or public services, if Trump uses this to push though tax breaks for the ultra wealthy it will likely be bad for most Americans.
Whether the US actually has the skilled workforce for significant manufacturing growth is questionable I spose or at least its something which will potentially need years to build up via qualification and training.
Ironically I would argue the end result might actually be more immigration as companies look to bring in skilled foreign workers although you could argue that does still have plenty of benefits to the US if it actually works.