Social Trump's Approval Rating Plummets

[Andy Capp]

Great question and observation. This week’s Trump approval in the poll of polls has stayed at -17. So this is now 2 solid weeks post Kirk. Again, I think he’s chronically underpolled by 3 or 4 but 17 is a lot.

I don't know what you mean by under-polled; regardless, what's the margin of error?

 

[UFCUCF]

I don't know what you mean by under-polled; regardless, what's the margin of error?

The honest answer is I don't know. I'm looking at the poll of polls published by the economist. (They have a cool chart too). I would guess most major pollsters are plus or minus 2.5-4 percent. I vaguely remember from a (long ago) graduate level class on this that depends on a sample size of 600 to 2,000 people. I figure with the poll of polls it should be pretty accurate, from a margin of error standpoint, since we are averaging averages.

What I mean by under-polled is that the election numbers seem to be off by about 3-4 points from the election day polling. It is my personal observation that Trump beats the national polls by about 3-4 points. I think it is more when he is running against female candidates, but even the final numbers against Biden were off...And the averages always seem to be off in the same direction with Trump.

It could be that people are embarrassed to say his name to pollsters, or that the pollsters oversample the Democratic vote. My point is that even if the polls are always off for Trump, they aren't off 17 points off.

 

[Striderxdj]

Are polls fake again yet