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The War Room Bet Thread V3

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Thanks. It was certainly very close. Probably the best possible outcome for me in that I won the bet but the numbers were still pretty good.
 
Ironically, trump fucked me and helped you win this bet.

I'll have to reconsider defending the dummy
 
Jack V Savage said:
Thanks. It was certainly very close. Probably the best possible outcome for me in that I won the bet but the numbers were still pretty good.
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I'll be honest. After the Dec retail sales I thought it might come in lower than 2.9
 
SBJJ said:
No. I thought it was written like actual over unders. That was my mistake.

I'd do a bet on revision either up or down
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Your view is that it'll be revised up, right? My only issue is that while I kind of suspect a downward one, I think it's always pretty close to a 50/50 bet. Maybe if you try to call the size of the revision, we'll have a difference that meets my threshold.
 
Jack V Savage said:
Your view is that it'll be revised up, right? My only issue is that while I kind of suspect a downward one, I think it's always pretty close to a 50/50 bet. Maybe if you try to call the size of the revision, we'll have a difference that meets my threshold.
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Yea. Honestly I think it's about 50/50 also.
 
Serious Congrats though. You were like Tom Brady in the fourth quarter.
 
1. Donald Trump will lose the 2020 US Presidential election
2. @sickc0d3r - for, @waiguoren- against
3. Nov 8, 2020
4. AV bet
5. 2 years
6. Bet is a push if Sanders or Klobuchar is the Democratic nominee or if Trump pulls out of the race before election day for any reason.
 
waiguoren said:
1. Donald Trump will lose the 2020 US Presidential election
2. @sickc0d3r - for, @waiguoren- against
3. Nov 8, 2020
4. AV bet
5. 2 years
6. Bet is a push if Sanders or Klobuchar is the Democratic nominee or if Trump pulls out of the race before election day for any reason.
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What's the fun if two of the most likely opponents are eliminated?

Trump wins the 2020 election, you "Yes", me "No". Push if he isn't on the ballot. Let's get it on!
 
sickc0d3r said:
What's the fun if two of the most likely opponents are eliminated?

Trump wins the 2020 election, you "Yes", me "No". Push if he isn't on the ballot. Let's get it on!
Click to expand...


1) That violates the spirit of the bet. I posted multiple times that Klobuchar is a very hard matchup for Trump and Sanders isn't easy either. If one of them wins the nomination and beats Trump then you will win the bet but you will not have out-predicted me.

2) In what universe is Klobuchar one of the "most likely opponents"? I don't even put her in the top four. I think Sanders, Harris, Biden, Warren all have a better chance.
 
waiguoren said:
1) That violates the spirit of the bet. I posted multiple times that Klobuchar is a very hard matchup for Trump and Sanders isn't easy either. If one of them wins the nomination and beats Trump then you will win the bet but you will not have out-predicted me.

2) In what universe is Klobuchar one of the "most likely opponents"? I don't even put her in the top four. I think Sanders, Harris, Biden, Warren all have a better chance.
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Ok, I see. My bad if I misinterpreted your position. A bet that doesn't include what I consider to be two of the top 5 strongest candidates doesn't really interest me, though.
 
Updated rankings go up after 3 more bets are decided
 
Lead said:
Updated rankings go up after 3 more bets are decided
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This one should resolve soon:

#29. @waiguoren v. @PolishHeadlock
1. The Mueller investigation will indict Trump and accuse Trump of committing a crime to EITHER
a) cooperate with / help Russia carry out the DNC/DCCC/Clinton office hack
OR
b) offer Russia concessions (policy, money, etc) in exchange for the fruits of one of the hacks above
2. PolishHeadlock- for, waiguoren- against
3. When the Mueller investigation concludes
4. Avatar and Signature bet
5. 5 years
6. Null if Mueller is fired or Trump unexpectedly passes
*Lead, Zankou, and panamaican will make the call on the bet when the investigation concludes.
 
waiguoren said:
This one should resolve soon:

#29. @waiguoren v. @PolishHeadlock
1. The Mueller investigation will indict Trump and accuse Trump of committing a crime to EITHER
a) cooperate with / help Russia carry out the DNC/DCCC/Clinton office hack
OR
b) offer Russia concessions (policy, money, etc) in exchange for the fruits of one of the hacks above
2. PolishHeadlock- for, waiguoren- against
3. When the Mueller investigation concludes
4. Avatar and Signature bet
5. 5 years
6. Null if Mueller is fired or Trump unexpectedly passes
*Lead, Zankou, and panamaican will make the call on the bet when the investigation concludes.
Click to expand...

Id guess either the Mueller bets will come through first (2-3 of those) or the impeachment by end of 2019 ones. The Mueller investigation never seems to have a real ETA, especially when we keep hearing its about to wrap up.
 
Bobby 3 Sticks said:
Why would anyone bother engaging you in bets when you walk away from them is beyond me
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Bets in the War Room are not final until the moderator (Lead) confirms them here. Anything prior to that is part of the negotiation phase.
 
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