Economy Stocks thread v28: in loving memory of Rob Mafia and Brackis1

Cramer says there's gonna be a crash, going by the inverse Cramer rule, I guess it's time to buy...



Well looks like market will be going back up and deals will be struck next week! There is plenty of data for this week that may give the market a bit more stability if it turns out okay. On the flipside if Europe issues tariffs, looks like we will be going way further down.
 
What do you see in OXY other than Warren Buffet poured a lot of money into it?
Basically they have an industry low break-even point with oil: $40 and moving into the $30's. OXY simply remains profitable with oil at far lower prices than most other oil companies. Other companies need oil to be much higher to break-even. So that gives OXY a nice margin of safety. The price of oil is sure to increase in the future, but it won't be in a straight line.

Hydrocarbons are limited, there's only so much we have to suck out of the ground before we run out, and they're absolutely necessary for our civilization. Alternative energy can't replace all the need we have for them, not even with transportation, much less for creating Plastics, fertilizers, drugs, etc, all of which require hydrocarbons.

OXY also fundamentally operates differently than other oil companies. OXY doesn't really spend anything on speculative exploration; instead, they just run all the fields with the cash flows going directly to the shareholders. Currently they're focused on debt reduction, which is going ahead of schedule, because they took on a lot of debt with the Anadarko and CrownRock acquisitions. Once that's over, the cash flow should be directed towards buybacks and dividends. Their position in the Permian Basin is very attractive.

They also have their direct air capture technology as an added bonus. It might prove to be fairly lucrative.
 
Everyone is on edge waiting for tomorrow.

The bold side of me is saying take the matured CD's and grab NVDIA and MSFT. The more reasonable is saying, just grab some index funds in the middle of the week - lets see what happens on Mon and Tues. The meek side is saying just roll them over.

ffs
 
Pretty much everything in Asia is down 8-10%. Trading in Taiwan just got halted after they hit the circuit breakers on the way down.

Everyone is on edge waiting for tomorrow.

The bold side of me is saying take the matured CD's and grab NVDIA and MSFT. The more reasonable is saying, just grab some index funds in the middle of the week - lets see what happens on Mon and Tues. The meek side is saying just roll them over.

ffs

I've been trading everything that can be traded for almost 30 years and made a small fortune back in 2008. I'm happily sitting this one out until things settle down a bit, this shit is way outside of my risk tolerance. Take that for what it's worth.
 
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We're likely seeing -20% year-to-date for spy500 this week if not worse. The artificial Covid dump was around -34%. 2007-2008 was like - 57% cumulatively.

With this much volatility in such a short time span the bottom is likely not in unless Trump has some good news
 
Lol. Us little dudes trying whatever we can to actually make some money, even if it's got the same odds as gambling against the house right now

  • “Despite a sea of red, retail investors stood firm and not only bought the dip but did so at a historic pace,” wrote JPMorgan analysts led by Emma Wu. “They ended [Thursday] with +$4.7 billion of net buying, the largest level over the past decade.”
 
I took a look Nasdaq was up 3%.
Went to the bathroom to take piss and it was already down.
intraday bettors may be able to make some good money out of the bloodbath
 
Looks like this is what happened:

(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes reversed course and moved sharply higher after White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said in an interview that President Donald Trump was considering a 90-day tariff pause on all countries expect China.
 
I took a look Nasdaq was up 3%.
Went to the bathroom to take piss and it was already down.
intraday bettors may be able to make some good money out of the bloodbath
It's literally moving too fast lol.

I should have just set up limit orders; instead I was trying to mess around with stock slices, so I could buy really incrementally with fractional shares. Sat out the first 30 minutes, which is where the lows were, but things are still going wild. Did manage to buy a little.
 
Looks like it's pumping again. Have the penguins capitulated? Someone tell me what the latest Twitter rumor is.
 
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