Economy Stocks thread v28: in loving memory of Rob Mafia and Brackis1

So glad I sold mine 75% ago.
We'll see what happens. Today was a lot to digest, with people having totally conflicting views.

25% loss means a 32% gain if it goes back to where it was just yesterday. My average cost-per share is like $43 or something, and it's still at $215, but a 25% drop in one day still stings. Just 3 trading days ago it was actually over $315.
 
We'll see what happens. Today was a lot to digest, with people having totally conflicting views.

25% loss means a 32% gain if it goes back to where it was just yesterday. My average cost-per share is like $43 or something, and it's still at $215, but a 25% drop in one day still stings. Just 3 trading days ago it was actually over $315.

Yep it stings but the main thing is you're still up. I'm assuming you made some purchases today?
 
Yep it stings but the main thing is you're still up. I'm assuming you made some purchases today?
No, I didn't. Besides for IESC, none of my tech really went to buy territory. TT was down 8.3%, but that's been going pretty parabolic for a while now. GOOGL and MSFT weren't really down all that much. I was buying GOOGL below $150 in the fall; it's still at $192. AAPL and AMZN were actually up for the day and TTWO and NTDOY didn't make any big moves.
 
So is it time to buy Nvidia?

Who the heck knows from here. It's certainly not cheap. The market in general is expensive but nobody seems to give a damn about the price of stocks right now.

Lockhead Martin anyone? Stock has tanked since October around -25%.
 
Who the heck knows from here. It's certainly not cheap. The market in general is expensive but nobody seems to give a damn about the price of stocks right now.

Lockhead Martin anyone? Stock has tanked since October around -25%.
Lockheed missed revenue, meanwhile RTX has a 250B backlog to fulfill
 
Lockheed missed revenue, meanwhile RTX has a 250B backlog to fulfill
Lockheed Martin also has a $176 billion backlog, while having a market cap ~$50 billion less than RTX. The F-35 program itself goes until 2070, so they have plenty of work coming for a very long time.

Lockheed's revenue wasn't off by much. They posted revenue of $18.6 billion, which was $170 million off from expectations. What hurt them yesterday was they had $1.3 billion in losses from some contract they had which is classified. It was a fixed price contract, so they agreed to a price with the customer, but their costs went way up, so they were forced to perform the work at a loss. It sucks, but it's not something that's going to continue in perpetuity or really alter their future. They still had net income of $530 million for the quarter, even with that loss.
Who the heck knows from here. It's certainly not cheap. The market in general is expensive but nobody seems to give a damn about the price of stocks right now.

Lockhead Martin anyone? Stock has tanked since October around -25%.

Bought twice yesterday, at around $464 and $458.

Also added some more IESC at around $201.
 
Damn. SBUX reported a better result than expected and stocks went up. I'm 17.42% in the green.
 
Picked up some NVDA also some AMD, almost fully recovered from the Deepseek hit.
 
PLTR reported earning and customer growth that seems to have pleased the after hours crowd at least.
It hit its' 52 week high $84.25 during intraday regular trading and is now up to $102.79 +19.05 22.75% after reporting.

I'm in at $24 and kicking myself I wasn't in somewhere around 12 or so as I remember watching it sink there and not pulling the trigger until it had already climbed to $24.

PS- I am not recommending anyone buy this now without doing a ton of due diligence and researching the company thoroughly.
The valuation is clearly a bubble unless they can keep up this rapid growth for years to come.
The AI industry in nascent and subject to rapid paradigm shifts like DeepSeek just showed us
Leadership gave out tons of stock based compensation and might be willing to dilute owners further if it suits them plus Karp has a terrible haircut and might be a bit of a loon.

ETC and So Forth
 
I goofed up not adding to my Japanese stocks (NTDOY and ITOCY) when it crashed. They had their worst day since 1987 - an event that doesn't come around very often - and it should have been taken advantage of. ITOCY fell to $80 and now it's already back up to $95.
Hurray for second chances. ITOCY ended up going up to $116 and has now fallen back down. It's usually not volatile at all, but it has been the last 3-4 months. Anyway, I backed up the truck and doubled my investment today at $84.36.

NTDOY has taken off since the Switch 2 announcement, so not adding anything there.

I did also add a small bit to GOOGL at $183.17 (their quarter was great; the market's reaction was ridiculous) and CB at $264.73.
 
Coinbase with crazy revenue beat

That ramp up today before market close was intense
 
President Musk and Trump are really fucking with my LMT investment lately:


Defense stocks dropped sharply Thursday afternoon after President Donald Trump suggested the U.S. could massively cut defense spending.

Trump said Thursday at the White House the U.S. could cut defense spending in half at some point in the future. The comments came in the context of Trump discussing a potential conference on defense spending with China and Russia.

“At some point, when things settle down, I’m going to meet with China and I’m going to meet with Russia, in particular those two, and I’m going to say there’s no reason for us to be spending almost $1 trillion on the military ... and I’m going to say we can spend this on other things,” Trump said.

.....


He's full of shit of course, and the budget congress just introduced contained increased defense spending, but the market doesn't like unpredictability. LMT down to $433 and I'm going to buy more today.
 
President Musk and Trump are really fucking with my LMT investment lately:


Defense stocks dropped sharply Thursday afternoon after President Donald Trump suggested the U.S. could massively cut defense spending.

Trump said Thursday at the White House the U.S. could cut defense spending in half at some point in the future. The comments came in the context of Trump discussing a potential conference on defense spending with China and Russia.

“At some point, when things settle down, I’m going to meet with China and I’m going to meet with Russia, in particular those two, and I’m going to say there’s no reason for us to be spending almost $1 trillion on the military ... and I’m going to say we can spend this on other things,” Trump said.

.....


He's full of shit of course, and the budget congress just introduced contained increased defense spending, but the market doesn't like unpredictability. LMT down to $433 and I'm going to buy more today.
Have you looked at BBAI? It ran up pretty good the last few months. I think the expectation is that they'll be able to secure defense contracts due to the new CEO being Trump adjacent. I was looking at defense contractors in general for this year, but I'm not sure anymore.
 
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I really wish I wouldnt have sold all my HIMS when that hit piece came out late last year that caused the stock to tank for awhile

Sonofabitch


Same with Crowdstrike, I bought in after the drama when it was in freefall but it kept freefalling so I jumped back out

Sonofabitch again


I gotta grow some grapefruits...
 
Bought some GOOG. I do think it rebounds.. I'm going to drop it once it gets to 200
 
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