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Obviously, this study has no way to measure how many potential shootings were deterred due to an armed security presence. Nobody thinks armed security will put an end to and stop EVERY shooting. Hardening school security is great, but we're all aware that there is so much more to it than that. The point about armed security and hardening schools is to limit the amount of damage/death to the extent possible. Suicidal shooters will usually end up taking someone else with them, but an armed guard can put an end to that faster than just letting the shooter roam free within the school.The US is more armed than peer or near-peer countries, and has more shootings not fewer. Idk it's almost like more guns = more people getting shot. Anyway
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Presence of Armed School Officials and Fatal and Nonfatal Gunshot Injuries During Mass School Shootings, United States, 1980-2019 | Office of Justice Programs
By examining every recorded incident where one or more people was intentionally shot in a school building during the school day, or where a perpetrator came to school heavily armed with the intent of firing indiscriminately, we examine the association between the presence of an armed officer on...www.ojp.gov
Results are presented as incident rate ratios in Table 2 and show armed guards were not associated with significant reduction in rates of injuries; in fact, controlling for the aforementioned factors of location and school characteristics, the rate of deaths was 2.83 times greater in schools with an armed guard present (incidence rate ratio, 2.96; 95% CI = 1.43-6.13; P = .003).
This study had some limitations. It is limited by its reliance on public data, lack of data on community characteristics, and inability to measure deterred shootings (nonevents). However, the data suggest no association between having an armed officer and deterrence of violence in these cases. An armed officer on the scene was the number one factor associated with increased casualties after the perpetrators’ use of assault rifles or submachine guns. The well-documented weapons effect explains that the presence of a weapon increases aggression. Whenever firearms are present, there is room for error, and even highly trained officers get split-second decisions wrong. Prior research suggests that many school shooters are actively suicidal, intending to die in the act, so an armed officer may be an incentive rather than a deterrent. The majority of shooters who target schools are students of the school, calling into question the effectiveness of hardened security and active shooter drills. Instead, schools must invest in resources to prevent shootings before they occur.
I mean think about, we have fire safety sections in schools and other public buildings to limit the spread of fires, but when someone suggests expanding that to include physical security measures to deter shooters and other violent behavior we get laughed at and told we told want to be inconvenienced or that we don't care about "the children" and get to listen to people whine about "turning schools into prisons".