where are you getting “won’t be able to sustain after X days” from? When you pack a bag for a trip you pack it for X days. When you run out you need to be re supplied. So if you have a direct communication line and uninterrupted delivery system you shouldn’t have to wait long to keep going. When communication AND supply lines are damaged, you are going to be waiting a long time. Then you add on the fact they have to supply over a hundred thousand men, and you start running into serious logistic trouble. How much money does Pootin have to even afford resupplying? Can he afford another 21 days of this? And at what cost?
Well, as I have pointed out, the EU is still getting oil from them. Moreover, India and China agreed to increase oil from them, so they are clearly still getting money.
As for the X days, I already posted the original tweet discussed last thread, where they said Putin can only sustain for about 10 days before having to negotiate. If it continues even for just 21 more days, they clearly were more sustainable than that twitter thread indicated
Then the tweet yesterday saying they will max out in about 10 days due to manpower and ammunition problems. That very well may be the case, but it is a retired general who is not directly involved saying that, so I had only been commenting that I don't know how likely that prediction is. And of course you need to be resupplied, but resupplying is part of sustaining. If they are able to resupply that is the opposite of not being able to sustain.
And I comment on these because it seems like not accurate information and it was/is making people think Russia is about to have to give up and/or Ukraine is about to turn the tide and start pushing Russia back because they are unable to keep this up. Meanwhile, Russia has only accelerated their offense and are encircling/beseiging various cities.
Even just today, Zelenskyy said Ukraine will not be joining NATO, which was one of Putin's main demands.
Again, I have been saying this because I think Zelenskyy should agree to Putin's terms of last week (he already now saying he won't join NATO, the only other part of the terms was the two eastern territories). I also had commented that they longer he draws this out, not only will more Ukrainians die, but it is going to push Putin in further. For instance, if he now takes Odessa, why would he give it back if he now has an Eastern land bridge and then now takes Odessa. He would likely want to keep it, as it would then connect him to Transnistria and then he would have the entire east, south, and North (Belarus). Well low and behold, it is seems he will starting a naval seige of Odessa
they are unable to sustain this conflict, yet he is opening up a new naval front? That does not make sense.