International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

[SandisLL]

The procedure for Slovakia to leave NATO will be relatively easy and fast. At first main obstacle is that parliament should vote this and president should sign this.
Parliament is multipolar and there are big questions will they vote YES or no.
With president Fico will not have problems, he will sign such paper in 1 minute, he like current Slovakian MoD are Fico bottlemates and friends.

 

[SandisLL]

The only real legal tool how we might get Slovakia out of NATO is if they will vote and decide.
To expel currently isn't possible cos Orban will veto such decision. He badly wants Slovakia with Fico to remain in both EU and NATO.

 

[SandisLL]

There ofc is huge risk for Fico : if parliament will vote NO, Fico, president and cabinet of ministers definitely will lost their posts with 0 other chances.
To leave EU they also needs addtitionally referendum and Fico billionaires friends wants Slovakia to remain in EU, otherwise they are really ready physically to grill him for BBQ.

 

[SandisLL]

Oligarchs idea is plain and very simple : if Slovakia will leave NATO then they might reduce not increase their % of GDP used for defense. This money then might be used for their infrastructure etc projects. However due to businesses they badly wants Slovakia to remain in EU.

 

[SandisLL]

Fico btw in open text had told NATO general secretariate and EC that Slovakia should decresase not increase defense expenses. This get Orban into silent mad mode. He was very angry.

 

[SandisLL]

BTW one from tools vs Russia is that Turkey might place mines....they does have a lot of them and it is damn dense shipping area. Obdirshnik and threats with nukes can't help if turkey will install mines.
Black Sea route does have approx 53 % russia's crude oil and diesel fuel and gasoline export route.

However then Egypt and Co will yell that they can't get enough food and Egypt does have Suez Canal all main powers and oligarchates wants to work smoothly.

To block tankers traffic from russia in Baltic sea is possible however due to geography it will need at least 95x more mines than mines required for Turkey to block traffic from Black Sea.

 

[SandisLL]

XI had confirmed that China excepts that if Siberia Power 2 project will be done then russia should invest enough their own money in infrastructure part located in russia .....
It is real blow in balls for Putin because russisn oligarchates had excepted to get free or very cheap money for infrastructure located in russia.

 

[SandisLL]

I even might guess why chinesse wants russia to invest a lot of their own money in infrastructure. Because pipeline should work smoothly and oligarchs during 30 + years had confirmed that if they are getting outside financing they doesn't care about proper maintenance after get $£€. Just open crane and get $£€ function.

So maybe hope if they will invest their own $, then maybe will start more care about upkeep and maintenance.

 

[Alpha_T83]

XI had confirmed that China excepts that if Siberia Power 2 project will be done then russia should invest enough their own money in infrastructure part located in russia .....
It is real blow in balls for Putin because russisn oligarchates had excepted to get free or very cheap money for infrastructure located in russia.

I even might guess why chinesse wants russia to invest a lot of their own money in infrastructure. Because pipeline should work smoothly and oligarchs during 30 + years had confirmed that if they are getting outside financing they doesn't care about proper maintenance after get $£€. Just open crane and get $£€ function.

So maybe hope if they will invest their own $, then maybe will start more care about upkeep and maintenance.

I think China wants to avoid paying for a pipeline and being "on the hook". Russia is notorious for negotiating in bad faith on every international agreement they make, negotiating "front loaded" contracts in which they get everything they want up front, and maintain some long-term obligations.

China could negotiate a deal with Russia to pay for the pipeline, and in exchange Russia agrees to pipe X amount of oil for free after the pipeline is completed, to pay for "their share" of the deal. But then once the pipeline is created and oil starts flowing, China is "on the hook". Nothing then stops Russia from re-negotiating and refusing to honor their agreement to pipe oil at no cost to allow China to re-coup Russia's % the investment.

China is being smart here not trusting Putin.

 

[SandisLL]

I think China wants to avoid paying for a pipeline and being "on the hook". Russia is notorious for negotiating in bad faith on every international agreement they make, negotiating "front loaded" contracts in which they get everything they want up front, and maintain some long-term obligations.

China could negotiate a deal with Russia to pay for the pipeline, and in exchange Russia agrees to pipe X amount of oil for free after the pipeline is completed, to pay for "their share" of the deal. But then once the pipeline is created and oil starts flowing, China is "on the hook". Nothing then stops Russia from re-negotiating and refusing to honor their agreement to pipe oil at no cost to allow China to re-coup Russia's % the investment.

China is being smart here not trusting Putin.

There is also one reality about construction industry in Russia.
Russians are great builders and might provide considerably better quality than might be dreamed to get. IF all materials etc are according to project etc.

Then, after bridge or building etc is finished, you might not invest in upkeep and maintenance any cent some years in row. 0 problems.

Oligarchs then are comfortable to wrote off funding for maintenance and upkeep till something will start to fall apart. Maybe after 10 years, maybe after 30 years.

Once for example they had commision about shaking bridge. Appeared that after commisioning it had maintenance and check ups only on paper 32 years in row.
Ofc, director's daughter had expensive education in western uni, son does have 2 jeeps and mercedes plus villa and 2 flats in expensive buildings.

 

[aerius]

Winning so hard that the capital city is being evacuated. Lol.

Kyiv mayor calls for temporary evacuation after Russian strikes cause power outages

Mass heating outages caused by deadly Russian strikes on Kyiv are set to last into the weekend, leading the capital's mayor to call on residents to temporarily leave the city as sub-zero temperatures…

www.france24.com

 

[Scerpi]

delete…

 

[Rholk]

Russia admits Navy cannot protect tankers from foreign attack

Russia faces a growing crisis over the state of its navy after prominent military analysts publicly acknowledged that the fleet is incapable of defending Russian-linked oil tankers from foreign interception. The assessment, made by pro-Kremlin analysts and amplified by the

defence-blog.com

Lmao

 

[SandisLL]

Russia admits Navy cannot protect tankers from foreign attack

Russia faces a growing crisis over the state of its navy after prominent military analysts publicly acknowledged that the fleet is incapable of defending Russian-linked oil tankers from foreign interception. The assessment, made by pro-Kremlin analysts and amplified by the

defence-blog.com

Lmao

The biggest threat for Putin's shadow fleet is tankers they are using technical condition. Plus they loves use cheapest crews they might get. Usually from low salaries countries.

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

Winning so hard that the capital city is being evacuated. Lol.

Kyiv mayor calls for temporary evacuation after Russian strikes cause power outages

Mass heating outages caused by deadly Russian strikes on Kyiv are set to last into the weekend, leading the capital's mayor to call on residents to temporarily leave the city as sub-zero temperatures…

www.france24.com

Your idol Putler is a terrorist and specializes in killing woman and children and the elderly . You should be proud of who you are and what you support....you sick fuck.

 

[Alpha_T83]

Winning so hard that the capital city is being evacuated. Lol.

Kyiv mayor calls for temporary evacuation after Russian strikes cause power outages

Mass heating outages caused by deadly Russian strikes on Kyiv are set to last into the weekend, leading the capital's mayor to call on residents to temporarily leave the city as sub-zero temperatures…

www.france24.com

No one said Ukraine wasn't struggling.

This is a war of attrition and the winner will be the side that can outlast the other side. Technically neither side is winning, and we won't know who will win until one side agrees to end the war.

I strongly believe Russia will be the first party to be unable to continue, eventually being forced to accept a frozen conflict without appeasement, and with Europe giving security guarantees to Ukraine.

 

[San Marino]

Your idol Putler is a terrorist and specializes in killing woman and children and the elderly . You should be proud of who you are and what you support....you sick fuck.

So, Netanyahu and the Israelis are all sick fucks? They leveled Gaza and killed thousands of women and children.
Again, we Americans killed thousands of women and children in Dresden, Tokyo, Hiroshima, and Nagasaki. Are we also sick fucks?

Again, why hasn't Russia leveled Kiev?

 

[San Marino]

Kyiv mayor calls for temporary evacuation after Russian strikes cause power outages

Mass heating outages caused by deadly Russian strikes on Kyiv are set to last into the weekend, leading the capital's mayor to call on residents to temporarily leave the city as sub-zero temperatures…

www.france24.com

Well, that is good news. Now Russia can level Kiev and end this war.
...and folks here thinking Russia is throwing everything into this war including the kitchen sink. How naive.
...about five RS-28 Sarmat missiles fitted with multiple conventional warheads:

 

[San Marino]

...here we go.
Where is the Lviv air defense system? I thought those western systems were the best in the world. I guess not. Much like in Israel.
From donkeys to missiles. Boy! That was a fast evolution...

8 January 2026.
Russia used the Oreshnik missile system in overnight strikes on Ukraine’s western city of Lviv, triggering explosions and a nationwide missile alert, Ukrainian officials said. Lviv authorities confirmed that a critical infrastructure facility was hit, causing a fire, but said there were no immediate casualties and no damage to residential buildings. The attack followed a rare warning from the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv of a potentially significant Russian air strike, as Zelensky warned that Moscow was preparing further mass attacks on energy and civilian infrastructure amid freezing winter condition

 

[Devil's_Advocate]

That's the Soviet Russian racism I remember where minorities were second and third class citizens.

Winning so hard that the capital city is being evacuated. Lol.

Kyiv mayor calls for temporary evacuation after Russian strikes cause power outages

Mass heating outages caused by deadly Russian strikes on Kyiv are set to last into the weekend, leading the capital's mayor to call on residents to temporarily leave the city as sub-zero temperatures…

www.france24.com

Imagine living in the West/Canada and gloating this hard at Russia attacking civilians. Pathetic.