International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

[SandisLL]

Putin is thinking that he sooner or later will get all ukraine and he does have chances.

Step 1 is to damage Ukr financially as much as it will be possible and to take lands...
Step 2 will be after war active phase when creditors will press Ukr to start pay debts.
Ukraine will get orders to implement austerity measures, will get lesser loans etc....
Poor, living in increasing debts till Russia will take all ukraine sooner or later.

 

[SandisLL]

U.S doesn't have plans to finance aid for ukraine nor this year nor 2026 th.
When all remainings from 2024 th batches of weapons will be delivered... not likely Mike will tell that 1 cent should be used for ukr...

There are 0 signs that they will offer supplies on debt too. Like lend lease etc.

Trump administration had signed 0 cent for ukr. 0.

Ofc yet they doesn't prohibit ukr to purchase weapons or ammo somewhere ...this is today.

However doesn't looks that they now does have time to discuss about sales options from us stockpiles.

 

[SandisLL]

Btw there is speculation, btw pretty realistic that Putin might offer under the table deal ..
For example abadon Iran in exchange for.... U.s abadon Ukraine.

 

[SandisLL]

Putin wants to increase control how is used internet in russia.

Iran does have huge drop of internet traffic.
It isn't known is this cos war or...maybe ajatollas ordered to do this. If Kim had taught them : in North Korea even their local internet is awailable only if you have special permit...foreign internet access is very rare thing, more special permits are needed etc.

 

[SandisLL]

If about Europe reality for ukraine is awful.
Yes, there are rumours that NATO summit will be short briefing type etc in order not to worry Trump etc.

However reality is even worse. European countries ofc will talk something but will think not about ukraine.
& their first priority now is to fill fuel storages...like it was 24.02.2022-07.03.2022 ....
Now shit with Iran - Israel is even worse.
Ukraine isn't top 5 priorities list for europe now. Unfortunately for ukr.
Crying and talking in style " you will be next " will not help. Absolutely.
when they will fill storages, only then they will start to think about other problems.

 

[SandisLL]

Trump had increased number of " flying tankers " parked in europe. Now USAF does have 28 flying tankers in europe.

 

[Cid]

 

[Strychnine]

 

[SandisLL]

Russia had used 104 longer range drones [ more than 60 km from frontline ] during last 24 hours, so maybe they does feel impact cos reduced supplies from Iran ( it is assumed that Iran is supplying some % of components and explosives for russia drone factory ) OR is accumulating drones for some larger attacks planned in future...

 

[SandisLL]

One thing : ryssia is gaining areas. Slowly but dvizuha for Putin is done.

Russia recently had gained ~ + 9, 33 sq km ² in Sumy oblastj and with miniscule losses.
While in mass media and these trolls are yelling about bad or 0 fortifications etc....it does have some excuses because it isn't possible to build normal fortifications very close to frontline in mortars firing range, not alone to talk about drones.

However there is damn big real question about reality: they had enough time to install even industrial scale minefields..months ....
Better is to hope on peremoga in yt.

Now russia does have in this area more REB stations than Ukr, more drones too..
Ukr had slowed down them only by adding units used and this is bad. Peremoga.

I dunno how Ukr even might dream to kick them out from taken area. Especially cos low ammount of mines used they easily might dig in...

 

[SandisLL]

In Harkov oblastj they recently get ~ +0.98 sq km².
This yes, costly stuff for them cos more mines and there Ukr does have cluster ammo. I dunno how busy are crematoriums.
In Donetsk oblastj they had increased controlled area by ~ + 1,4 sq km².

 

[Cid]

 

[Hog-train]

U.S doesn't have plans to finance aid for ukraine nor this year nor 2026 th.
When all remainings from 2024 th batches of weapons will be delivered... not likely Mike will tell that 1 cent should be used for ukr...

There are 0 signs that they will offer supplies on debt too. Like lend lease etc.

Trump administration had signed 0 cent for ukr. 0.

Ofc yet they doesn't prohibit ukr to purchase weapons or ammo somewhere ...this is today.

However doesn't looks that they now does have time to discuss about sales options from us stockpiles.

If Putin still doesn't stop and continually starts gaining more territory in Ukraine, I think Trump might change.

 

[SandisLL]

This month ukr not likely will get something new assigned. Yes, europe will tell something, but not when...and this is big difference. They now are concentrated on fuel storages filling and if will tell: you will get x or y in 2025 th, then without certain terms....

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

Prof Gerdes had a good video today about how low the Russians will go and have gone, everything from chemical weapons to kidnapping children to bombing civilians to war crimes etc. But the newest one is that when Russia exchanged dead bodies that they were sending dead Russians as dead UKR soldiers...not surprising really as there is many reasons why Russia wants to hide their dead. They didnt even bother taking off some of the ID of dead Russians.

 

[Strychnine]

Prof Gerdes had a good video today about how low the Russians will go and have gone, everything from chemical weapons to kidnapping children to bombing civilians to war crimes etc. But the newest one is that when Russia exchanged dead bodies that they were sending dead Russians as dead UKR soldiers...not surprising really as there is many reasons why Russia wants to hide their dead. They didnt even bother taking off some of the ID of dead Russians.

Animals.

 

[Strychnine]

The Russian army robs its own.

 

[Cid]

 

[SandisLL]

Prof Gerdes had a good video today about how low the Russians will go and have gone, everything from chemical weapons to kidnapping children to bombing civilians to war crimes etc. But the newest one is that when Russia exchanged dead bodies that they were sending dead Russians as dead UKR soldiers...not surprising really as there is many reasons why Russia wants to hide their dead. They didnt even bother taking off some of the ID of dead Russians.

Ukr had claimed that in some % of bodybags were some parts of bodies, for example one arm, one leg etc and mesh with human meat etc...
Like for example some remainings from different bodies after explosions.... just put in one body bag meat and...

Dunno how real this is or no.

 

[SandisLL]

There are opinions that war in Ukraine will be all 2025 th and all 2026 th. As bare minimum.

EC flowchart in reality for short term is priority No1. to fill fuel storages till 100%.

Long term opinions are that war in Ukraine will be all 2026 th.

&1 . To prolong protection status for Ukr refugees till summer 2027 th.
&2. To prepare for additional refugees for 2026 th.

Also ofc russian propaganda is portraying that europe wants to prolong war in Ukraine, it is idiots propaganda for plebs.

• Obiviously all signs are that since 2022 th they wants to get ceasefire ASAP in order to end influx of refugees.
Also there are opinions that peace deal might allow to kick out from E.U/ EEZ countries refugees sitting on benefits or making problems for criminal police.
Ofc these who doesn't makes problems and are paying tax etc they doesn't want to kick out. Pretty opposite btw.
Stuff with refugees sometimes is shit and some from them are involved in espionage and mafia type activities not even to talk about DIY cases where victims had died or had get permanent GBH with disability for life.