RIZIN, MMA, betting thread

BigSteve said:
I went deep on this Rizin card if anyone is desperate for fight breakdowns. Lots of units risked atm.
I also did an Oktagon breakdown days ago.

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Good stuff man.

Imagine if fucking Yuta Kubo goes from losing a work to beating Shayudallaev. Would be such an upset.
 
Sina Karimian is worth a poke @3,40. Rukiya Anpo had a fight scheduled at 69kg, while Sina started his cut from 108kg to the 100kg limit yesterday. Anpo is the much better boxer but should be a head shorter and ~30kg lighter on fight night.
 
Macaque said:
Sina Karimian is worth a poke @3,40. Rukiya Anpo had a fight scheduled at 69kg, while Sina started his cut from 108kg to the 100kg limit yesterday. Anpo is the much better boxer but should be a head shorter and ~30kg lighter on fight night.
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I’m unsure of the ruleset. If these are the same rules as the Anpo/Pacquiao fight, the fight should be declared a draw if it goes the distance, in which case the bet would be voided.
 
Macaque said:
I’m unsure of the ruleset. If these are the same rules as the Anpo/Pacquiao fight, the fight should be declared a draw if it goes the distance, in which case the bet would be voided.
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I played half a unit based on weight alone and a bit of tape. Anpo weighed in 81kg which is not bad for an ex LW.
He couldn't even get the corpse of Manny out of there and he tried. Sina not much of a boxer though.
 
Ueda/Kim down to even.

Genji Umeno has like 6 inches in Kawabe. Both are making their MMA debuts. Umeno at +300 feels like value now.

Further action on Ed Polo King which makes no sense to me. Can't believe I'm putting more action on a guy who's 1-3.

Yuki Motoya at +odds against anyone is a play for me.

Dare I say I'm feeling a Ya-Man upset. He'll get my money at +400.
 
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I have a ton of plays, not sure what to keep. Going live with Narcocop in 5 min to discuss all the new and freakshow fights.

 
Sina Kariman 150 to win 360

Asahisa 500 to win 357

Izawa + Kyoji + Shaydullaev 2,000 to win 1,192

Ueda 70 to win 350
 
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EndlessCritic said:
congrats on that ueda line. kyoji got in more trouble than expected.

sakuraba may have been the play of the card in retrospect...
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Cheers the fight was rediculous. If I didn't have money on it I would be laughing.

Sakuraba was a stab in the dark. Im sure we all expected him to one punch Yachi lol
 
BigSteve said:
Sakuraba 1,700 yo win 1,000
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haven't watched yet. bad beat. sad to see these young guys getting taken out by 44 year old pro wrestlers.

nakamura's fight with cristea remains legendary if you've never seen it:

 
EndlessCritic said:
haven't watched yet. bad beat. sad to see these young guys getting taken out by 44 year old pro wrestlers.

nakamura's fight with cristea remains legendary if you've never seen it:

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When shit dosent go your way, your bets lose to a 44 year old dude on a 5 fight losing streak. In speedos.
 
Current bets

Satoshi -250
Motoya +155
Sabatello -125
Kubo +350
Torres -130
Kleber +115

Satoshi has had one bad performance in the last 5 years (against Pitbull in Bellator), but has otherwise looked flawless. He's fighting a relative unknown with a padded record. -250 feels like a fair deal.

Motoya vs Ougikubo is a bittersweet feel good fight. You can't think of two guys in the last decade in Japan who have hovered so close to get a title, but never earned it. Now, finally one of them will get it, and I think this line is a little too wide.

On paper Sabatello walks through Naoki with ease, and I was expecting this line to be closer to -200. He's actually now at -155. But Inoue improves with every fight, and Sabatello nearly got KO'ed against Sato.

Yuta Kubo honestly impresses me more and more every fight, and is a very physical kickboxer. He also showed a ton of grit against Shaydullaev. Dautbek's last two wins were razor thin. Very easy play at +350.

I've always hated the way the UFC did the flyweight division dirty. Jose Torres was in my mind supposed to be a future UFC title challenger. This is arguably his biggest step down in years.

Kleber can be one of the most frustrating fighters to watch, but his finishing ability is undeniable. Never a bad play as a dog.
 
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EndlessCritic said:
Current bets

Satoshi -250
Motoya +155
Sabatello -125
Kubo +350
Torres -130
Kleber +115

Satoshi has had one bad performance in the last 5 years (against Pitbull in Bellator), but has otherwise looked flawless. He's fighting a relative unknown with a padded record. -250 feels like a fair deal.

Motoya vs Ougikubo is a bittersweet feel good fight. You can't think of two guys in the last decade in Japan who have hovered so close to get a title, but never earned it. Now, finally one of them will get it, and I think this line is a little too wide.

On paper Sabatello walks through Naoki with ease, and I was expecting this line to be closer to -200. He's actually now at -155. But Inoue improves with every fight, and Sabatello nearly got KO'ed against Sato.

Yuta Kubo honestly impresses me more and more every fight, and is a very physical kickboxer. He also showed a ton of grit against Shaydullaev. Dautbek's last two wins were razor thin. Very easy play at +350.

I've always hated the way the UFC did the flyweight division dirty. Jose Torres was in my mind supposed to be a future UFC title challenger. This is arguably his biggest step down in years.

Kleber can be one of the most frustrating fighters to watch, but his finishing ability is undeniable. Never a bad play as a dog.
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bratha who check these guys. i follow if my degen instincts kick in on new year's eve.
 
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