RIZIN, MMA, betting thread

On Park as I think she looked really good in her last couple and Ayaka is getting older and on Oliveira as I still remember the way Shibisai capitulated against Shrek.
 
Rizin 41, mma

Saturday 04.01.2023 at 12:00 AM ET
U.S. Broadcast: FITE
Promotion: RIZIN Fighting Federation
Venue: Maruzen Intec Arena Osaka
Location: Osaka, Japan
Enclosure: Ring
MMA Bouts: 7
Kickboxing Bouts: 4

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/rizin-2841
https://fightodds.io/odds/4604/rizin-41

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/98034-rizin-41
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/71895

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Horie and Hokamura are both +160 right now which is pretty insane.

Horie is improving with every fight, and the sky is still the limit for him. Hokamura has looked very good his last 3 fights fighting absolute killers. Ishizuka is a big step down from the guys he's been fighting.
 
Im on Hokamura and Keita for now but im analising more bets... i like this card
 
Thoughts on Sho Patrick and Aguon? Imo both are more favorites than odds now.
 
EndlessCritic said:
Horie and Hokamura are both +160 right now which is pretty insane.

Horie is improving with every fight, and the sky is still the limit for him. Hokamura has looked very good his last 3 fights fighting absolute killers. Ishizuka is a big step down from the guys he's been fighting.
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Good call on Hokamura,he's a favorite now at 1,80
 
Bakayoko said:
Good call on Hokamura,he's a favorite now at 1,80
Click to expand...
1.66 now and in Ref 1.40

Im study this fight for hours and imo Hokamura is much favorite, 1.40 is the correct odd for him.

Kintaro have speed, power, southpaw, good tdd. Ishizuka is bigger than Kintaro but less power, have just good takedowns and counter. Imo Kintaro push The pace and win by tko or decision.
 
Rizin schedule:

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/promotions/1561-rizin-fighting-federation-rff
..........

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/98136-rizin-landmark-5-in-yoyogi
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/71939

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/rizin-2865

Sunday 04.30.2023 at 12:00 AM ET

Juntarou Ushiko +390
Mikuru Asakura -552
Roque Martinez +165
Tsuyoshi Sudario -200 https://www.tapology.com/fightcente...fuji-sanzo-tsuyoshi-sudario-vs-roque-martinez
Koji Takeda +115
Luiz Gustavo -145
Ali Abdulkhalikov +220
Johnny Case -280
Ren Hiramoto -160
Yutaka Saito +130
Claire Lopez +205
Rena Kubota -250
Kanna Asakura -170
Mei Yamaguchi +140
Masanori Kanehara +115
Sora Yamamoto -145
Kazuma Kuramoto -140
Shinobu Ota +110
 
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Tsuyoshi Sudario is near pick-em now

5 inches taller
4 inch reach advantage
12 years younger, age 25

https://www.tapology.com/fightcente...fuji-sanzo-tsuyoshi-sudario-vs-roque-martinez

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/rizin-2865



"Roque Martinez (age 37 as of 2023) is a hard-headed tough dude always going out on his shield. From start to finish, Martinez is constantly coming forward. He doesn’t have the biggest power but his volume and forward pressure breaks opponents. He throws a lot of nice uppercuts and will throw combinations ripping to the body as well. Martinez also will throw a lot of kicks really going after that lead leg mainly. He likes to throw in the clinch as well with short strikes and lead elbows. What makes Martinez excel is his ability to take a shot. The ability to take a shot also hinders him however, as he does get hit way too often. While toughness is an excellent quality to have, an even better one is cardio — and Martinez has that. The ability to dig deep for three hard rounds and stay on the gas is such a nice quality to possess, especially for a heavyweight. Martinez has a lot of tools to excel as a heavyweight but I do worry about him just getting picked apart by strikers with good movement"
 
Can't believe I'm actually paying juice on a 40 year old Kanehara....

Ota +160 feels like a solid play. I don't know how this is worse than a 50/50 fight for him.

Asakura -450 is laughable. Ushiku is a competent fighter. This is completely mispriced.
 
Who fucks up my Saito, Gustavo, Abdulkhalikov parlay?

Even on a skid, Saito’s got the MMA experience to beat a young kick-boxer like Hiramoto, especially with who those losses are against.

Rabandanov had Takeda dropped a couple of times, I think someone like Gustavo can do the same.

Abdulkhalilov was supposed to be fighting Johnny Case but Saika/Saiga is stepping in to replace him. The level of their resumes is really different, some solid names on the Russian’s whereas Saika is getting beat by JMMA senior tour members
 
Shelter said:
Who fucks up my Saito, Gustavo, Abdulkhalikov parlay?

Even on a skid, Saito’s got the MMA experience to beat a young kick-boxer like Hiramoto, especially with who those losses are against.

Rabandanov had Takeda dropped a couple of times, I think someone like Gustavo can do the same.

Abdulkhalilov was supposed to be fighting Johnny Case but Saika/Saiga is stepping in to replace him. The level of their resumes is really different, some solid names on the Russian’s whereas Saika is getting beat by JMMA senior tour members
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il tape these 3 since I dont see noise about any other fights.

Someone I know likes Hiramoto as a dog, as you say dude is quite durable and well rounded, although he is old and getting dropped more and more. Hiramoto TDD has improved, a lot of these kickboxers get better from fight to fight in MMA and he has a ton of power. Pass fight for me.

Have you watched the Asakura fight against Gustavo? Before I could find that fight, there wasn't much footage although Gustavo seemed way too aggressive and gassy maybe even chinny. The Asakura fight confirmed it. Was on his back way too easily throwing crazy shots and slowed down late. I feel if he doesn't get bonked early, Takeda will have success grinding him out. He is usually crazy durable even if he gets dropped.
 
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Shelter said:
Who fucks up my Saito, Gustavo, Abdulkhalikov parlay?

Even on a skid, Saito’s got the MMA experience to beat a young kick-boxer like Hiramoto, especially with who those losses are against.

Rabandanov had Takeda dropped a couple of times, I think someone like Gustavo can do the same.

Abdulkhalilov was supposed to be fighting Johnny Case but Saika/Saiga is stepping in to replace him. The level of their resumes is really different, some solid names on the Russian’s whereas Saika is getting beat by JMMA senior tour members
Click to expand...

Gustavo can easily get wrestlefucked. Takeda is durable and very, very strong.
 
Thanks for the insights, fellas, won’t bet the house on it.

Maybe I’m giving Gustavo too much credit and Takeda not enough.
 
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