Rakhmonov is 4 to 1 favorite

DOMMA

DOMMA

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Just saw this and was surprised - Rakhmonov is a -400 favorite for his fight vs Garry, who comes back as the +300 underdog. I did not see this as such a one sided fight. I have lost few bets recently so maybe I'm off my game.
 
Garry has a solid path to victory for such a big underdog. Whether or not he can keep it up for 5 rounds is the question. Shav is a juggernaut, will take a great deal of energy to stay at distance for 25 minutes with him marching at you.
 
I can see Garry taking this is he can keep it standing. Shavkats TD aren't that strong so I think Garry has a good shot here. Standing I think its Garry's fight no doubt.
 
JKS said:
I can see Garry taking this is he can keep it standing. Shavkats TD aren't that strong so I think Garry has a good shot here. Standing I think its Garry's fight no doubt.
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Agreed on Shavkat's takedowns, but Garry hasn't amazed me with his striking. Song Kenan nearly KO'd him, MVP outclassed him(on the feet), & Geoff Neal arguably beat him. Now Neal is a very good striker when he pulls the trigger, but we also saw Shavkat soundly outland him for 3 straight rounds.

I don't think "standing It's Garry's fight no doubt" is giving enough credit to Shavkat's striking, specifically the power advantage in his hands.
 
JoeRowe said:
Agreed on Shavkat's takedowns, but Garry hasn't amazed me with his striking. Song Kenan nearly KO'd him, MVP outclassed him(on the feet), & Geoff Neal arguably beat him. Now Neal is a very good striker when he pulls the trigger, but we also saw Shavkat soundly outland him for 3 straight rounds.

I don't think "standing It's Garry's fight no doubt" is giving enough credit to Shavkat's striking, specifically the power advantage in his hands.
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My memory of Shavkat vs Neal is Shavkat getting blasted in the face and relying on his chin. But I think his he will overwhelm Garry with his grappling and physicality.
 
JBJ was here said:
Ian Garry has suspect takedown defense and untested submission defense. Otherwise things seem somewhat to Shavkat's advantage. Overall the odds seem about right. That untested submission defense is a big red flag.
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I am probably the biggest Garry supporter on here, and certainly one of the longest tenured. I remember posting in the Worldwide forum about him years ago.

That said, he should definitely be the underdog against Shavkat, although I'd say it should be more like 2 to 1. I might make a small bet on Garry and then if he wins I'll pretend I knew it all along.
 
Shavkat's record is deceptive, 12 of his fights were in high school gymnasiums

he's 6-0 in the UFC with his best win against a washed up Karate Kid
 
He was like a -250 against Belal.

I like Shavkat but people act like hes the second coming ready to obliterate the division. If he beats Garry it would be the first W that impresses me.
 
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