Political Betting Thread

Most recent polls have trump ahead in FL, OH, IA, NC, NV. And the spread is widening in states like AZ, TX & GA.

I'm speechless someone would be confident in either side at this point. There is just no basis for it. Unless it's a gut feel
 
I think this will come down to CO. It seems the most logical pick up that trump would need to hit 270
 
Jane doe who is currently suing Trump for allegedly raping her in 94(she was 13) is now coming forward to the public and holding a press conference.


The media will be all over this
 
I actually think this will swing votes
 
SBJJ said:
Wait. U actually bet Hillary recently?
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I'm pretty much done with this betting forum, so I don't want to get in a long winded discussion about this. Again, look at the history of betting odds with presidential elections. Compare those to the polls. It's all shenanigans. "Clinton has this and Trump would need a miracle". "Trump is now closing the gap". They flip flop like crazy. Just a while ago, you had people who previously backed Trump saying they wouldn't bet him at +500 at this point, and now there is a sudden change? I'm not seeing it.
 
Oblivian said:
now there is a sudden change? I'm not seeing it.
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Have you been following the news at all? lol. Of course there is a change. Independents are likely favoring Trump after the past week of Clinton corruption exposed
 
Joseph Budden said:
Have you been following the news at all? lol. Of course there is a change. Independents are likely favoring Trump after the past week of Clinton corruption exposed
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And this is coming from the same people say to not believe the media. Is this really new insight on Clinton?

Let me ask you this - if you really believe that so much, why are odds staying where they are at for Clinton? Were you around with the Obama election in 2012? There were points prior to the election where the media was portraying it to be closer and closer. We were able to smash Obama at moderate odds for quite a while, and it was the line of the century.
 
Oblivian said:
I'm pretty much done with this betting forum, so I don't want to get in a long winded discussion about this. Again, look at the history of betting odds with presidential elections. Compare those to the polls. It's all shenanigans. "Clinton has this and Trump would need a miracle". "Trump is now closing the gap". They flip flop like crazy. Just a while ago, you had people who previously backed Trump saying they wouldn't bet him at +500 at this point, and now there is a sudden change? I'm not seeing it.
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Sorry. Just don't quite understand what u posted. Sorry u are fed up though. I know I went into a Syria tirade, that sucked.

I'm free rolling trump. With some trump states and also have Hillary TX bet.

One thing I would say is this election cycle is that if u bet the other side after every time other's said it was over you'd be sitting pretty. The problem I see betting Clinton now is she is still juiced.
 
Oblivian said:
And this is coming from the same people say to not believe the media. Is this really new insight on Clinton?

Let me ask you this - if you really believe that so much, why are odds staying where they are at for Clinton? Were you around with the Obama election in 2012? There were points prior to the election where the media was portraying it to be closer and closer. We were able to smash Obama at moderate odds for quite a while, and it was the line of the century.
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Well, there are different types of media. Granted politics really upset the balance of journalistic integrity much more so than anything else, but who needs media when you have emails from the DNC?

There is a lot of new insight on Clinton. Just today we found out this http://www.foxnews.com/politics/201...ve-clinton-camp-heads-up-about-testimony.html

^^^That one is crazy serious and crazy level of corruption and collusion with the DoJ. Since the FBI reopened their investigation last Friday its just been a shit show

Odds have dipped in Donald's favor since Friday. Not anything crazy though. I've never followed politics period, nevermind betting lol so can't speak to that. But I do find it interesting Clinton is something like -280 when polls indicate an incredibly tight race
 
Oblivian said:
And this is coming from the same people say to not believe the media. Is this really new insight on Clinton?

Let me ask you this - if you really believe that so much, why are odds staying where they are at for Clinton? Were you around with the Obama election in 2012? There were points prior to the election where the media was portraying it to be closer and closer. We were able to smash Obama at moderate odds for quite a while, and it was the line of the century.
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But what is your point? Are u saying Clinton is a good bet? U say polls are wrong, but on which side. They really weren't that far off on Obama Romney. While they were disgustingly off on Brexit.

U seem frustrated but aren't really explaining about what
 
Betting an election is not like betting a fight. It's not a "one punch and everything changes" event. At this point, Trump needs several things to line up to win it. I would be fairly shocked if he wins at this point.
 
And why are u acting as if a 3.9% popular win is huge. It's actually not. It's essentially saying a 116-112 scorecard in boxing is a blowout.

Or it's like saying a competitive 3 round mma fight where u bet the slight fave was the line of the year.
 
Oblivian said:
Betting an election is not like betting a fight. It's not a "one punch and everything changes" event. At this point, Trump needs several things to line up to win it. I would be fairly shocked if he wins at this point.
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U went from extremely shocked to fairly shocked pretty fast.

Of course most would be fairly shocked. She is still almost -300
 
Actually, I said extremely surprised, but thanks for taking notes. Again, I don't really care to go back and forth on this anymore. I will say this: People seem to misinterpret someone as winning 40% of a vote in an election as having a 40% chance of winning in retrospect. As Donald would say: Wrong.
 
lets see how long we can keep O unwillingly engaged in this discussion :)

I can't believe this election it is so full of drama I feel dirty for eating it up. It's like a Jersey Shore and Jerry Springer mashup.
 
Oblivian said:
Actually, I said extremely surprised, but thanks for taking notes. Again, I don't really care to go back and forth on this anymore. I will say this: People seem to misinterpret someone as winning 40% of a vote in an election as having a 40% chance of winning in retrospect. As Donald would say: Wrong.
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Who misinterprets? Who is that even to? Who only won 40% of the vote?


What exactly are u saying? And why do u keep bringing stuff up that no one said or did?

Go back through the thread. There was some good talk in here from the deplorables about state races and value. And the "Trump Backers" have been spot on a lot of the time. While the "Clinton Backers" just seem to show up call everyone dumb that dares bet Trump or say he has value. Some also like to post half truths and misquote polls also.

But skip the whole Syria part of this thread. I'm just a hippie when it comes to war.
 
SBJJ said:
Who misinterprets? Who is that even to? Who only won 40% of the vote?


What exactly are u saying? And why do u keep bringing stuff up that no one said or did?

Go back through the thread. There was some good talk in here from the deplorables about state races and value. And the "Trump Backers" have been spot on a lot of the time. While the "Clinton Backers" just seem to show up call everyone dumb that dares bet Trump or say he has value. Some also like to post half truths and misquote polls also.

But skip the whole Syria part of this thread. I'm just a hippie when it comes to war.
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Dude I was the one "arguing" with you about Syria and although we disagreed on some things you made salient points and conducted yourself fine.

Granted we were way off topic, but you weren't out of line. You just posted your views. All good from my end.
 
The bad news for Clinton is snowballing. FBI sources say there's a 99% chance that her server was hacked by at least 5 foreign intelligence agencies.

 
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