Political Betting Thread

trident said:
Dude THATS the point. Its politically motivated and that's illegal and that's the law.

You cant shake that because whatabout.....
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But how to do you prove it? Whether it is or not, its Trump's obligation to investigate. You can't deny it also serves the public interest to investigate the Bidens. If he sticks to that line, you don't have a case.

You guys have a lot of opinions, which I won't say are wrong, but if you can't prove them, you have a whole lot of nothing in the legal sense anyway.
 
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longway said:
But how to do you prove it? Whether it is or not, its Trump's obligation to investigate. You can't deny it also serves the public interest to investigate the Bidens. If he sticks to that line, you don't have a case.

You guys have a lot of opinions, which I won't say are wrong, but if you can't prove them, you have a whole lot of nothing in the legal sense anyway.
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There is no "you" in "me" dude. This is what it is.
 
What's going on? Crapton at +1300 down from +2200 ++ overnight.
 
longway said:
What's going on? Crapton at +1300 down from +2200 ++ overnight.
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i think(?) she had an appearance on the view in the last couple days amongst other interviews, that + rumors of her running, biden dropping in the polls a candidate she would take a giant share of support from if he pulled out. probably just some speculative exaggeration in the market which has been pretty common this year. bannon seems to think she or some other centrist will enter the race also: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/...in-and-trying-to-decide-how-to-fit-her-way-in
 
she's doing a media tour for her new book too probably producing further speculation she's going to enter. I still don't see it though.
 
longway said:
But how to do you prove it? Whether it is or not, its Trump's obligation to investigate. You can't deny it also serves the public interest to investigate the Bidens. If he sticks to that line, you don't have a case.

You guys have a lot of opinions, which I won't say are wrong, but if you can't prove them, you have a whole lot of nothing in the legal sense anyway.
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First of all, you can't prove an opinion. You can only prove facts. You can have an opinion that can turn into a fact but an opinion by definition is not a fact. One of which is that Trump was asking at least one foreign power for information on an American citizen and a political foe. This is, of course, information he could request someone in the United States to do without repercussions but asking a foreign government to investigate Joe Biden is unfitting of the highest office in the land.

Once again, if ANY democratic president did this, you'd be calling for impeachment. Your bias is obvious and bias is never something to use in wagering.
 
^ i thought our 'conversation' had ended.

Well, always interesting to have your opinion. And thanks for the unsolicited advice too.
 
longway said:
^ i thought our 'conversation' had ended.

Well, always interesting to have your opinion. And thanks for the unsolicited advice too.
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You're welcome. From your betting record, it seems like you need it lol.
 
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TrueAscension said:
You're welcome. From your betting record, it seems like you need it lol.
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I assume you are still talking to yourself since you told me our 'conversation' had ended a while back.
 
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Poor slow Joe. He is floundering and lost, with Trump living in his head rent free. He will not drop out now. The dnc primary process is going to get messy and sad.

 
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Cashed out of my primary bets. 6U played and 3U profit. Good enough. Will try to play line movements from now on. It's going to be fun watching the DNC primary process disintegrate in full view of the public. They have a festering zombie of a candidate as a front runner who is being overtaken by a fake Indian.

If Horribillary wants to swoop in, she will have to shoot the zombie in the head and scalp the fake Indian, then try to pretend this is all very normal, and she is not a final desperate throw of the dice by power-crazed lunatics who can't handle losing. Which is especially difficult for her, as she is a power-crazed lunatic who can't handle losing herself.
 
warren shortened to 1.9 yesterday before drifting back out to 2.0, latest politico poll has biden ahead by 12. the differences between some of these polls is pretty big, what can this be attributed too?
 
^ Something in methodology? It's not explained well, but they included samples from early states, and that may have skewed the results. Otherwise, its an outlier, unless other polls back it up.

Psychoticillary believes she can beat Trump again. She definitely wants to run.

 
longway said:
Psychoticillary believes she can beat Trump again. She definitely wants to run.

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I still don't get this idea of Hillary running again. The only people I've seen pushing it are some right-wing media figures (and apparently Trump). Everyone else is over her, as far as her political candidacy goes. The right wingers are also the ones trying to push the idea that impeachment is bad for the democrats. I don't think the democrats are trying to take election advice from people who don't want them to win. She's not going to run, she's just in the media to smack talk Trump while the WH is on fire.
 
rev0lver said:
I still don't get this idea of Hillary running again. The only people I've seen pushing it are some right-wing media figures (and apparently Trump). Everyone else is over her, as far as her political candidacy goes. The right wingers are also the ones trying to push the idea that impeachment is bad for the democrats. I don't think the democrats are trying to take election advice from people who don't want them to win. She's not going to run, she's just in the media to smack talk Trump while the WH is on fire.
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Talking about 2 different topics. Is she going to run? Unlikely, I agree. Does she want to run? I think so. She clearly has not been able to accept she lost the last election and wants vindication.

The democrats are in trouble though. Biden will now be compromised by is his corrupt dealings in Ukraine and China. Warren has adopted positions that will make moderates baulk. Anecdotally, I have super liberal friends and relatives living in California and they think Warren will crash the economy if elected, and even though a couple have really bad cases of TDS, they won't vote for her.

So there is a space for Killary to exploit if she wants to swoop in. The last time I looked, the price for Killary was around +1500 or so, I would price it at +1000, so there is value there imo.
 
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rev0lver said:
I still don't get this idea of Hillary running again. The only people I've seen pushing it are some right-wing media figures (and apparently Trump). Everyone else is over her, as far as her political candidacy goes. The right wingers are also the ones trying to push the idea that impeachment is bad for the democrats. I don't think the democrats are trying to take election advice from people who don't want them to win. She's not going to run, she's just in the media to smack talk Trump while the WH is on fire.
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Moderate Democrats really don’t like Warren and think they have zero chance of winning if she is the candidate. With the Biden Ukraine thing and Warren rising in the polls, it has a lot of Moderate Democrats worrying. Moderates still have control of a lot of the financial influence of the party so I’ve seen this narrative get pushed from some within the party.

The division between the socialist and moderate wings of the party is very large due to the very large differences in economic opinions for policies.
 
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