Ortiz vs Sonnen

I'm actually leaning the other way towards Tito as an underdog at +130 or better. Chael is fighting above his preferred weight class so Tito has the size advantage and more recent fights. Of course his injury prone body is always a wild card. He looks in great shape on his Instagram however- see below. Chael's three year long layoff is a major concern. His wrestling is probably better than Tito's but Tito has more power in his strikes and better submissions in my opinion. Tito also announced this as his retirement fight and will be very motivated to go out on top. With a fight like this I can see it going either way, so I'd sooner take the bigger guy with more ways to win and who has been more active.

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Oh dang. Not looking so fragile. Do they allow TRT in Bellator still? Probably yes if Chael came out of retirement to fight there.
 
Tito still has a super fucked neck and not much endurance. He beat Shlemenko, who basically can't grapple worth a damn, but Chael can grapple, wrestle, and fight for 15 minutes at a decent pace, which gives him more than a shot here.
 
Tito still has a super fucked neck and not much endurance. He beat Shlemenko, who basically can't grapple worth a damn, but Chael can grapple, wrestle, and fight for 15 minutes at a decent pace, which gives him more than a shot here.
Yeah, but this is Chael + 3 year layoff - TRT, so those factors make it more even. On paper anyway.
 
I don't know..........I find it kind of sad for the second largest MMA promotion in the world we are having a discussion about the main event of one of there bigger cards of the year about who is in better shape or who isn't going to die in there basically.
 
we all lose due to some premature, anti-climatic end like groin kick someone can't recover from, eye poke and someone forfeits. sonnen elbow cuts, tito bleeds every damn where and doc ends it, shit like that.
 
100% chance this fight goes to the ground. Chael with better wrestling will find a way to get dominate position and hurt Tito. It'll be tough to finish him though.

Sonnen 30-27
 
I actually expect a surprisingly competitive fight likely to pull out the best in both fighters at this stage in their careers.
 
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