Official UFC 173 Betting Thread (Part III)

Status
Not open for further replies.
Oblivian

Oblivian

Aging
Platinum Member
Joined
Mar 7, 2006
Messages
43,754
Reaction score
2,844
Part I here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufc-173-betting-thread-post-your-bets-2737027/

Part II here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufc-173-betting-thread-post-your-bets-part-ii-2741333/

Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers.

I'm on hiatus after a rough streak besides a couple tiny plays. Current plays and totals below.

Trinaldo: $5 to win $6 Loss
Ferguson + Njokuani: $5 to win $4.70 Loss
Harris + Foster + Held/Jolly under 1.5: $2.50 to win $6.48 $9.08
Ellenberger: $2.50 to win $6 Loss
Holdsworth + Iaquinta + Cormier Dec: $2.50 to win $4.98 Loss
Volkov + Kongo: $2.50 to win $4.21 $6.71
Jardine/Roberts over 1.5 + King Mo +3.5 points handicap: $2.50 to win $4.31 $6.81
Ferguson + Miz/Rivera starts 2 + Barao/Dillashaw ITD: $2.50 to win $3.64 $6.14

TOTAL RISK OF $25 $28.74

TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $111.48 Running Profit/Loss = -$16.02 (Approximate ROI for year -1.14%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2013: $29 into $2519.60 Total Profit = $2490.60 (Approximate ROI: 14.75%)
 
Last edited:
Biggest bet of the night for me. Got 5u in parlays on Al and Im on the under for 1u.
 
The one bad judge should only worry guys betting on Varner-Krause and Lawler-Ellenberger i guess. We'll mostly see finishes from now on i think and fights that can't really be scored wrong.
 
Whats the likelyhood on Al by finish? Im not sure how to bet this fight. -420 is steep
 
efalk1322 said:
Biggest bet of the night for me. Got 5u in parlays on Al and Im on the under for 1u.
Click to expand...

Iaquinta is my biggest bet today too, just can't see him losing to Clarke. He should finish Clarke aswell (got some money on the ITD).
 
Is it not worth putting something on Hendo by KO at +700? He does have the H-bomb and Cormier's chin is pretty untested.
 
SenseiSeagalMMA said:
Whats the likelyhood on Al by finish? Im not sure how to bet this fight. -420 is steep
Click to expand...

IMO Clarke is way below his league and he almost finished very durable guys in Hallman and Couture. Nearly finished Lee aswell who has never been finished. Clarke is even worse than Couture.
 
Am I wrong in thinking that I read somewhere before that Trinaldo only ever throws strikes from one side? If so that's a weird stat for someone with a proper striking background.
 
MMA Goodfella said:
Dogs to consider:

Pichel
Phillips
Krause
Li
Trinaldo
Berger


I think at least 3 hit maybe 4
Click to expand...

2 already hit
 
Let's not forget that Clarke got TKO'd by Cholish who is pretty much a pure BJJ guy.
 
That's what I get for being an odds whore and taking Pichel itd, should've just taken the ml.

Congrats to anyone who hit the Dec or ml.

I have Al in the last leg of a two teamer, and put a little bit on him itd as well.
 
tempted to put more on the under but ill digress after that disaster of a card last weekend
 
iaquinta is my lock of the card.

imo a finish is likely. probably KO, but he coudl go for a sub.
 
Ppl always forget that Iaquinta beat Tuck, Jury, Ogle and Pichel on TUF. All 4 opponents are still in the UFC.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,237,299
Messages
55,481,710
Members
174,788
Latest member
Blueguy

Share this page

Back
Top