Official UFC 173 Betting Thread (Part III)

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Oblivian, May 24, 2014.

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  1. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Part I here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufc-173-betting-thread-post-your-bets-2737027/

    Part II here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufc-173-betting-thread-post-your-bets-part-ii-2741333/

    Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers.

    I'm on hiatus after a rough streak besides a couple tiny plays. Current plays and totals below.

    Trinaldo: $5 to win $6 Loss
    Ferguson + Njokuani: $5 to win $4.70 Loss
    Harris + Foster + Held/Jolly under 1.5: $2.50 to win $6.48 $9.08
    Ellenberger: $2.50 to win $6 Loss
    Holdsworth + Iaquinta + Cormier Dec: $2.50 to win $4.98 Loss
    Volkov + Kongo: $2.50 to win $4.21 $6.71
    Jardine/Roberts over 1.5 + King Mo +3.5 points handicap: $2.50 to win $4.31 $6.81
    Ferguson + Miz/Rivera starts 2 + Barao/Dillashaw ITD: $2.50 to win $3.64 $6.14

    TOTAL RISK OF $25 $28.74

    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $111.48 Running Profit/Loss = -$16.02 (Approximate ROI for year -1.14%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2013: $29 into $2519.60 Total Profit = $2490.60 (Approximate ROI: 14.75%)
     
    Last edited: May 26, 2014
  2. efalk1322

    efalk1322 Silver Belt

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    Biggest bet of the night for me. Got 5u in parlays on Al and Im on the under for 1u.
     
  3. hazak

    hazak Red Belt

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    The one bad judge should only worry guys betting on Varner-Krause and Lawler-Ellenberger i guess. We'll mostly see finishes from now on i think and fights that can't really be scored wrong.
     
  4. SenseiSeagalMMA

    SenseiSeagalMMA Purple Belt

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    Whats the likelyhood on Al by finish? Im not sure how to bet this fight. -420 is steep
     
  5. hazak

    hazak Red Belt

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    Iaquinta is my biggest bet today too, just can't see him losing to Clarke. He should finish Clarke aswell (got some money on the ITD).
     
  6. Shogun515

    Shogun515 Orange Belt

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    Is it not worth putting something on Hendo by KO at +700? He does have the H-bomb and Cormier's chin is pretty untested.
     
  7. efalk1322

    efalk1322 Silver Belt

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    Luke Thomas @SBNLukeThomas
     
  8. hazak

    hazak Red Belt

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    IMO Clarke is way below his league and he almost finished very durable guys in Hallman and Couture. Nearly finished Lee aswell who has never been finished. Clarke is even worse than Couture.
     
  9. efalk1322

    efalk1322 Silver Belt

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    Lets get it!!
     
  10. HeyBoone

    HeyBoone Brown Belt

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    Am I wrong in thinking that I read somewhere before that Trinaldo only ever throws strikes from one side? If so that's a weird stat for someone with a proper striking background.
     
  11. MMA Goodfella

    MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    2 already hit
     
  12. hazak

    hazak Red Belt

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    Let's not forget that Clarke got TKO'd by Cholish who is pretty much a pure BJJ guy.
     
  13. BluntTrauma21

    BluntTrauma21 Broner Brody / Pulev Posse

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    That's what I get for being an odds whore and taking Pichel itd, should've just taken the ml.

    Congrats to anyone who hit the Dec or ml.

    I have Al in the last leg of a two teamer, and put a little bit on him itd as well.
     
  14. efalk1322

    efalk1322 Silver Belt

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    tempted to put more on the under but ill digress after that disaster of a card last weekend
     
  15. cberasi

    cberasi Green Belt

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    Iaquinta TKO/KO @+243
     
  16. efalk1322

    efalk1322 Silver Belt

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    Me like.

    It would suck if Al dropped him and went for a choke though.
     
  17. EndlessCritic

    EndlessCritic Gold Belt

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    iaquinta is my lock of the card.

    imo a finish is likely. probably KO, but he coudl go for a sub.
     
  18. SenseiSeagalMMA

    SenseiSeagalMMA Purple Belt

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    On Al by KO 50 to win 121.50

    Lets go Raging Al!!
     
  19. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    Let's see if Clarke cries again when he loses.
     
  20. hazak

    hazak Red Belt

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    Ppl always forget that Iaquinta beat Tuck, Jury, Ogle and Pichel on TUF. All 4 opponents are still in the UFC.
     
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