Too me the question isn’t can Gane dance around Francis for 5 rounds and outpoint him with technical skill, but how will Ganes technical skills hold up after getting blasted by Francis a few times….?
As technically sound and as cardio optimized as Gane is, I just don’t see him sustaining the same level of it for 5 rounds after eating 3+ hard combos from Francis. Francis is not fighting a wrestling machine like Stipe.
Unless Francis goes full retard or has an adrenaline dump (not outside the realm of possibility), I just don’t see him swinging and missing for 3+ rounds like some bull and matador. I think once he does tag Gane few times, the end is near unless he gets so sloppy chasing the finish that he gets countered like Stipe did Werdum.
As much as I like Gane and I think he’s better for the sport, I got Francis in 2 possibly with the first round being unusually boring. This is unless Francis eats a shot from Gane and has 0 respect for his power. In that case he’ll go steamroller mode like he did other fighters after feeling their (lack of expected) power.