Reasons: 1. Nate won't fight on emotions anyway. Nate has his in-ring style and he sticks to it. He will fight the same fight, he will not over-engage to prove any point, like Aldo or Dustin. 2. Nate's style is not good enough for countering and movement. He engages, but not too quick. He's open, but so is McGregor. 3. Nate becomes bigger and bigger. He's now one of the biggest LWs. He also became physically stronger. That will give him advantage in standup and in wrestling (if the fight even goes there) - defensively and offensively. 4. Nate's weak sides are kickboxing and wrestling. I mentioned wrestling already, and regarding boxing - Conor doesn't really have low kicks, and his high kicks are flashy, but not really damaging. P.S. The fight might go to distance.