My UFN 30 Bets - Post Yours! (Part II)

[SenseiSeagalMMA]

Hey, guys!
I hope everybody was able to make some profit tonight.

I need some help.
Should I make a hedge bet on Alvarez?

Thoughts?

Thanks in advance.

I would wait. More money is going to come in on Chandler. Also keep in mind, you will be able to hedge the day of wit reduced juice.

 

[Kaffe]

Hey, guys!
I hope everybody was able to make some profit tonight.

I need some help.
Should I make a hedge bet on Alvarez?

Thoughts?

Thanks in advance.

No, you should not hedge that unless you believe Eddie is a lot more live than his odds suggest (meaning you have changed your mind about your edge.)

 

[Gametheory]

Solid night for me, but I'm still down big this week overall.

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Pretty shitty card tho ;/ Not liking the WSOF card either, to many lobsided lines. Any good NHL betters in here who has a few tips for me?

Shit, ask around, I'm an NHL God in this bitch. I follow all the teams closely.

My plays tonight

Spoiler

Edmonton Zamboni's
Detroit Black Pucks
Springfield Ice-O-Topes

And my Parlay is

Saskatchewan Shivers + Frankfurt Frostbite's + The Boston Bruins

Hope I spelled everything right.

 

[specialk67890]

The Eddie fan in the thread says hedge that shit!!!

But Sensei had damn good point more money will land on Chandler. I'm not betting it.

 

[ArtOfDrowning]

Thinking of playing some micro small parlay (just few bucks) on WSOF just for the lolz

Maybe: Burkman/Carl over 2.5, Moraes, Alfaya/Fitch over 2.5, Filmino/Volkman over 2.5

 

[AlejandroMMA]

Started the day bad, chased, it got worse, started to hit my bigger bets later on in the card, now I'm up about $35 which is a lot better than I thought I was gonna do a couple hours ago. Also still have a parlay that I won with Al and Moraes as the last leg.


boxing

Spoiler

Brook-Senchenko ends itd and the un8.5 both hit, helped me big time. Hopefully somebody made a little something on those too.

Now I've got Kid Chocolate itd and I even through a little sprinkle on the Nasty Nard itd for the lulz. Don't expect the latter to hit but you never know, maybe the old man can turn back the hands of time.

Boxing

Spoiler

Yeah that ITD play helped me out, thanks for that man. You know your shit in boxing.

 

[specialk67890]

NHL plays

Spoiler

10/26/13 11:58am $12.60 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 55 San Jose Sharks -126* vs Montreal Canadiens
10/26/13 11:58am $12.40 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 63 Pittsburgh Penguins -124* vs Toronto Maple Leafs
10/26/13 11:58am $13.50 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 66 Dallas Stars -135* vs Winnipeg Jets
10/26/13 11:58am $12.50 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 69 St. Louis Blues -125* vs Nashville Predators
10/26/13 11:58am $12.00 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 10:05pm Reduced Hockey 71 Washington Capitals -120* vs Calgary Flames

My lone boxing play...

Spoiler

10/25/13 7:41pm $20.00 $17.81 Pending 2 Team Parlay
Win 10/25/13 9:00pm Bellator Fighting 3007 Eugene Fadiora -240* vs Keith Berry
Pending 10/26/13 11:30pm Props Fighting 777 Hopkins wins by any decision -299* vs Any other result

Hey BT, what do you think of the points spread for this fight? -23.5 for BHop at +150?

 

[Roads55]

Hey, guys!
I hope everybody was able to make some profit tonight.

I need some help.
Should I make a hedge bet on Alvarez?

Thoughts?

Thanks in advance.

i'd make a small bet on alverez itd, cant see alvarez winning a decision after 5 rounds, chandler's only gotten better since the 1st fight and alvarez hasn't fought in a year

 

[hazak]

Well here's my results, parlays only as i do most of the time. My investment in this event was 97€ total and i ended up with 328,21€ by hitting 3 out of my 4 parlays (1 of em got busted because of Sexton). Since i started my recommended props i've doubled or tripled my ROI on 7 out of 8 events. I'll post tickets if someone wants em.

Results for my recommended props:
----------------------------------

*Machida ITD (1.87)
*Machida-Munoz ITD (1.66)
*Machida-Munoz Won't Start Round 5 (1.71)
-Pearson-Guillard ITD (1.38)
*Manuwa ITD (1.90)
xManuwa Round 1 (3.50)
*Lineker KO (1.95)
*Harris-Lineker ITD (1.58)
*Harris-Lineker Under 2,5 Rounds (1.74)
xMusoke-Sakara Starts Round 2 (1.40)
xMusoke-Sakara Over 1,5 Rounds (1.60)
*NOT Sakara Round 1 (1.25)
*Musoke +3,5pts (2.15)
*Iaquinta -3,5pts (2.35)
xBarnatt-Craig Over 1,5 Rounds (1.46)
xBarnatt-Craig Decision (2.00)
*Barnatt +3,5pts (1.64)
*NOT Craig ITD (1.56)
xNOT Andrade Decision (1.26)
*Ogle +3,5pts (1.83)
xScott-Kuiper Over 1,5 Rounds (1.51)
xScott-Kuiper Decision (2.15)
xScott Decision (6.00)
*Scott +3,5pts (2.20)

14 out of 24 props cashed (23 if you count the fact that Pearson-Guillard was a push)

History:
--------

UFC Fight Night 26 = 10 out of 14
UFC Fight Night 27 = 10 out of 12
UFC 164 = 8 out of 11
UFC Fight Night 28 = 12 out of 15
UFC 165 = 20 out of 30
UFC Fight Night 29 = 18 out of 21
UFC 166 = 24 out of 32
UFC Fight Night 30 = 14 out of 24

 

[Guillaumechrist]

I'm sortta eyeing Fitch fight U2.5 and Moraea fight u2.5

maybe a parlay of Stringer + Gaethje + Moraes

not sure

 

[MMA Goodfella]

can't beleive machida by tko was +odds lmfao.

also, fuck me and my 50 dollar limits on props.

Yea wish I'd have added MUCH more myself :icon_neut

Congrats to all the winners...

On an unrelated note, anyone here want to join a fantasy Basketball league? I had quite a few Sherdoggers in it last year, would definitely much rather have some of my fellow Sherbettors in it, than random Yahoo stragglers....

Just message me if interested.

I'm in.

Time to quit your day job!

Done did. I'm a pro now. Saw this pastie ass white kid w/ a Loyd Christmas haircut who charges $50 per event and thought I'd follow suit. Minus the haircut. :wink:

Nice wins!

Thanks bud

Well here's my results, parlays only as i do most of the time. My investment in this event was 97

 

[hazak]

Who else thinks that since Melvin was winning that fight that we'll get him at much worse odds when they re-book the fight.

 

[Roger FedorAIR]

I'm in.

Nice. PM me your e-mail address (it's a Yahoo league).

That's 2 solid Sherbettors jumping in.... Anyone else??

 

[hazak]

Yea wish I'd have added MUCH more myself :icon_neut



I'm in.



Done did. I'm a pro now. Saw this pastie ass white kid w/ a Loyd Christmas haircut who charges $50 per event and thought I'd follow suit. Minus the haircut. :wink:



Thanks bud



Lucked out on the Jimmo injury & then two judges giving AI r1 or it'd have been 12-24. Those props are just too volatile.

Can't be too volatile now if you look at my ROI for the event I'm not saying this tactic works for everybody but it's sure working great for me and i have been able to increase my ROI in a similar manner in 7 out of the last 8 events. Again turned a 100 into 300 and that's big money for me bro! I'm not personally betting on every single one of those options and thats where the trick lies, i simply find the props i think are the most likely to hit and then i take the ones i'm the most confident in and parlay them up. Just need to know which ones in your opinion are too risky to put in and which ones you feel extra confident in.

 

[specialk67890]

Gus vs Lil nog per DW.

Nice. PM me your e-mail address (it's a Yahoo league).

That's 2 solid Sherbettors jumping in.... Anyone else??

Is it a live draft?

 

[Roger FedorAIR]

Gus vs Lil nog per DW.



Is it a live draft?

Yeah, draft is tomorrow 5:45pm EST. Although, with Yahoo you can just set your pre-draft order and it will just auto-draft for you....

 

[EzFlyer]

It's always like that. NC = fight didn't take place according to bookies. ALL bets gets refunded. Has it ever been any other way?

yea, i was initially confused cause of DRAWS, not no contests. cause props lose (i.e. pearson decision" loses if it's a draw, but ML's don't) -- yep and thank goodness, i would've lost a few decision plays and pearson plays today, lucked out.

honestly i lucked out a few times today. called a couple fights wrong and still won a few hundy

 

[efalk1322]

played fitch/burkman/moraes when the lines came out. what everyone else on tn?

actually ended up 2u after a brutal start...would have won big if melvin got the W but w.e ill take it. could be up 4 more units if my back end wsof parlays hit

 

[EzFlyer]

NHL plays

Spoiler

10/26/13 11:58am $12.60 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 55 San Jose Sharks -126* vs Montreal Canadiens
10/26/13 11:58am $12.40 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 63 Pittsburgh Penguins -124* vs Toronto Maple Leafs
10/26/13 11:58am $13.50 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 66 Dallas Stars -135* vs Winnipeg Jets
10/26/13 11:58am $12.50 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 69 St. Louis Blues -125* vs Nashville Predators
10/26/13 11:58am $12.00 $10.00 Pending 10/26/13 10:05pm Reduced Hockey 71 Washington Capitals -120* vs Calgary Flames

My lone boxing play...

Spoiler

10/25/13 7:41pm $20.00 $17.81 Pending 2 Team Parlay
Win 10/25/13 9:00pm Bellator Fighting 3007 Eugene Fadiora -240* vs Keith Berry
Pending 10/26/13 11:30pm Props Fighting 777 Hopkins wins by any decision -299* vs Any other result

Hey BT, what do you think of the points spread for this fight? -23.5 for BHop at +150?

Spoiler

nice man, on same 5, but i'm bigger on was

(no comment on my flyers retardation, even tho this is a comment)