He was a largely unknown guy coming in. Tribolet was in a Bellator tourney. I think the lines may have been close, but I'm not particularly good at gauging that kind of thing. Looking at the Tapology page, the split was 89 to 11 McGeary, so there was a fair amount of reverence from the people who closely paid attention to Bellator. But then again they'd have Bender as a small favorite. So you can't always go by that.
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