My UFC 165 Bets - Post Yours (Part III)

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Oblivian, Sep 20, 2013.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2006
    Messages:
    40,739
    Likes Received:
    10,652
    Location:
    Merica
    Part I: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/my-ufc-165-bets-post-yours-2554981/

    Part II: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/my-ufc-165-bets-post-yours-part-ii-2559359/

    Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers

    Singles
    Mitrione: $12.50 to win $9.62
    Lowe: $7.50 to win $10.13 Loss
    Gus/Jones over 2.5: $7.50 to win $8.25
    Barao/Wineland over 2.5: $7.50 to win $8.25
    Arlovski: $7.50 to win $7.14 $14.64
    Mehmen: $5 to win $10 $15
    Gagnon: $5 to win $8.50 $13.50
    Odoms: $5 to win $8 $13
    War Machine/Anderson over 1.5: $5 to win $7.75 $12.75
    Reis: $5 to win $7.50 $12.50
    Wilcox: $5 to win $5.50 $10.50
    Alexander/Janitor over 1.5: $5 to win $4.55 $9.55
    Melo: $5 to win $3.70 Loss
    Ricci: $2.50 to win $7.50 Loss
    Carmont via decision: $2.50 to win $6.25
    Saunders: $2.50 to win $6.25 Loss
    Mighty Mo: $2.50 to win $7.13 $9.63

    Total Risk of $92.50

    Parlays
    Mayweather + Shlemenko + Warren: $10 to win $6.02 (adjusted) $16.02
    Khabib + Jones/Gus ITD: $10 to win $8.31
    Freire + Tamainglo: $7.50 to win $8.92 $16.42
    Hawn + Weedman + Jenkins + Field over Tiger (Tour Championship): $7.50 to win $6.51 Loss
    Thompson/Clements over 1.5 + Caceres over 1.5: $5 to win $6.60 Loss
    Not Ronson ITD + Colts +11.5: $5 to win $6.60
    Guerreiro + Villefort/Branch over 2.5: $5 to win $5.75 $10.75
    Not Makdessi ITD + Omielanczuk ITD: $5 to win $5.21 Loss
    Garcia + Means: $5 to win $5.02 $10.02
    Marx + Efrain + Starks: $2.50 to win $4.06 $6.56

    Total Risk of $67.50

    TOTAL RISK OF $160

    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $514.54 Running Profit = $282.04 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.08%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2013: $29 into $2466.41 Total Profit = $2437.41 (Approximate ROI: 17.78%)
     
    Last edited: Sep 21, 2013
  2. Goreds1994

    Goreds1994 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2012
    Messages:
    10,349
    Likes Received:
    4
    Location:
    Cincinnati
    Just to make sure, anything other than MJ ITD and I win right?

    Regarding the MLB stuffs
    Best record means shit in the playoffs. The Reds and Nats had that honor last year, and they each lost in the first round. I think the Sox are a very good team, but I don't think they are going to make the series. FYI I don't have anything against them either lol. Only team I hate is St. Louis. Not a fan of the Yanks or Dodgers (sans Vin Scully) either.
     
  3. AkDeath

    AkDeath Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2013
    Messages:
    870
    Likes Received:
    3
    So far for 165 I have:

    Khabib by TKO 1u +345: Healy is so slow and hittable, I just had to take a stab at that line. Yes, Healy has a good chin but he has been stopped by strikes 4 times, 3 of which were straight KO's. I could see this going like Grant/Maynard, everyone's expecting a 3 round battle then Grant (Khabib) comes out and smokes him in the 1st.

    Delorme 1u SU +115 and .5u by sub +235

    Gustaffson .5u SU +700, .2u on Dec +2050 and TKO +1050

    Bellator

    Melo -115 .5u SU

    Anderson/DoucheMachine O1.5 .5u +155

    Baesman .5u +400

    Will probably add some more UFC bets tomorrow when the lines swing some more, and some live betting as well. Good luck everybody
     
  4. Te Huna Matata

    Te Huna Matata Red Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 14, 2012
    Messages:
    8,745
    Likes Received:
    4,050
    Location:
    Chillin' with Ser Illyn
    EDIT...I'm dumb
     
  5. Card

    Card Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2012
    Messages:
    13,205
    Likes Received:
    8,796
    Location:
    K-Dub Canada
    Caceres looked way taller than 1 inch difference.
     
  6. Card

    Card Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2012
    Messages:
    13,205
    Likes Received:
    8,796
    Location:
    K-Dub Canada
    Makdessi has the best profile pic

    [​IMG]
     
  7. Goreds1994

    Goreds1994 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2012
    Messages:
    10,349
    Likes Received:
    4
    Location:
    Cincinnati
    I don't remember the Etim fight, but Forte looks great at 155 to me.
     
  8. Card

    Card Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2012
    Messages:
    13,205
    Likes Received:
    8,796
    Location:
    K-Dub Canada
    whoa.. Forte is taller.
     
  9. Charlie Sheen

    Charlie Sheen Invisible Belt

    Joined:
    May 23, 2013
    Messages:
    8,486
    Likes Received:
    9
    Location:
    Limbo
    I hope this event brings some good profit for all of us!
     
  10. Goreds1994

    Goreds1994 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2012
    Messages:
    10,349
    Likes Received:
    4
    Location:
    Cincinnati
    Wilson Reis is on this card? Shows how much attention I have been paying.
     
  11. Ekcol

    Ekcol Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2012
    Messages:
    644
    Likes Received:
    4
    Everyone is smiling at the weigh-in stare downs, wtf is this.
     
  12. arrelione

    arrelione Member of the YES!!! Revolution

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2010
    Messages:
    8,693
    Likes Received:
    773
    They are in Canada after all.
     
  13. Card

    Card Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2012
    Messages:
    13,205
    Likes Received:
    8,796
    Location:
    K-Dub Canada
    Menjivar misses weight... with the towel 137
     
  14. Card

    Card Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2012
    Messages:
    13,205
    Likes Received:
    8,796
    Location:
    K-Dub Canada
    Nurmagomedov so happy to make weight.
     
  15. Guillaumechrist

    Guillaumechrist Green Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 28, 2010
    Messages:
    1,422
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Montreal
    Lol everyone seems so happy,and they all look like they're good pals...

    ***edit****
    Lol save for the only two real life friends schaub/meat head
     
  16. Card

    Card Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2012
    Messages:
    13,205
    Likes Received:
    8,796
    Location:
    K-Dub Canada
    Mitrione and Schaub get heated.... Mitrione starts it first. (30 pounds heavier)
     
  17. macphee

    macphee Green Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 5, 2012
    Messages:
    1,491
    Likes Received:
    2
    Mitrione clearly pissed about having to get a good look at Schaub's face
     
  18. specialk67890

    specialk67890 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2012
    Messages:
    1,291
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Columbus, OH
    I'm not watching but reading your guys' responses is kinda funny.

    I wonder if Menji missing weight will sway the line. Maybe I should get on Reis while I can.
     
  19. Guillaumechrist

    Guillaumechrist Green Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 28, 2010
    Messages:
    1,422
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Montreal
    I guess Wineland has to lose a quarter pound right? Title fights you have to be on exact weight...
     
  20. Goreds1994

    Goreds1994 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2012
    Messages:
    10,349
    Likes Received:
    4
    Location:
    Cincinnati
    First 135.25 title fight in ufc history!!!
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.