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That's why MMA is fun, being more skilled doesn't guarantee you anything.IMO Edwards is the better overall MMA fighter, but he generally takes fights to decision which is a big X factor in this fight. Think of how much better Leon is compared to Nate Diaz. He out classed him with ease but nearly got put away in the 5th round because he let the fight drag on that long.
JDM is a murderer at large. Leon is marginally better than him at everything, but he needs to be perfect for 5 rounds. For that reason I think this is a pick-em with a small lean towards Rocky.
I know if the fight does go down, JDM will be on the front foot backing up Leon to the cage and unloading combinations with the intent to actually end the fight. Leon is far too comfortable at distance fighting that it's got to the point where his style has become too reliant on it, Belal was actually tagging him up on boxing range.