And that bit them in the ass in 2020. Now Trump is urging his supporters to vote early, and democrats are still trouncing them. That's one.
Two, new voter registrations are automatically registered as independent, but I bet there aren't that many new voters for Trump, in fact I'm predicting he'll get less votes than he did in 2020.
And these are just registrations, you don't see many democrats changing their mind to vote for Trump, but you constantly see loads of republicans who aren't in the cult now endorsing and supporting Harris.