It's a tough one to call, but I'd probably lean towards Cerrone, on paper.
But, I think there's some mindfuckery Conor could employ to get him going in there emotional. His takedowns look very good as of late and someone said a few posts up 'he's always had that, but just used it on and off' I'm not so sure about that - when he fought Pettis, his kicks would have being ideal to catch and take Pettis down - not to say his wrestling/ take down wasn't there, but Guida showed in his fight with Pettis that he's not too hard to take down and if Cerrone's wrestling was at the level it is now, you'd have thought he would have shooted in for a take down or try to catch one of his kicks and then take him down.
I still feel Cerrone trys to be pally or have no animosity with whoever he's fighting as it makes things easier for him - I get the sense that the pressure is still something that can build up and make him freeze like he did against dos Anjos.
He's always talked about not caring about the belt - even though he called out Alvarez, as he has a win over him. And on the embedded I thought it was odd that him and Diaz fist bumped each other and Cerrone talked about how they 'squashed their beef' or to be more precise; Cerrone was tired of Diaz mean mugging him every time they crossed paths.
Which is funny as on the Rogan podcast he talked about fighting them both in the street and the usual shite. But in fairness, by that time he'd had a few drinks and showed he's not the brightest spark with his '
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' comments and calling Rousey ugly for some strange reason.