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I think the only way Smith beats Jones is if he bull rushes him and throws his best in Round 1. We've seen Jones struggle under early pressure before in vs Gustafson 1 where Gus busted him open and easily won the first round and could have potentially finished the fight if he was more aggressive in his striking. Jones also may have a suspect chin (avoiding HW) and he hasn't really been hit hard. Smith has the size, length and reach to do this. The only way he can win is by first round K.O. He can't be tactical, timid or try to outsmart Jones over the course of 5 rounds, no one can. His only shot is by a recklessly stupid flurry of hard punches that finish him or seriously hurt him.
