How realistic is it for fighters to actually improve after a certain point?

HuskySamoan

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This is a question I ask myself quite often pertaining to fighters and especially prospects, when they're young like day 18-25 I think the potential to improve/change/adapt/become aware is there for sure, from around 24-30 I think it exists to some extent but not nearly as much as people like to believe or pretend that it does. After that 27-30 age range with some exceptions (like a Bo Nickal or Pereira who cross over late) I think fighters are largely finished products and can only really make slight improvements and adjustments to what they already are. Now please before I get a bunch of generic goofy as responses about how "it varies" and "there's exeptions" I clearly did not speak in absolutes because that's obvious and I didn't want to make it seem black and white.

That said, I think while the UFC has absolutely no precedent for skill, achievement and ability with who they sign relative to who they could be signing that eventually the growth of the sport will still catch up to the promotiob...that is to say, here's a lot more guys who have been competing amateur at 14-16 years old and in MMA gyms from a young age. Which I think will eventually lead to more and more stunted fighters getting exposed by guys who are so much more developed and comprehensive...it isn't magical mountain man Dagestani powers making a joke out of MMA with Khabib, Islam, Umar and Usman running through the deepest divisions but rather it's a bunch of talented guys who grew up in a massively strong region and had been competing since age 7-9 in various combat sports and began focusing on becoming world champions in MMA by that 15-16 year old mark under one of the best coaches in the world in one of the most talented regions. I say this because I see these guys consistently exploit fighters inabilities to improve and change. Development takes a lot of time, fighters need on average to start younger and compete more to reach ceilings before stagnation.

Some examples? Michael Chandler. You cannot convince me Chandler has improved in over a decade, now he's old and clearly regressed where back in the day he was more explosive and fast which he's always centered his game around to begin with. But his mediocre striking technique, limited shot selection, poor cardio and serious lack of mat grappling to pair with his actually decent wrestling is just wild...when he was young he coasted a lot off of speed, power and athleticism but those holes were still there and visible...pan 13 almost 14 years from the Eddie Alvarez I fight and there's been virtually no technical development and clear physical decline and shopwornness. Petr Yan is another guy, he is one of the more skilled fighters all around I've ever seen with gifted power and cardio but he's a slow starter and tends to give up the first 1-2 rounds which in 3-5 round fights you can't do that...it's not fucking boxing where you're going 6-12 rounds. Besides the slow starts, Yan has issues with finding movers due to his own lack of footwork...it's a big reason I think Omalley gave him trouble and why I don't think he can contender vs Umar, beyond that he has a typical flaw which can be a lack of urgency....this has been the case for years without much development.

To some extent I think MMA coaching is limited and young when it comes to developing fighters. You gotta get kids younger, they need to compete more in various ways, you need to have them cross training at different gyms...boxing gyms, kickboxing, Thailand in between camps, with wrestling teams, with Judo teams, at BJJ academies, at other MMA gyms etc. I think exposure to different kinds of styles, fighters, approaches, coaching, mentality, culture etc. allows for a greater capacity to learn, become aware of strengths/weaknesses, and understand better what it is you do, are most receptive to etc. A lot of guys have strengths but their game isnt developed in a way to impose it or fighters have weaknesses but they dont fight in a way to mitigate it. I think also fighters are fairly underdeveloped athletically, I've noticed for a lot of other sports that require athleticism it's a blend of plyometrics, heavy compounds and specialized explosive movements under forms of resistance. The cardio aspect I think is largely there, in my experience and in observation guys tend to run, do calisthenics, skip rope, run stairs, spar, roll etc etc. But the strength and conditioning for sport specific stuff is lacking.

I hear so often people say "he's 27, he's got tons of time" but I rarely notice these 27 year olds making Charles Oliveira type turnarounds...it's why Charles is so exceptional, that shit rarely happens. And I'd like to not fixate too much on flaws like if a guys massively injury prone or has a horrible chin and it gets exposed. I tend to believe there's a significant aspect of cardio abilities that's genetic but it's debatable. But I'm curious, how realistic is it for fighters to improve?
 
Lawler, RDA, Blachowiz and Glover made Oliveira type of turnarounds.

Figgy seems to be improving at 36. Werdum was improving at a late age too. Dustin Poirier grappling defense is better now than ever.

Fighters def improve past the 27 year mark.
 
27 isn't young in sports, but it's young in the UFC. Probably because most started out in their early 20's, and just arrive in the UFC in their late twenties.

Then they will improve by facing better competition, and many times also by changing coaches and/or sparring partners as they climb the rankings. Better competition will expose holes in their game that they didn't have to worry about on the regional scene.

Some will also improve in their mentality and confidence as they grow older and get more experience.

I think it's more important to look at how many years (and fights) they have as a professional, how many years of training etc, when evaluating someone's potential.
 
Title question immediately had me thinking of Bo Nickal.
 
27 is a great age to get the most from experience+Peds. But a fighter should be cerebral to learn from experience and handle a doping program. It doesn't work great for someone who relies on speed, reflexes, or chin but a technician that's not worn out can improve.
 
Prime Chandler is such a good example, he was loaded with talent for MMA in pretty much every aspect, but somehow made way too little technical progress in every aspect since way back in the first Eddie fight. Cogar is another one like that, talent for MMA physically was off the charts it seemed.
 
Fighters do improve significantly from 24-30. There are countless examples of that. Nearly every notable fighter moved up a tier during that period.

25 is not a fighters prime in MMA.


Fighters are in their primes from like 29-35 usually. Depending on the weight class it might start earlier or last longer. Heavier fighters take longer to get good but can fight to older ages due to how speed scales at bigger sizes.
 
Fighters do improve significantly from 24-30. There are countless examples of that. Nearly every notable fighter moved up a tier during that period.

25 is not a fighters prime in MMA.


Fighters are in their primes from like 29-35 usually. Depending on the weight class it might start earlier or last longer. Heavier fighters take longer to get good but can fight to older ages due to how speed scales at bigger sizes.

This is only SOMEWHAT true due to the fact that MMA fighters start so late. Primes are older the larger in size you go but nah, for sure primes are 34-35 and stats support that. Primes are like 28-33 as of now, but I think it's a bit weighted due to fighters starting late and how long it takes for guys to even make it to the title often times. In Olympic boxing, Judo, Wrestling Primes are definitely sub 30 years old easily, I had a chart of Olympic gold medalists in Greco, Judo and Freestyle for men's since 2008 to 2024, there was like 6 guys 30 or older lmao.

Most fighters develop and improve very little, they still improve and small amounts of improvement are good but for the most part guys are usually finished products by that 27-28 year old mark. Rampage, Shogun, Fedor, Gus plenty of larger guys are even clear examples of this I feel.

Athletic peaks tend to be 22-28 years old, PEDs will overtime skew this more as they get better. It makes sense that you'd want a fighter to be as close to their technical and strategic prime as possible that overlaps with their athletic peaks as well, obviously. The reason also why big guys seem to hang around longer is due to there being a lack of talent to push them out...Jones? Is worse now than when he was 34 and was worse at 34 than when he was 28. This is true in most of the guys cases who are on top at older ages in heavier weights too. But both divisions he's fought in have regressed.
 
MMA goes all about exceptions and irregularities, because it is the shittest sport. You have no other sport with any moeny and recognisition, that stands on so low level. It actually would be somehow incoprehensible to explain it fans of other disciplines how hard MMA sucks.
Volkanowski was UFC champ, close to top p4p, is near GOAT lvl in his division. And he started MMA as 22. After he failed in different sport.
Pereira was alcoholic up to 22 and he started training as 21.
Talentpool in MMA is so thin and shallow, it is hard to describe.
If you are really athletic guy, you never compete in MMA. Jon Jones is probably only ~NCAA level athlete in UFC and he is ~GOAT. I bet half of NBA washed up players could switch career to MMA and easily dominate. I mean - look at HW how pathetic it is.
And it goes with everthing - people train in shitty gyms most of the time with level of science/profesionallity below then football third league.
They need to work second job instead on focusing on training.
So you can find all kind of pattern, someone can improve drastically after 27 just because you know:
a) he switch for professional trainer
b) he starts training full time
c) he starts to actually put effort and mantain diet
 
It's extremely difficult in any endeavor, but especially ones that are extreme pressure situations. We have an inbuilt natural response to fall back to our ingrained habits. It's very hard to break.

The people you've seen break it successfully, probably were actively change it earlier than you think.
 
Lol this talk about mma fighters starting late got me thinking. Could you imagine a fight in kids playground and instead of berating the kids the teacher comes to the other with kindest, tender smile and says:kid I think you got potential. I can see you elbowing people from the top in your future.
 
This is only SOMEWHAT true due to the fact that MMA fighters start so late. Primes are older the larger in size you go but nah, for sure primes are 34-35 and stats support that. Primes are like 28-33 as of now, but I think it's a bit weighted due to fighters starting late and how long it takes for guys to even make it to the title often times. In Olympic boxing, Judo, Wrestling Primes are definitely sub 30 years old easily, I had a chart of Olympic gold medalists in Greco, Judo and Freestyle for men's since 2008 to 2024, there was like 6 guys 30 or older lmao.

Most fighters develop and improve very little, they still improve and small amounts of improvement are good but for the most part guys are usually finished products by that 27-28 year old mark. Rampage, Shogun, Fedor, Gus plenty of larger guys are even clear examples of this I feel.

Athletic peaks tend to be 22-28 years old, PEDs will overtime skew this more as they get better. It makes sense that you'd want a fighter to be as close to their technical and strategic prime as possible that overlaps with their athletic peaks as well, obviously. The reason also why big guys seem to hang around longer is due to there being a lack of talent to push them out...Jones? Is worse now than when he was 34 and was worse at 34 than when he was 28. This is true in most of the guys cases who are on top at older ages in heavier weights too. But both divisions he's fought in have regressed.


Most successful mixed martial artist have been training in a combat sport for a long time. I do not believe people start that late anymore like when I first got into the sport. Or if they do, they had been doing BJJ or wrestling growing up.


It's usually a bad thing when fighters drop off before they are 30. Connor McGregor is the prime example, but many of the fighters you listed have narratives that resemble more tragic than natural. Shogun and Gus are not really good examples that support your argument, because their narrative would imply that their careers were sidelined by mental sickness and injuries, not age.


If you're saying a persons physical prime is not 30-35, then yes, that is true. But that isn't relevant to MMA, just as it is not relevant to say, golf.


Your bounciness is the first thing to go, so that is why gymnast and the like fall off a lot before even 25. Running and jumping is much better in your 20s than your 30s. Fortunately, in MMA you do not run or jump - you walk and punch (and other movements of that nature).

MMA fighting is at a methodical pace, not an athletic pace, it is nothing like Wrestling or Judo in those regards, which are hyper explosive with no space to operate. You cannot go backward in any of the sports you listed, they are pure athleticism from the moment you grab each other. The movements in MMA are actually quite slow most of the time and fighters have a lot of distance to think about what they want to do. Chain grappling and comboing strikes both athletic movements and also not that frequent in MMA.




Also, using Olympic sports as evidence isn't analogous for a few reasons other than the most important one, they are different sports from MMA. But I'll list some key differences you my have overlooked, the first two aren't that important and are obvious but just felt like pointing them out ;)

- The Olympics is a small sample size.

- MMA is not an Olympic sport or has an Olympic equivalent to compare it with.

- People retire early in amateur athletics in general, because amateur athletics do not pay money. Making there be a significant external factor for why people do not continue in their 30s. If you want a non-Olympic example, look at Combat Sambo.

- If you noticed you omitted boxing from your Olympic examples. That makes sense as boxing is professionalized, therefore, people compete in it longer.


- The more money there is in a sport, the longer people play it at all levels. Muay Thai fighters do not fight as long as Kickboxers (even non-Thais who do not fight as kids). Kickboxers do not fight as long as boxers (and good boxers usually start younger than good kickboxers).



I think your age range is not bad, so we're ultimately disagreeing on like 2 years, but I still think for most weight classes, fighters do get a bit better after say 27. Dan Hooker is another recent example.
 
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I think for the most part it's about the mental game catching up to the physical skills. I don't know that fighters necessarily improve in terms of what they can do but I do think they improve tactically when it comes to how to apply those skills in a high pressure fight.
 
Men's physical prime is in early 30's but the nature of your body taking a beating it wasn't built for means that is lowered by years.

In theory, older fighters ca improve and we have seen examples of it but when you get older, the lack of motivation and the impact on the body is harder to recover from so that's why we probably don't see it as often as you would for younger fighters.
 
Some people have minds that are more conducive to falling into patterns which are difficult to pull themselves out of

These are the types that never progress past a certain point

Others have a more fluid, non linear mind which is conducive to growth and less reliant on structure.

Most tend to fall within the former.

I think the adaptability and continual growth tends to be seen more amongst the upper echelon.

Like nietszche said, convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies.

Sometimes people are just taught the wrong way early on when their brain is most malleable, and it just becomes difficult to change those neural pathways.

Then others embody the Bruce Lee mentality, be like water.

Realistically you can continue growing forever, with no limitations, it's just dependant on one's own mind.
 
I remember when Cejudo suddenly started showing up with new stances and striking. He also learned muay thai because of the first DJ fight.

DJ is another fighter who kept improving till the end of his career.

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I have always wondered if the old weight lifting cliche "can't get stronger lifting the same thing every week" is part of it. That's the lifting version but same thing applies to other sports, can't progress if you aren't changing things up.

Could be way off but I wonder how many just keep training the same drills, same grappling and sparring partners, and kinda create their rut by accident.
 
I think for the most part it's about the mental game catching up to the physical skills. I don't know that fighters necessarily improve in terms of what they can do but I do think they improve tactically when it comes to how to apply those skills in a high pressure fight.

I'll add to this a bit.
I think as a fighter ages they will realize they are falling off physically and adapt mentally to their limitations. They may also change their style to highlight what they can still do at a high level vs what they are less able to do.
For example, if a fighter's knees are getting worn out they may change to a more striking style instead of a wrestling style. With this change their striking could improve more than it would have if they could still wrestle well.
 
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