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rory had 25lbs on penn and that is a HUGE factor especially since bj isn't in his prime anymore and at this point there are featherweights that weigh the same as penn does nowadays.
This is why I have a hard time picking Rory; I think his size advantage over BJ probably colored a lot of people's opinions on how good he is right now. That's not to take anything away from him. It's just that he's not gonna have the physical advantage he had in his last fight.