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https://johnlaurits.com/2016/04/28/this-is-what-will-happen-at-the-democratic-convention/
Thoughts on if this guy is full of shit?
Thoughts on if this guy is full of shit?
Raise the cuckery of American men 600% and Sanders might win.
Bernie is literally disgusting for acting like he is a man of the people. And now this shmuck is pandering and getting on his knees for the votes of the "evil" SuperDelegates.
I mean lol. Bernie now needs the evil SuperDelegates to win lol. Lol at this joke
I haven't followed the whole Super Delegate talk in the media. Do you have anything to say about the guy's math in the OP link?
https://johnlaurits.com/2016/04/28/this-is-what-will-happen-at-the-democratic-convention/
Thoughts on if this guy is full of shit?
He is 100% right in his math. This is going to a contested convention for the Dems, and anyone who says other wise is the CT nutter.
That's interesting sabretruth. I could see Hillary getting dumped by her own party.https://johnlaurits.com/2016/04/28/this-is-what-will-happen-at-the-democratic-convention/
Thoughts on if this guy is full of shit?
Well save for the fact the 538 has Clinton with over a 90% chance to win California and there is still the matter of Super Delegates.
Super delegates can not cast their vote until the convention. If Clinton does not have 2383 pledged delegates by the convention, it is by definition a contested convention.
If on the first ballot, all the super delegates vote for Clinton, and she becomes the nominee on the first ballot, then by definition, this was still a contested convention.
Also, that would be the same 538 that has been very wrong about 10 times in this primary right?
No, if you win on the first vote it is not a contested convention. If that was the case all conventions would be contested because a candidate does not win until the convention vote.
As for 538, not not wrong. They don't predict winners and losers they assign % chances of winning.
Super delegates can not cast their vote until the convention. If Clinton does not have 2383 pledged delegates by the convention, it is by definition a contested convention.
If on the first ballot, all the super delegates vote for Clinton, and she becomes the nominee on the first ballot, then by definition, this was still a contested convention.
Also, that would be the same 538 that has been very wrong about 10 times in this primary right?
What makes you think the +500 Superdelegates who are aligned with Clinton right now will somehow change and not vote for her come convention time?
Are you predicting a Bernie win?
He is.https://johnlaurits.com/2016/04/28/this-is-what-will-happen-at-the-democratic-convention/
Thoughts on if this guy is full of shit?
It is if you don't have 2383 pledged delegates. If Super delegates give you the nomination, then it was contested.
Can you name the last time that we made it to a convention on the D side without a nominee having the 2383 from pledged delegates?
Was it when the Super delegates were created, and we had riots on the convention floor?